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3222.6 - Population Projections, Tasmania, 1999 to 2021  
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 10/10/2001   
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MEDIA RELEASE

October 10, 2001
Embargoed: 11:30 AM (AEST)
126/2001
One in four Tasmanians will be over 65 by 2021

The proportion of Tasmanians aged 65 and over is projected to almost double from that of 30 June 1999, according to figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) today.

At June 30 1999, 13 per cent of the Tasmanian population was aged 65 or over. This is expected to reach 22-23 per cent by 30 June 2021.

The median age of Tasmanians is projected to increase from 36 years at 30 June 1999 to 44-45 years by 30 June 2021, a rate faster than Australia's population as a whole. The proportion of the population aged 14 years and under could fall from 21 per cent to 15-16 per cent over the same period.

The population of Tasmania is expected to change from 470,800 at 30 June 1999 to between 434,500 and 479,300 by 30 June 2021.

Of the 29 local government areas in Tasmania 10 are projected to grow under all three series presented in the publication while 12 are projected to decline under all three series:


SOUTH
  • The population of Sorell is projected to increase from 10,900 at 30 June 1999 to between 12,300 and 15,200 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of Kingborough is projected to increase from 28,300 at 30 June 1999 to between 30,000 and 33,200 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of Hobart is projected to decrease from 46,200 at 30 June 1999 to between 40,200 and 44,000 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of Clarence is projected to decrease from 48,900 at 30 June 1999 to between 43,200 and 47,700 by 30 June 2021.


NORTH
  • The population of Meander Valley is projected to increase from 17,500 at 30 June 1999 to between 18,300 and 19,900 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of Launceston is projected to decrease from 63,000 at 30 June 1999 to between 57,200 and 60,000 by 30 June 2021.


NORTHWEST AND WEST
  • The population of Latrobe is projected to increase from 8,000 at 30 June 1999 to between 8,700 and 9,900 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of West Coast is projected to decrease from 5,700 at 30 June 1999 to between 3,700 and 4,600 by 30 June 2021.
  • The population of Burnie is projected to decrease from 19,500 at 30 June 1999 to between 15,700 and 17,300 by 30 June 2021.

Further details are in Population Projections, Tasmania, 1999 to 2021 (cat. no. 3222.6). If you wish to purchase a copy of this publication contact the ABS bookshop in your capital city.

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