6202.0 - Labour Force, Australia, Mar 2020 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 16/04/2020   
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SPOTLIGHT: INSIGHTS INTO HOURS WORKED

As of March, there was no major impact from COVID-19 on key employment, unemployment, and participation series. However, there have been some early impacts evident in the hours worked series.

Early labour market impacts from major disruption to the economy tend to be most evident in the hours people work. Hours worked can change more quickly than employment, given the variability in individual circumstances for people and businesses from one week to the next. During an economic downturn, reducing hours is often an early response taken by businesses, often with the view to avoiding people losing their jobs.

It is important to note that the reference weeks for the Labour Force Survey were in the first half of March, when there were a relatively low number of confirmed COVID-19 cases within Australia, and many of the additional social distancing measure, shutdowns of non-essential services and trading restrictions had yet to be announced or take effect.

Recent trends in hours worked for males and females

Measuring changes in the number of hours worked is critical to an effective understanding of how the labour market is changing over time.

However, as hours worked have a high degree of seasonality (e.g. public holidays, school holidays and other major annual events), the ABS produces trend and seasonally adjusted series. These series adjust for the underlying seasonality, and also convert the weekly hours measures into hours worked across the whole month.

The year-on-year growth rates for both hours worked and employment have been falling over the past year, with the growth rate for the hours worked series slowing earlier, and more quickly, than employment.

Chart 1: Year on year trend growth in total employed and hours worked
This chart demonstrates year-on-year growth for total employed and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

The hours worked growth rate for females has remained relatively strong over the past three years, usually around or above the growth rate for employment.

In contrast, the growth rate for hours worked by males has been slowing more quickly than employment for the past two years, with trend hours worked now declining. Male hours worked has seen negative growth in the past two months.

Chart 2: Year on year trend growth in employed and hours worked: males
This chart demonstrates year-on-year growth for male employed and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

Chart 3: Year on year trend growth in employed and hours worked: females
This chart demonstrates year-on-year growth for female employed and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

Looking at the monthly movements, there has been negligible month-to-month growth in hours worked recently. Like the year-on-year growth rates, there has been negative growth in hours worked for males and moderate growth for females. For males, the growth rates in employment and hours worked have been diverging over the past six months, while for females the growth rate has been relatively steady for hours worked, but declining for employment.

Chart 4: Month on month trend growth in total employed and hours worked
This chart demonstrates month-on-month growth for total employed and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

Chart 5: Month on month trend growth in employed and hours worked: males
This chart demonstrates month-on-month growth for male employment and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

Chart 6: Month on month trend growth in employed and hours worked: females
This chart demonstrates month-on-month growth for female employment and hours worked between March 2017 and March 2020
Source: 6202.0 Tables 1 and 19

Hours worked ranges

Table 1 below shows the distribution of employed males and females across the hours worked categories, in March 2020 and for each of the past 5 years. A year-on-year comparison has been used to control for the effects of seasonality as the data in hours ranges are only available in original terms.

Over the past 5 years:
the proportion of males working very long hours (60 hours or more) consistently fell, while the proportion working part time hours (less than 35 hours) rose;
the proportion of females working 35-44 hours per week increased, while those working longer full time hours (45 hours or more) fell.

Table 1: Proportion of actual hours worked, by male and female (Original data)

Year
Male, Hours worked in all jobs, Original
Year
Female, Hours worked in all jobs, Original
0 hours
1-19 hours
20-34 hours
35-44 hours
45-59 hours
60+ hours
0 hours
1-19 hours
20-34 hours
35-44 hours
45-59 hours
60+ hours
Mar-15
5.1%
9.6%
16.8%
38.1%
20.4%
9.8%
Mar-15
6.5%
21.3%
30.3%
29.9%
9.0%
3.0%
Mar-16
4.8%
10.0%
15.7%
39.2%
20.2%
10.2%
Mar-16
5.9%
21.4%
28.1%
32.4%
9.0%
3.1%
Mar-17
5.2%
9.9%
14.7%
40.1%
20.5%
9.5%
Mar-17
6.2%
20.9%
28.5%
32.3%
9.1%
3.1%
Mar-18
5.1%
9.6%
18.5%
38.6%
18.9%
9.3%
Mar-18
6.2%
21.0%
31.2%
30.5%
8.4%
2.8%
Mar-19
4.7%
10.2%
17.4%
39.5%
19.4%
8.9%
Mar-19
6.2%
20.2%
30.6%
31.5%
8.9%
2.7%
Mar-20
5.3%
10.4%
19.1%
39.8%
17.8%
7.6%
Mar-20
6.8%
20.2%
30.2%
31.9%
8.3%
2.6%
Source: 6291.0.55.001 Table 9

People working fewer hours than usual

The number of people working less hours than usual may also provide an early indication of hours impacted by COVID-19. Chart 7 presents this information as an original data time series for the past 5 years, and shows that there was not a noticeable increase in March 2020.

Chart 7 : Total employed who worked less than usual hours (Original)
This chart demonstrates the reason for working less hours than usual by total employment between March 2015 and March 2020
Source: 6291.0.55.001 Data Cube EM2a

The reasons people worked less hours than usual will also provide insights into COVID-19 impacts in future months. The most common reasons people worked fewer than their usual hours in March 2020 were:
annual leave, holidays, flextime or long service leave (37%);
own illness, injury or sick leave (14%);
standard work arrangements (including shift work) (13%); and
no work, not enough work available, or stood down (13%).

Table 2 : Main reason worked fewer hours than usual, as a proportion of all people who worked fewer hours than usual, March 2020
February 2020March 2020
Annual leave, holidays, flextime, or long service leave
28%
37%
Own illness or injury or sick leave
15%
14%
No work, not enough work available, or stood down
14%
13%
Standard work arrangements or shift work
17%
13%
Personal reasons, study, caring for sick or injured family
10%
8%
Worked fewer hours than usual for other reasons
6%
8%
Maternity, paternity or parental leave
4%
3%
Bad weather or plant breakdown
5%
3%
Began, left or lost a job during the week
2%
1%
Source: 6291.0.55.001 Data Cube EM2a

Where to find hours worked data

The monthly hours worked in all jobs series can be found in Table 19 of Labour Force, Australia (cat. no. 6202.0). March 2020 data will be released in full on 23 April, 2020.

Data on the reasons people worked fewer hours than usual, and the number of people working in different categories of hours, cross-classified by a range of characteristics, are available within the detailed monthly and quarterly Labour Force releases (6291.0.55.001 and 6291.0.55.003). Care should be taken in interpreting month-to-month changes in the original data, given the systematic seasonality in hours worked. Detailed data for specific sub-populations will also be inherently more volatile than higher level aggregates, and the ABS generally recommends using smoothing techniques when using very detailed data.

Hours worked data are also available from the quarterly Labour Account (cat. no. 6150.0.55.003), which is the best source of information of hours by industry. March quarter Labour Account estimates will be released in June 2020.