3106.0 - Demography News, Dec 2001  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 18/01/2002   
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POPULATION PROJECTIONS - TASMANIA

Of Tasmania's 29 Local Government Areas, 10 are projected to grow under each of three projection scenarios, while 12 are projected to decline. However, the projections reveal little change in the relative regional population distributions in the next twenty years, with for example the Greater Hobart Statistical Division expected to maintain its 41% share if the State's population. Over the projection period, Tasmania's median age is projected to change from 36 years at 30 June 1999 to between 44 and 45 years in 2021. The age structure at the end of the projection period will be significantly different, with 0 -14 year olds accounting for 15 to 16 % of the State population (21% in 1999), and persons 65 years and over, representing 22 to 23 % of the projected population in 2021 (13% in 1999). For further information, see Population Projections, Tasmania, 1999-2021 (Cat. no. 3222.6) released on 10 October 2001. Full data is available in electronic form from AusStats.