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Newsletters - Demography News - March 2002
 
 

In this issue


1 POPULATION GROWTH RATES

The preliminary estimated resident population of Australia at September 2001 was 19,442,300. The population increased by about a 223,100 persons (1.2%) since September 2000. Because of a lack of international migration data, the level of Net Overseas Migration has been assumed.

A summary of other Demographic Statistics can be found in the September Quarter 2001 issue of Australian Demographic Statistics, September Quarter 2001 (Cat. no. 3101.0) issued 21 March 2002. Copies of these and other ABS publications in Adobe Acrobat format, spreadsheets and data cubes can now be purchased on-line from the ABS web site. For further information, please see ABS Products Available to Purchase Online on the home page of the ABS web site.

The December Quarter 2001 issue of Australian Demographic Statistics (Cat. no. 3101.0) scheduled for release on 6 June 2002 will contain revised estimates of Australia's resident population based in the results of the 2001 Census of Population and Housing. For further information see Demography Working Paper 2001/6 - Rebasing Australia's Demographic Estimates Using The 2001 Census Of Population And Housing available on the ABS web site from the Demography Theme page.


2 CITY LIVING OR SEACHANGE: REGIONAL POPULATION GROWTH

Inner city areas and coastal regions experienced strong population growth during 2000-01. Some of the fastest increases in population were recorded in inner city suburbs, such as the Local Government Areas (LGAs) of Melbourne (up 10.0%), Sydney (8.1%) and Perth (7.6%), while Australians continued to head to the seaside to live, with many of Australia's coastal regions experiencing population gains in the past year. Examples include Lake Macquarie, Wollongong, Shoalhaven and Maclean in New South Wales, and Mornington Peninsula, Port Phillip, Bass Coast and Surf Coast in Victoria. The Gold Coast, Maroochy and Pine Rivers in Queensland and Victor Harbour in South Australia continued to grow in 2000-01, while in Western Australia the coastal LGAs of Broome, Bunbury and Busselton recorded growth.

Regional Australia had mixed experiences, with both population growth and decline in regional centres. The regional centres of Queanbeyan (NSW), Maitland (NSW), Greater Bendigo (Vic), Ballarat (Vic), Townsville (Qld), Mount Gambier (SA) and Albany (WA) all increased in population, but the top 20 population declines were all in regional LGAs with Wellington (Vic), Latrobe (Vic), Whyalla (SA), Wagga Wagga (NSW), Glenelg (Vic), Broken Hill (NSW) and Port Augusta (SA) all experiencing declines of more than 300 people in the year ending June 2001.

Regional Population Growth, Australia and New Zealand, 2000-2001 (Cat. no. 3218.0) contains details of population growth since 1996 for Statistical Local Areas and Local Government Areas, as well as State and National data.


3 POPULATION OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREAS AVAILABLE ON WEB SITE

The preliminary Estimated Resident Population (ERP) for all Local Government Areas (LGAs) at 30 June 2001 are now freely available on the ABS web site, then select Themes/Demography/Population Distribution/Local Government Area (LGA) populations, 30 June 2001 preliminary (p). Revised estimates using the results of the 2001 Census of Population and Housing will be released in July 2002.


4 ABS WEB SITE LINKS TO POPULATION PROJECTIONS FOR SMALL AREAS

To assist readers seeking information on population projections for Local Government Areas and Statistical Local Areas, web site links to information on State Government agency produced population projections have been added to the ABS web site, AusStats and ABS@.

The links for Queensland, Western Australia and Victoria projections can be found on the ABS web site, then selecting Statistics, then Data Cubes and drilling down to the attachments for 3222.0 Population Projections, Australia. Data cubes for population projections by SLA published by the ABS according to assumptions provided by the relevant State or Territory Government are also available for Tasmania (ABS Cat No. 3222.6) and the Northern Territory (ABS Cat No. 3222.7).


5 UNDERSTANDING DEMOGRAPHIC DATA COURSES IN ADELAIDE, DARWIN, ALICE SPRINGS AND MELBOURNE

The aim of the one day Understanding Demographic Data course is to provide an understanding of the framework of demographic data and the processes which shape the population. The course covers the relationship between Census data and Estimated Resident Population data; components of population growth; population projections; estimating the population of small areas; some tools for analysing demographic data and population dynamics. The course costs $342 per participant including a light lunch, course notes and a copy of Australian Demographic Statistics (Cat. no. 3101.0).

The next courses are scheduled for Adelaide, Darwin, Alice Springs and Melbourne. If you would like more information or to register, please email or telephone the contact person listed below for the relevant centre.

Adelaide course on 10 April 2002
contact Krystyna McKinley krystyna mckinley@abs.gov.au or 08 8237 7367,

Darwin course on 16 April 2002
contact Megha Raut megha.raut@abs.gov.au or 08 8943 2122,

Alice Springs course on 18 April 2002
contact Megha Raut megha.raut@abs.gov.au or 08 8943 2122, and

Melbourne courses on 4 and 5 June 2002
contact Carol Soloff carol.soloff@abs.gov.au or 03 9615 7384.

For general inquiries, please contact Sue Taylor sue.taylor@abs.gov.au or (02) 6252 6141.

FOR YOUR DIARY - Understanding Demographic Data is scheduled to be held in Sydney on 24 October 2002. Further information will be included in the next issue of Demography News.


6 POSSIBLE REGIONAL COURSE IN NSW

The ABS is investigating the feasibility of presenting statistical training to interested persons in regional areas of NSW. Before finalising a schedule, the ABS is seeking expressions of interest in a 1 day course at a cost of approximately $500 per participant to be held in Northern NSW during the first half of the year followed by another round of courses in other regional areas of NSW later in the year. If you are interested in attending a regional training course or require more information please contact Stephen Butcher on (02) 9268 4306 or stephen.butcher@abs.gov.au.


