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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrivals to Australia, Preliminary, Nov 2003  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 12/12/2003   
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This is an electronic release of preliminary estimates for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia. There is no printed publication available for this release, however, it is closely related to the monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0)


SHORT-TERM VISITOR ARRIVALS TO AUSTRALIA, NOVEMBER 2003 PRELIMINARY

The data presented in this release are statistically modelled from passport movements for the reference month and past arrival trends from incoming passenger cards. The data are subject to revision and will be replaced by passenger card data for the reference month. The ABS encourages users of this data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final estimates.

The ABS has recently been advised of continuing and emerging requirements for these data as early indicators of short term visitor arrivals. Pending clarification of these requirements, these data will continue to be released beyond the date previously advised. For further information, contact Chrissy Beruldsen at c.beruldsen@abs.gov.au or telephone (02) 6252 5640.

Trend estimate

Trend estimates have been revised to take into account the impact of recent world events. See paragraph 18 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

The preliminary trend estimate for November 2003 (432,400 movements) is continuing the steady monthly increase in the series since April 2003.

Seasonally adjusted

The preliminary seasonally adjusted estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for November 2003 (435,200 movements) represents the highest recorded number of movements to date this year with an increase of 2% compared to the previous month.

Original

The preliminary estimate for short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for November 2003 was 468,100. This represents an increase of 7% compared to November 2002 (437,000). Preliminary estimates suggest that large numbers of short-term visitors came from New Zealand (77,400 movements), the United Kingdom (73,500 movements), Japan (63,200 movements), the United States (35,200 movements) and Singapore (30,000 movements).

Compared to November 2002, there was a large increase of visitors from Indonesia (up 105%) and South Africa (up 60%). There was also an increase in visitors from Malaysia (up 23%), Taiwan (up 19%), New Zealand (up 17%), Phillipines and United Kingdom (both up 10%). There was a decline in visitors from Netherlands (down 19%), Switzerland (down 15%), Thailand (down 9%) and Singapore (down 8%).


TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - NOVEMBER 2003 PRELIMINARY

Change
between
Oct 2003 and
Nov 2003
Nov 2003


'000
%

Short-term Visitor Arrivals -
    Trend
432.4
0.7
    Seasonally Adjusted
435.2
1.9
    Original
468.1
. .



TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE



Calendar year

Financial year

Quarter ended Sep

November

2001
2002
2001-02
2002-03
2002
2003
2002
2003p
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARTICA -
814.9
790.1
787.7
793.1
226.0
241.8
66.1
77.4
New Zealand
940.3
905.0
907.5
904.7
252.1
269.9
75.8
87.9
Total
EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR -
Germany
147.6
134.8
136.8
134.0
31.5
35.8
14.0
12.4
Italy
43.3
43.3
41.1
42.5
13.1
12.9
3.6
3.6
Netherlands
56.5
53.0
54.6
52.1
11.2
12.1
6.0
4.9
Sweden
31.7
30.9
30.2
31.8
5.3
5.6
3.4
3.3
Switzerland
46.2
41.5
43.4
41.2
8.4
8.8
4.9
4.2
United Kingdom
617.2
642.7
627.1
644.2
116.0
125.1
66.7
73.5
Total
1179.0
1180.5
1172.2
1170.4
239.8
257.6
121.2
126.1
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA -
Total
56.2
51.5
56.3
50.2
17.5
18.2
3.9
3.9
SOUTHEAST ASIA -
Indonesia
97.9
89.4
94.7
86.9
22.1
21.9
5.1
10.4
Malaysia
149.4
159.0
154.3
142.4
37.4
44.4
14.1
17.4
Philippines
30.4
28.5
29.9
25.4
6.3
6.3
2.4
2.6
Singapore
296.0
286.9
295.8
261.6
54.3
53.2
32.6
30.0
Thailand
79.9
82.7
80.0
75.5
20.0
19.0
4.8
4.4
Total
679.0
673.8
682.7
617.7
146.5
150.9
60.8
67.2
NORTHEAST ASIA -
China
158.0
190.0
172.3
177.1
47.2
38.4
17.8
19.3
Japan
673.6
715.5
659.2
658.6
183.8
156.4
64.2
63.2
Korea
175.6
189.7
181.1
195.8
42.0
50.9
20.2
22.0
Taiwan
110.1
97.4
99.1
80.8
26.1
30.3
5.6
6.7
Total
1274.3
1345.5
1262.4
1254.8
340.7
310.3
118.1
122.9
THE AMERICAS -
Canada
93.1
90.9
93.0
86.5
16.3
17.0
8.9
9.1
USA
446.4
434.5
424.4
423.5
102.3
103.0
35.6
35.2
Total
577.5
556.2
551.1
537.1
125.6
126.5
46.8
46.7
AFRICA (excluding North Africa) -
South Africa
54.9
51.0
55.7
47.5
11.1
10.8
4.2
6.8
Total
71.5
67.3
72.7
62.7
14.5
14.8
5.7
8.2
Total(a)
4855.7
4841.2
4768.3
4655.8
1148.7
1163.4
437.0
468.1

(a) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described.

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