ANALYSIS - TOTAL RETAIL


TOTAL RETAIL - MONTHLY

The chart below shows the trend series and seasonally adjusted series to December 2015.

In current prices, the trend estimate for Australian turnover rose 0.3% in December 2015 following a rise of 0.3% in November 2015 and a rise of 0.4% in October 2015.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for Australian turnover was relatively unchanged (0.0%) in December 2015 following a rise of 0.4% in November 2015 and a rise of 0.6% in October 2015.

The original estimate for Australian turnover rose 23.9% in December 2015. The original estimate for chains and other larger retailers rose 27.9% in December 2015. The original estimate for smaller retailers rose 15.8% in December 2015.

TOTAL RETAIL - QUARTERLY

In volume terms, the seasonally adjusted estimate for the December quarter 2015 rose 0.6% following a rise of 0.5% in the September quarter 2015 and a rise of 0.7% in the June quarter 2015.

In the December quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms for Household goods retailing (2.5%), Food retailing (0.3%) and Department stores (1.8%). Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (-1.1%), Other retailing (-0.5%) and Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (-0.5%) fell in volume terms in the December quarter 2015.

The Implicit Price Deflator for Australian turnover rose 0.7% in seasonally adjusted terms in the December quarter 2015.


TOTAL RETAIL - BY STATE

The following states and territories rose in trend terms in December 2015: Victoria (0.4%), New South Wales (0.3%), Queensland (0.3%), South Australia (0.3%), the Australian Capital Territory (0.8%), Tasmania (0.3%) and the Northern Territory (0.2%). Western Australia (0.0%) was relatively unchanged.

The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2015: the Australian Capital Territory (2.4%), Queensland (0.2%), New South Wales (0.1%), South Australia (0.2%) and the Northern Territory (0.3%). Western Australia (-0.6%), Victoria (-0.1%) and Tasmania (-0.6%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms in December 2015.

In the December quarter 2015, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose in volume terms in the following states and territories: Victoria (1.4%), New South Wales (0.7%), South Australia (0.6%), the Australian Capital Territory (1.7%), Tasmania (0.9%) and Queensland (0.1%). The Northern Territory was relatively unchanged (0.0%). Western Australia (-0.8%) fell in volume terms in the December quarter 2015.