5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Mar 2016 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/05/2016   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

What If - buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
June
21 855
-6.4
21 855
-6.4
21 855
-6.4
September
20 728
-5.2
20 645
-5.5
20 681
-5.4
December
19 869
-4.1
19 883
-3.7
19 870
-3.9
2016
March
19 160
-3.6
19 343
-2.7
19 171
-3.5



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

What If - equipment, plant and machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.9%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.9%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
June
12 420
-4.0
12 420
-4.0
12 420
-4.0
September
11 992
-3.4
11 950
-3.8
11 971
-3.6
December
11 737
-2.1
11 752
-1.7
11 744
-1.9
2016
March
11 621
-1.0
11 773
0.2
11 669
-0.6



Total Capital Expenditure

What If - total


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2015
June
34 274
-5.6
34 274
-5.6
34 274
-5.6
September
32 728
-4.5
32 595
-4.9
32 652
-4.7
December
31 610
-3.4
31 648
-2.9
31 628
-3.1
2016
March
30 724
-2.8
31 120
-1.7
30 846
-2.5