3236.0 - Household and Family Projections, Australia, 2016 to 2041 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 14/03/2019   
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Total households

Between 12.6 and 13.2 million households are projected in Australia in 2041 (up from 9.2 million in 2016). That's an increase of 3.4 to 4.0 million households, or 37% to 44%. The Australian population is projected to grow by 40% over that period – from 24.2 to 34.0 million people.

In 2041 there are projected to be between 2.6 and 2.7 people per household on average. This is similar to the 2016 average of 2.6.


Projected households, Australia

Series I
Series II
Series III
As at 30 June
'000
'000
'000

2016
9 204.6
9 204.6
9 204.6
2021
10 056.5
9 955.1
9 955.1
2026
10 903.6
10 739.6
10 685.0
2031
11 712.8
11 511.1
11 366.9
2036
12 488.8
12 279.8
12 008.8
2041
13 234.4
13 018.7
12 610.3



Family households

Family households are projected to:
  • remain the most common household type in Australia at 69% to 71% of all households in 2041 (similar to 70% in 2016).
  • increase by between 2.4 and 2.7 million households between 2016 and 2041.
  • increase to between 8.9 and 9.2 million households by 2041 – up from 6.5 million in 2016.


Lone-person households

Lone-person households are projected to:
  • make up 24% to 27% of all Australian households in 2041 (compared to 25% in 2016).
  • increase by between 0.7 and 1.2 million (32% to 53%) from 2016 to 2041.
  • increase to between 3.0 and 3.5 million households by 2041 – up from 2.3 million in 2016.


Group households

Group households are projected to:
  • make up 4.1% to 5.2% of all households in 2041 (compared to 4.6% in 2016).
  • increase by between 123,300 and 237,100 households (29% to 56%) from 2016 to 2041.
  • increase to between 547,200 and 661,000 households in 2041 – up from 423,900 in 2016.


Graph Image for Projected households, Australia, Series II

Source(s): Household and Family Projections, Australia 2016 to 2041




International comparison

Households are projected to grow by 1.6% per year on average in Australia between 2016 and 2026. That is higher than the projection for New Zealand (1.4%) and England (0.7%). There are no official household projections for the culturally similar countries Canada and the USA.

The average household size for Australia was similar to New Zealand in 2016 (2.61 and 2.60 respectively), but this is projected to increase in Australia (2.64 in 2026). England's household size was smaller (2.37).


Projected growth of households, Selected countries

Average household size
Projected average annual growth rate, 2016–2026
2016
2026
Country
%
persons
persons

Australia(a)
1.55
2.61
2.64
England(b)
0.70
2.37
2.34
Scotland(c)
0.63
2.17
2.10
Germany (d)
0.45
2.00
1.95
New Zealand(e)
1.44
2.60
2.60
Japan(f)
0.09
2.32
2.18

(a) 2016-based projections, Series II, current publication.
(b) 2016-based projections; Office for National Statistics (United Kingdom).
(c) 2016-based projections (principal series); National Records of Scotland.
(d) 2015-based projections; data is for 2015 and 2025 rather than 2016 and 2026.
(e) 2013-based projections (series 5B- medium assumptions); Statistics New Zealand.
(f) 2015-based projections; National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (Japan).