3401.0 - Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, May 2017 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/07/2017   
   Page tools: Print Print Page Print all pages in this productPrint All RSS Feed RSS Bookmark and Share Search this Product

MAIN FEATURES


SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS

In trend terms, short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during May 2017 (734,900 movements) increased 0.8% when compared with April 2017 (729,300 movements). Currently, short-term visitor arrivals are 7.7% higher than in May 2016.

SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS, Australia
Short-Term Visitor Arrivals, Australia

The following table presents the top ten source countries (based on original estimates) for short-term visitor arrivals during May 2017. When trend estimates for short-term visitor arrivals for May 2016 and May 2017 were compared, the highest percentage increases were recorded for Hong Kong (19.7%), followed by the United States of America (14.8%) and India (12.0%). No percentage decreases were recorded for this comparison.



Short-term Visitor Arrivals, Australia - May 2017

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original
Apr '17 to May '17
May '16 to May '17
Country of Residence(a)
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

New Zealand
111.9
111.9
104.8
-0.2
0.6
China
108.2
109.1
79.3
0.7
8.2
United States of America
67.2
66.1
50.2
1.9
14.8
Malaysia
34.7
34.4
40.7
2.1
9.2
Singapore
39.4
40.3
38.0
2.1
4.1
India
23.9
24.5
31.0
0.9
12.0
UK, CIs & IOM(b)
61.8
59.7
30.6
-0.1
4.7
Japan
35.8
35.3
24.3
-0.4
3.2
Korea, South
24.4
24.6
20.3
0.2
3.6
Hong Kong
24.2
24.4
18.0
2.5
19.7

(a) Top 10 source countries based on original estimates.
(b) United Kingdom, Channel Islands and Isle of Man.


'What if'....? Future scenarios

The most recent trend estimates for short-term visitor arrivals are likely to be revised when the next month's seasonally adjusted estimates become available. To assist in analysing these movement trends, the approximate effects of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimate of short-term visitor arrivals are presented:
      1 The June 2017 seasonally adjusted estimate of visitor arrivals is 2.2% higher than May 2017.
      2 The June 2017 seasonally adjusted estimate of visitor arrivals is 2.2% lower than May 2017.

WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO STVA TREND ESTIMATES, Australia
What If ...? Revisions to STVA Trend Estimates, Australia


The figure of 2.2% for visitor arrivals represents the average absolute monthly percentage change for visitor arrivals over the last ten years. For further information on the effect of new seasonally adjusted estimates on short-term visitor arrival trend estimates, see paragraph 30 of the Explanatory Notes.


SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES

In trend terms, short-term resident departures from Australia during May 2017 (850,800 movements) increased 0.8% when compared with April 2017 (844,000 movements). Currently, short-term resident departures are 3.7% higher than in May 2016.

SHORT-TERM RESIDENT DEPARTURES, Australia
Short-Term Resident Departures, Australia

The following table presents the top ten destination countries (based on original estimates) for short-term resident departures in May 2017. When trend estimates for short-term resident departures for May 2016 and May 2017 were compared, the highest percentage increases were recorded for China (15.1%), followed by Japan (13.9%), and New Zealand (9.0%).The highest percentage decreases were recorded for Indonesia (-9.9%), followed by Fiji (-1.6).


Short-term Resident Departures, Australia - May 2017

Trend
Seasonally Adjusted
Original
Apr '17 to May '17
May '16 to May '17
Country of Stay(a)
'000
'000
'000
Trend % change
Trend % change

Indonesia
97.8
99.2
98.3
0.6
-9.9
United States of America
91.0
92.3
91.1
1.3
4.2
New Zealand
116.8
118.9
79.1
1.0
9.0
UK, CIs & IOM(b)
50.8
51.8
71.1
-0.4
5.0
China
42.6
46.7
44.8
2.8
15.1
Thailand
46.5
47.7
43.0
1.7
2.0
Fiji
27.1
28.8
26.4
-0.2
-1.6
Japan
33.8
33.0
25.8
1.3
13.9
Singapore
33.0
32.4
25.5
-0.9
4.7
Italy
16.2
16.7
24.4
-1.7
2.0

(a) Top 10 destination countries based on original estimates.
(b) United Kingdom, Channel Islands and Isle of Man.

'What if'....? Future scenarios

The most recent trend estimates for short-term resident departures are likely to be revised when the next month's seasonally adjusted estimates become available. To assist in analysing these movement trends, the approximate effects of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimate of short-term resident departures are presented:
      1 The June 2017 seasonally adjusted estimate of resident departures is 2.4% higher than May 2017.
      2 The June 2017 seasonally adjusted estimate of resident departures is 2.4% lower than May 2017.

WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO STRD TREND ESTIMATES, Australia
What If ...? Revisions to STRD Trend Estimates, Australia


The figure of 2.4% for resident departures represents the average absolute monthly percentage change for resident departures over the last ten years. For further information on the effect of new seasonally adjusted estimates on short-term resident departure trend estimates, see paragraph 30 of the Explanatory Notes.


STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE

The above presentation of numeric and/or percentage changes between two estimates does not take into account whether the change is statistically significant. Care should be taken when interpreting the impact of numeric and/or percentage changes by taking into consideration the size of the standard error of these estimates changes. Please see the Standard Errors section (under the Explanatory Notes tab) of this issue for more detail.