3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, 2004
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 13/07/2004
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SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Early estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for June 2004 will be available on this website on 15 July 2004. These estimates can be accessed by going to the home page and selecting Main Features (located under Statistical Products and Services) and then 34. Migration. Select Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0.55.001).
For data quality issues see the appendix of this publication.
This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Key Points and/or Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See paragraph 11 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Chrissy Beruldsen on Canberra (02) 6252 5640 or firstname.lastname@example.org.
SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS
In original terms, short-term visitor arrivals during May 2004 were 31% higher compared with May 2003. However, the original series is affected by calendar related and irregular effects. The trend series removes such effects to reveal the underlying long-term direction of the series. According to trend estimates, short-term visitor arrivals were 2% higher compared with May 2003, and 3% lower than when the series last peaked in November 2003 (432,100 movements).
The following table presents the top ten source countries, in original terms, for short-term visitor arrivals during May 2004, along with percentage and numeric change compared with May 2003.
SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES
According to trend estimates, short-term resident departures have recorded consecutive monthly growth rates since April 2003. However, estimates since January 2004 indicate that this growth rate is slowing. Currently, short-term resident departures are 24% higher than when the series last troughed in March 2003 (285,400 movements).
The following table presents the top ten source countries, in original terms, for short-term resident departures during May 2004, along with percentage and numeric change compared with May 2003.
PERMANENT AND LONG-TERM MOVEMENTS
There were 9,690 permanent (settler) arrivals to Australia during May 2004, an increase of 21% compared with May 2003 (8,000 movements). Settlers born in both New Zealand and the United Kingdom accounted for the largest proportion (13%) of permanent arrivals for May 2004, followed by China (10%).
Statistics on OAD relate to the number of movements of travellers rather than the number of travellers. Therefore, care should be taken when using long-term arrivals data as it is known some individuals who travel multiple times in a year are counted each time they cross Australia's borders (see paragraph 5 of the Explanatory Notes). Long-term arrivals in this publication are not an appropriate source of migration statistics. For further information refer to Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
There were 4,650 Australian residents departing permanently from Australia during May 2004, an increase of 17% compared with May 2003 (3,970 movements).
The above presentation of movements in estimates does not consider whether the change in movement is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage change. Please see the Standard Errors section.
Care should be taken when comparing estimates over time, particularly when using original estimates for time-series analysis. The original series is affected by such world events as the Bali bombing, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the anticipation and commencement of military action in Iraq, which resulted in fewer than usual visitor arrivals and resident departures during the first half of 2003. The ABS encourages the use of the trend series for time series analysis as it reveals the underlying behaviour of the series without the influence of such events. See paragraphs 21 and 22 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.
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