7 OVERSEAS ARRIVALS AND DEPARTURES

Associated with the introduction of new passenger card processing arrangements from August 2000, there have been major delays in the provision of final overseas arrivals and departure data by the Department of Immigration and Multicultural and Indigenous Affairs (DIMIA) .

Because of the use of overseas arrivals and departures data in population estimates which affects State and Territory Government funding, DIMIA has given priority to processing passenger cards for July 2001 and subsequent months before finalising processing of earlier months - August 2000 through to June 2001. ABS has now received data for July to December 2002 which are being processed and analysed. An announcement regarding release of these data will be made on 11 April 2002 on the Demography Theme page on the ABS web site, and in future issues of Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (ABS Cat. No.3401.0).

Because of the delays, Migration, Australia 2000-01 (Cat. no. 3412.0) has been withdrawn from publication. It is proposed to include 2000-01 data in appropriate supplementary tables in the 2001-02 issue of this publication.

Revised preliminary estimates of Net Overseas Migration for September and December Quarters 2001 will be included in the December Quarter 2001 issue of Australian Demographic Statistics (Cat. no. 3101.0) schedule for release on 6 June 2001.


8 REGIONAL VARIATION IN MORTALITY LEVELS IN NSW

Mortality rates for all deaths and from six specific causes of death vary across NSW, according to a special article published in Demography, NSW (Cat. No. 3311.1).

Although the Standardised Mortality Ratio (SMR) for all deaths in Sydney Statistical Division (97) was below the national level (100), mortality rates for Ischaemic heart diseases were significantly higher in the Statistical Local Areas (SLAs) of Parramatta (115), Blue Mountains (122), Liverpool (123) and Blacktown (132). The SMRs for Cerebrovascular diseases were significantly higher in the SLAs of Wyong (128), Strathfield (146), Marrickville (150) and Ashfield (186). The SMRs for diseases of the Respiratory systems were higher in Blacktown (132) and Marrickville (146) and the SMR for Self-harm was high in South Sydney (169).

Mortality from all causes of death was close the national level for Statistical Divisions located on the NSW coast. But, for specific causes of deaths, the SMRs for Ischaemic heart diseases were significantly higher than the national level (100) in Shellharbour SLA (130) and Cessnock SLA (135), while the SMR of Cerebrovascular diseases was significantly higher in Grafton SLA (169) and the Respiratory system was significantly higher in Kempsey SLA (175) .

In Statistical Divisions located in inland NSW, the mortality levels from all causes of deaths were all higher than the national level (100). The SMRs for Ischaemic heart diseases were significantly higher in the SLAs of Narrabri (154), Greater Lithgow (158), Cootamundra (159), Parkes (163) and Narromine (189). The SMRs for Cerebrovascular diseases were higher than the national level in Parkes SLA (211) and Greater Lithgow SLA (221) while mortality from diseases of the Respiratory system was high in Moree Plains SLA (257).

The SMRs are based on an average of three years of total death and cause of death data and were standardised to remove the effects of differences in the age structure among various Statistical Divisions and SLAs. The significance of the differences between the SMRs for SLAs and SDs and the national level were statistically tested.

For more information, contact Melissa Webb on (02) 9268 4744 or m.webb@abs.gov.au.


9 POPULATION CONFERENCES AND SUMMITS

Representatives of the ABS Demography Section attended the National Population Summit 2002, held in Melbourne on 25 February 2002.

Patrick Corr, Director, ABS Demography Section will be giving a presentation "Estimating Population for Local Government Areas" at the Western Victoria Population Summit at Ararat on 8 April 2002.

The 11th biennial conference of the Australian Population Association (APA) will be held at the University of New South Wales in Sydney from 2-4 October 2002. The APA has invited expressions of interest in presenting papers or posters, in organising sessions, in sponsorship of the conference, or in attending. The Call for Papers and Registration of Interest brochure is available on the APA web site http://www.gisca.adelaide.edu.au/apa.


10 WHAT THE ABS DEMOGRAPHY PROGRAM PRODUCES

The demography component produces estimates of the population by age, sex, country of birth, Indigenous status, registered marital status, geographical distribution and estimates of families and households. Projections of the population, families and households, according to specified demographic assumptions, are published on a regular basis and produced for individual clients. Statistics are also regularly produced on births, deaths, marriages, divorces, overseas arrivals and departures and internal migration. For the ABS and other population surveys, benchmarks to facilitate estimation are provided. In addition to reporting on statistics, courses are conducted and an email newsletter is sent to major clients.


11 KEY CONTACTS

If you are seeking demography or any other ABS data, you can:

To subscribe to publications on a regular basis, email subscriptions@abs.gov.au or call 1300 366 323.

Individual publications and other products can be purchased by:
Visiting an ABS Bookshop - see a list of ABS Office Addresses
Phoning the ABS - on 1300 135 070
Fax an order form - fill in the Publication Order Form and fax it to the ABS
On-line from the ABS Web Site - ABS Products Available to Purchase Online

To receive ABS Demography News as an email, unsubscribe or change your email address, please email tita.tabije@abs.gov.au

If you wish to discuss statistical issues, contacts are as outlined below.



Fertilitykatrina.phelan@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 6573
Mortalitysue.taylor@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 7546
Migration - international and internalvalerie.pearson@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 6522
Marriages and divorces - generalken.black@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 7430
Marriages and divorces - registeredanne.ward@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 6296
Households and familiessue.taylor@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 6141
Indigenous - generalkaren.maclennan@abs.gov.au(08) 8943 2131
Indigenous - demographym.shahidullah@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 5129
Population - general or othershail.jain@abs.gov.au(02) 6252 6557




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