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3222.0 Population Projections, Australia, 2012 (base) to 2101 - Data Cubes (SuperTABLE)
These data cubes contain population projections, by age and sex, for all projection series for the period 30 June 2012 to 2101 for Australia, and 30 June 2012 to 2061 for the states and territories and capital cities/balance of state.
For information on validating the relevant data cubes you use please see the corresponding section below.
USING SUPERTABLE DATACUBES
To use the SuperTABLE format you need to install SuperTABLE on your PC. Please see SuperTABLE Help for more information about how to download SuperTABLE.
PROJECTION SERIES
The data cubes relating to Australia contain 24 alternative projection series (net interstate migration flows do not apply at the Australia level) whilst the data cubes relating to the states and territories contain 72 alternative projection series (both the Australian data cube and those relating to the states and territories include the main reporting Series A, B and C).
Each projection series is based on a combination of different assumptions on fertility, life expectancy (mortality), net overseas migration and net interstate migration. A table presenting the alternative assumptions used and their corresponding series numbers is presented below:
PROJECTION SERIES, Assumptions used |
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 | HIGH LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH(a) | | MEDIUM LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH(b) |
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| |
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| Net
interstate
migration
(large flows)(e)(f) | Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows)(e) | Net
interstate
migration
(small flows)(e)(f) | | Net
interstate
migration
(large flows)(e)(f) | Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows)(e) | Net
interstate
migration
(small flows)(e)(f) |
|
HIGH FERTILITY (TFR = 2.0)(c)
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| Net overseas migration (per year)(d) | | | | | | | |
| 280 000 | 1(A) | 2 | 3 | | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 240 000 | 19 | 20 | 21 | | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 200 000 | 37 | 38 | 39 | | 40 | 41 | 42 |
| 0 | 55 | 56 | 57 | | 58 | 59 | 60 |
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MEDIUM FERTILITY (TFR = 1.8)(c)
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| Net overseas migration (per year)(d) | | | | | | | |
| 280 000 | 7 | 8 | 9 | | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 240 000 | 25 | 26 | 27 | | 28 | 29(B) | 30 |
| 200 000 | 43 | 44 | 45 | | 46 | 47 | 48 |
| 0 | 61 | 62 | 63 | | 64 | 65 | 66 |
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LOW FERTILITY (TFR = 1.6)(c)
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| Net overseas migration (per year)(d) | | | | | | | |
| 280 000 | 13 | 14 | 15 | | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 240 000 | 31 | 32 | 33 | | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 200 000 | 49 | 50 | 51 | | 52 | 53 | 54(C) |
| 0 | 67 | 68 | 69 | | 70 | 71 | 72 |
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(a) The high life expectancy scenario assumes continuing improvement in life expectancy (see Chapter 2 - Assumptions, for further information).
(b) The medium life expectancy scenario assumes declining improvement in life expectancy (see Chapter 2 - Assumptions, for further information).
(c) The fertility assumption is phased in from present levels to the levels indicated in this table by 2026.
(d) The net overseas migration assumptions use the Department of Immigration forecasts until 2017 thereafter the assumptions indicated in this table are phased in by 2021.
(e) The net interstate migration assumptions are phased in by 2021.
(f) The large interstate flows assumption corresponds to large net interstate losses for New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. For these states, the small interstate flows assumption yields greater population growth. |
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Projected population, Australia, 2012–2101
ABOUT THIS DATA CUBE
This data cube contains population projections for Australia by single year of age (up to 100 years and over) and sex, for the period 2012–2101. Figures for 30 June 2012 are preliminary estimated resident population thereafter they are projections.
TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES WHEN USING SUPERTABLE
PROJECTED POPULATION FOR AUSTRALIA, Series B |
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| 30 June 2012(a) | 30 June 2013 | 30 June 2101 | |
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| Australia | 22,721,995 | 23,119,257 | 53,564,333 | |
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(a) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population.
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CLASSIFICATIONS
| At end of period | As at 30 June 2012 to 2100 |
| Projection series | Series 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C. Note that as interstate migration is not applicable for Australia, Series 1 to 3 are identical, Series 4 to 6 are identical, and so on. |
| Fertility assumption | High fertility, Medium fertility, Low fertility |
| Mortality assumption | High life expectancy, Medium life expectancy |
| NOM assumption | High NOM, Medium NOM, Low NOM, Zero NOM |
| Sex | Male, Female, Persons |
| Age | Single year of age (0 to 100 years and over) |
USING THIS DATA CUBE
When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must first choose whether you want to select a specific projection series based on a series number (see table above) or whether you want to choose a combination of assumptions on fertility, life expectancy (mortality), net overseas migration and net interstate migration, you cannot choose both. You must also select at least one value from each of the following fields:
- At end of period (financial years);
- Sex; and
- Age.
Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.
Projected population, state/territory, greater capital city/balance of state, 2012–2061
ABOUT THESE DATA CUBES
These data cubes contain population projections for each state/territory, by greater capital city/balance of state, single year of age (up to 85 years and over) and sex, for the period 2012 to 2061. Figures for 30 June 2012 are preliminary estimated resident population thereafter they are projections.
TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES
PROJECTED POPULATION, GREATER CAPITAL CITY/BALANCE OF STATE, Series B |
|
| 30 June 2012(a) | 30 June 2013 | 30 June 2061 | |
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| Greater Sydney | 4,672,619 | 4,747,603 | 8,493,740 | |
| Balance of New South Wales | 2,628,515 | 2,650,732 | 2,981,787 | |
| Greater Melbourne | 4,248,344 | 4,335,684 | 8,580,556 | |
| Balance of Victoria | 1,380,778 | 1,392,598 | 1,724,960 | |
| Greater Brisbane | 2,192,065 | 2,243,038 | 4,787,996 | |
| Balance of Queensland | 2,373,464 | 2,420,802 | 4,471,345 | |
| Greater Adelaide | 1,278,432 | 1,293,798 | 1,920,727 | |
| Balance of South Australia | 377,867 | 380,001 | 387,422 | |
| Greater Perth | 1,899,999 | 1,973,154 | 5,451,406 | |
| Balance of Western Australia | 532,707 | 543,300 | 950,847 | |
| Greater Hobart | 216,981 | 217,694 | 270,655 | |
| Balance of Tasmania | 295,352 | 296,082 | 295,055 | |
| Greater Darwin | 131,938 | 134,036 | 225,873 | |
| Balance of Northern Territory | 103,244 | 105,302 | 227,151 | |
| ACT(b) | 375,076 | 382,274 | 740,903 | |
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(a) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population.
(b) Greater capital city/balance of state projections not generated for the Australian Capital Territory.
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CLASSIFICATIONS
| At end of period | As at 30 June 2012 to 2061 |
| Projection series | Series 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C |
| Fertility assumption | High fertility, Medium fertility, Low fertility |
| Mortality assumption | High life expectancy, Medium life expectancy |
| NOM assumption | High NOM, Medium NOM, Low NOM, Zero NOM |
| Part of State | Capital city, Balance of state, State |
| Sex | Male, Female, Persons |
| Age | Single year of age (0 to 85 years and over) |
USING THESE DATA CUBES
When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must first choose whether you want to select a specific projection series based on a series number (see table above) or whether you want to choose a combination of assumptions on fertility, life expectancy (mortality), net overseas migration and net interstate migration, you cannot choose both. You must also select at least one value from each of the following fields:
- At end of period (financial years);
- Part of state;
- Sex; and
- Age.
Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.
Further Information
For further information on these statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070.
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