5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, June 2011 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 01/09/2011   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 1.8%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 1.8%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
September
15 155
5.6
15 155
5.6
15 155
5.6
December
16 051
5.9
16 057
5.9
16 096
6.2
2011
March
17 015
6.0
17 019
6.0
17 004
5.6
June
17 895
5.2
17 949
5.5
17 757
4.4



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
September
13 714
-0.4
13 714
-0.4
13 714
-0.4
December
14 356
4.7
14 344
4.6
14 381
4.9
2011
March
15 045
4.8
15 041
4.9
15 028
4.5
June
15 658
4.1
15 553
3.4
15 373
2.3



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2010
September
28 869
2.7
28 869
2.7
28 869
2.7
December
30 401
5.3
30 400
5.3
30 478
5.6
2011
March
32 056
5.4
32 045
5.4
32 018
5.1
June
33 607
4.8
33 498
4.5
33 124
3.5