5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Mar 2002  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/05/2002   
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EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effect of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 38 and 39 in the Explanatory Notes.



BUILDINGS AND STRUCTURES
TREND AS PUBLISHED
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER’S SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Graph - Buildings and structures
12
rises by 6.7% on Mar 2002 falls by 6.7% on Mar 2002
($m)
%
($m)
%
($m)
%
2001
June
2,313
2.6
2,313
2.6
2,313
2.6
September
2,384
3.1
2,380
3.4
2,392
2.9
December
2,378
-0.2
2,378
-0.8
2,373
-0.1
2002
March
2,331
-2.0
2,360
-3.0
2,301
-0.8

EQUIPMENT, PLANT AND MACHINERY
TREND AS PUBLISHED
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER’S SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Graph - Equipment, plant and machinery
12
rises by 4.9% on Mar 2002falls by 4.9% on Mar 2002
$m
% change
$m
% change
$m
% change
2001
June
7,285
-1.7
7,285
-1.7
7,285
-1.7
September
7,399
1.6
7,377
1.9
7,421
1.3
December
7,615
2.9
7,620
2.5
7,604
3.3
2002
March
7,801
2.4
7,836
0.3
7,624
2.8

TOTAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
TREND AS PUBLISHED
WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER’S SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Graph - Total capital expenditure
12
rises by 4.4% on Mar 2002falls by 4.4% on Mar 2002
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%
2001
June
9,598
-0.7
9,598
-0.7
9,598
-0.7
September
9,783
1.9
9,746
2.4
9,825
1.6
December
9,993
2.1
10,000
1.5
9,973
2.6
2002
March
10,122
1.3
10,249
-1.0
9,872
2.5