5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2017 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 31/08/2017   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 40 and 41 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What If - Buildings & Structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
September
15 942
-6.2
15 942
-6.2
15 942
-6.2
December
15 741
-1.3
15 674
-1.7
15 699
-1.5
2017
March
15 758
0.1
15 767
0.6
15 758
0.4
June
15 800
0.3
15 863
0.6
15 739
-0.1


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What If - Equipment, Plant & Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
September
12 258
-0.7
12 258
-0.7
12 258
-0.7
December
12 190
-0.6
12 168
-0.7
12 191
-0.5
2017
March
12 232
0.3
12 240
0.6
12 232
0.3
June
12 371
1.1
12 436
1.6
12 329
0.8


Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What If - Total

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2016
September
28 200
-3.9
28 200
-3.9
28 200
-3.9
December
27 934
-0.9
27 842
-1.3
27 890
-1.1
2017
March
27 990
0.2
28 009
0.6
27 992
0.4
June
28 169
0.6
28 298
1.0
28 069
0.3