1367.2 - State and Regional Indicators, Victoria, Sep 2007  
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Contents >> Population >> Estimated Resident Population

ESTIMATED RESIDENT POPULATION

Victoria's estimated resident population (ERP) at the end of any given period is the estimated population at the beginning of the period plus the sum of three components: natural increase, net overseas migration and net interstate migration.


In March quarter 2007, Victoria's ERP grew by 22,700 persons or 0.44%. Australia's ERP grew by 0.46% (96,500 persons) over the same period.


Net overseas migration contributed most to Victoria's population growth in the March quarter 2007 (15,500 persons), while natural increase was 7,900 persons. Net interstate migration was a loss of 700 people. With the exception of March quarter 2006, Victoria has experienced a net loss in population to other Australian states in fifteen of the last sixteen quarters.

QUARTERLY POPULATION GROWTH
Graph: Quarterly Population Growth


COMPONENTS OF POPULATION GROWTH
Graph: Components of Population Growth


Estimated resident population and components of population change(a)(b)

Persons
Components of population change


Male
Female
Natural increase
Net overseas migration
Net interstate migration
Total increase
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

2000-01
2 366.3
2 438.4
26.4
35.3
5.2
66.9
2001-02
2 397.3
2 466.3
27.9
20.3
3.5
51.7
2002-03
2 429.7
2 494.7
27.4
26.8
-0.8
53.4
2003-04
2 460.7
2 522.3
28.8
25.0
-3.1
50.7
2004-05
2 496.4
2 554.1
30.3
32.3
-3.1
59.4
2005-06
2 537.8
2 590.5
30.7
39.6
-1.5
68.7
2005
March
2 489.9
2 548.4
8.0
13.5
-0.9
20.6
June
2 496.4
2 554.1
7.7
3.5
-1.0
10.3
September
2 506.2
2 562.6
7.1
10.0
-1.0
16.1
December
2 515.3
2 571.8
7.7
8.9
-0.6
16.0
2006
March
2 530.2
2 583.5
8.4
15.5
0.4
24.2
June
2 537.8
2 590.5
7.4
5.2
-0.3
12.4
September
2 548.1
2 600.2
8.1
12.3
-0.3
20.0
December
2 556.6
2 608.8
7.7
9.9
-0.5
17.1
2007
March
2 568.1
2 620.1
7.9
15.5
-0.7
22.7

(a) ERP, natural increase, net overseas and net interstate migration data up to June quarter 2001 are final. All ERP data from September quarter 2001 to March quarter 2006 are revised, based on 2006 Census. June quarter 2006 and March quarter 2007 are preliminary based on 2006 Census.
(b) A revised methodology for calculating migration adjustments has been applied from the September quarter 2001 to June quarter 2006 and an improved method of net overseas migration has been applied from September quarter 2006 onwards.
Source: Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).



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