ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to March 2016.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.2% in March 2016 following a rise of 0.2% in February 2016 and a rise of 0.2% in January 2016.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.4% in March 2016 following a rise of 0.1% in February 2016 and a rise of 0.4% in January 2016.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 7.9% in March 2016. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 9.4% in March 2016. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 4.8% in March 2016.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the March quarter 2016 rose 0.5% following a rise of 0.6% in the December quarter 2015 and a rise of 0.5% in the September quarter 2015.

In the March quarter 2016, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (3.5%), Other retailing (1.1%), Household goods retailing (0.7%), Food retailing (0.3%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (0.1%) and Department stores (0.2%).

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose 0.1% in seasonally adjusted terms in the March quarter 2016.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in March 2016: New South Wales (0.2%), Victoria (0.2%), Queensland (0.1%), South Australia (0.3%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.8%) and Tasmania (0.2%). Western Australia (0.0%) was relatively unchanged. The Northern Territory (-0.1%) fell in trend terms in March 2016.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in March 2016: Victoria (0.5%), New South Wales (0.4%), Western Australia (0.7%), Queensland (0.2%), South Australia (0.2%) and Tasmania (0.6%). The Australian Capital Territory (-0.6%) and the Northern Territory (-0.2%) fell in trend terms in March 2016.

In the March quarter 2016, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states: New South Wales (0.8%), Victoria (0.5%), South Australia (1.0%), the Australian Capital Territory (2.8%), Queensland (0.2%), Tasmania (1.0%) and the Northern Territory (0.4%). Western Australia (-0.2%) fell in volume terms in the March quarter 2016.