5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/08/2007   
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EXPERIMENTAL PROJECTED CAPITAL EXPENDITURE


IN CURRENT PRICE TERMS


PROJECTED CAPITAL EXPENDITURE SERIES

The projected series below apply historical realisation ratios to contemporary expectations to convert these to quarterly figures. Trend estimates of resultant quarterly time series of actual and expected expenditure are produced.


The following graphs, with accompanying commentary, show the projected capital expenditure series based on June quarter 2007 data, which includes expected expenditure up to and including the June quarter 2008. Please see paragraphs 29 to 33 of the Explanatory Notes for further details about the methodology and cautionary notes for these series.



TOTAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

Since the trend break between December quarter 2006 and March quarter 2007 there has been a continued rise in current price estimates for total Capital Expenditure. The series has shown significant increases in the past three financial years and this is projected to continue. Expectations for the 2007-08 financial year indicate continued strong growth in the series.

Graph: Projected Total Expenditure



BUILDINGS AND STRUCTURES

Current price trend estimates for buildings and structures have shown continued growth for the past five years. The expectations are that momentum will continue and the series will surge past the $12,000m level during the 2007-08 financial year.

Graph: Projected Building Expenditure



EQUIPMENT, PLANT AND MACHINERY

The equipment, plant and machinery current price trend series displayed significant growth from June 2004. This strength continued until December 2005 where the trend shifted downwards. The projections of this series indicate a resurgence in the trend in the coming financial year.

Graph: Projected Equipment Expenditure



MINING

Expectations for the Mining industry continue to appear strong and show no sign of slowing in the coming financial year. The projected capital expenditure for the Mining series in 2007-08 will record new historical highs.

Graph: Projected Mining Expenditure



MANUFACTURING

The decline experienced in the Manufacturing current price trend series since its peak in 2005-06 is projected to continue through the remainder of 2007. The projected series indicates a slight shift in this movement in the March and June quarters in 2008 and the possibility of a turning point in Manufacturing.

Graph: Projected Manufacturing Expenditure



OTHER SELECTED INDUSTRIES

This series was affected by the trend break applied between December quarter 2006 and March quarter 2007. The new trend has shown a large shift in level though the behaviour of the projected series remains similar and the series is projected to be strong in 2007-08.

Graph: Projected Other Selected Industries Expenditure