5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2015 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 27/08/2015   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2014
September
25 456
-1.9
25 456
-1.9
25 456
-1.9
December
24 412
-4.1
24 377
-4.2
24 423
-4.1
2015
March
23 110
-5.3
23 122
-5.1
23 105
-5.4
June
21 884
-5.3
22 177
-4.1
21 957
-5.0



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2014
September
12 718
2.5
12 718
2.5
12 718
2.5
December
12 829
0.9
12 833
0.9
12 858
1.1
2015
March
12 819
-0.1
12 818
-0.1
12 809
-0.4
June
12 714
-0.8
12 770
-0.4
12 649
-1.3



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2014
September
38 172
-0.5
38 172
-0.5
38 172
-0.5
December
37 245
-2.4
37 208
-2.5
37 279
-2.3
2015
March
35 930
-3.5
35 952
-3.4
35 928
-3.6
June
34 513
-3.9
34 951
-2.8
34 612
-3.7