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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Oct 2005  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/11/2005   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


OCTOBER 2005 KEY POINTS

Trend

The October 2005 trend estimate (81,955) for sales of new motor vehicles decreased 0.5% over the September 2005 estimate. When compared with October 2004 (81,385), the trend estimate increased 0.7%.

In October 2005, decreases were recorded in the trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles (0.7%) and other vehicles (0.3%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed an increase of 0.3% compared with the previous month. Compared with October 2004, increases were recorded for sales of passenger vehicles (0.7%) and other new vehicles (3.9%), while sales of sports utility vehicles showed a decrease of 2.6%.

Most states and territories recorded decreases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 compared with September 2005, with the Northern Territory (1.4%) recording the largest decrease. Western Australia, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory recorded increases over this time.

When compared with October 2004, most states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles, with Western Australia (11.1%) recording the largest increase. New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia recorded decreases over this time.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 (78,973) represented a decrease of 6.7% over September 2005.

Decreases were recorded in seasonally adjusted estimates across all vehicle types in October 2005 compared with September 2005. Sales of new passenger vehicles declined by 5.8%, sports utility vehicles by 11.9% and other motor vehicles by 4.5%.

All states and territories recorded decreases in the seasonally adjusted estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in October 2005 compared with September 2005. Tasmania (19.0%) and the Northern Territory (12.8%) recorded the largest decreases, while sales in South Australia decreased by only 1.4%.

Sales of new motor vehicles, October 2005
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
23,644
20,374
17,546
5,225
8,624
1,620
739
1,201
78,973
Trend
24,911
21,148
18,015
5,216
8,823
1,753
799
1,290
81,955


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-9.0
-6.1
-4.9
-1.4
-4.5
-19.0
-12.8
-9.2
-6.7
Trend
-0.7
-0.6
-0.9
-0.2
1.0
0.8
-1.4
0.7
-0.5

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
-9.9
-12.0
-0.3
-7.7
8.2
-17.4
-6.2
-5.4
-6.7
Trend
-2.9
-1.7
4.6
-2.7
11.1
0.2
7.2
6.4
0.7

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the October 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.
2The November 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the October 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.8%.

The percentage change of 3.8% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.8%.

Graph: Trend



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES


Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles - Long Term



Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles - Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2004August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9
September
49,911
14,715
15,826
80,452
2.6
-1.3
0.9
1.5
October
52,290
13,907
15,470
81,667
4.8
-5.5
-2.2
1.5
November
52,888
15,257
16,190
84,335
1.1
9.7
4.7
3.3
December
48,673
14,311
15,996
78,980
-8.0
-6.2
-1.2
-6.3
2005January
43,075
13,826
12,664
69,565
-11.5
-3.4
-20.8
-11.9
February
50,645
15,478
14,886
81,009
17.6
11.9
17.5
16.5
March
53,280
17,348
15,798
86,426
5.2
12.1
6.1
6.7
April
46,645
13,749
15,936
76,330
-12.5
-20.7
0.9
-11.7
May
50,420
15,329
17,981
83,730
8.1
11.5
12.8
9.7
June
60,720
18,229
22,958
101,907
20.4
18.9
27.7
21.7
July
48,931
13,716
15,652
78,299
-19.4
-24.8
-31.8
-23.2
August
53,650
15,173
17,356
86,179
9.6
10.6
10.9
10.1
September
52,118
15,080
17,242
84,440
-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
-2.0
October
48,434
12,503
15,181
76,118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9

Seasonally adjusted

2004August
48,311
14,923
15,752
78,986
1.8
1.4
-2.2
0.9
September
49,349
15,117
16,062
80,528
2.1
1.3
2.0
2.0
October
52,393
15,588
16,658
84,639
6.2
3.1
3.7
5.1
November
50,250
15,035
15,772
81,057
-4.1
-3.5
-5.3
-4.2
December
47,978
14,313
16,066
78,357
-4.5
-4.8
1.9
-3.3
2005January
52,624
16,048
17,084
85,756
9.7
12.1
6.3
9.4
February
52,536
16,213
16,067
84,816
-0.2
1.0
-6.0
-1.1
March
50,209
15,829
15,651
81,689
-4.4
-2.4
-2.6
-3.7
April
51,212
14,985
16,822
83,019
2.0
-5.3
7.5
1.6
May
51,025
14,537
16,620
82,182
-0.4
-3.0
-1.2
-1.0
June
51,046
14,308
16,631
81,985
0.0
-1.6
0.1
-0.2
July
51,081
14,617
16,440
82,138
0.1
2.2
-1.1
0.2
August
51,632
14,728
17,220
83,580
1.1
0.8
4.7
1.8
September
51,609
15,899
17,128
84,636
0.0
8.0
-0.5
1.3
October
48,611
14,004
16,358
78,973
-5.8
-11.9
-4.5
-6.7

Trend

2004August
48,955
14,960
15,947
79,862
0.8
1.3
0.3
0.8
September
49,464
15,082
16,060
80,606
1.0
0.8
0.7
0.9
October
50,008
15,208
16,169
81,385
1.1
0.8
0.7
1.0
November
50,496
15,382
16,234
82,112
1.0
1.1
0.4
0.9
December
50,866
15,572
16,264
82,702
0.7
1.2
0.2
0.7
2005January
51,089
15,681
16,281
83,051
0.4
0.7
0.1
0.4
February
51,169
15,659
16,299
83,127
0.2
-0.1
0.1
0.1
March
51,196
15,460
16,329
82,985
0.1
-1.3
0.2
-0.2
April
51,254
15,177
16,413
82,844
0.1
-1.8
0.5
-0.2
May
51,267
14,904
16,532
82,703
0.0
-1.8
0.7
-0.2
June
51,171
14,723
16,657
82,551
-0.2
-1.2
0.8
-0.2
July
51,099
14,689
16,774
82,562
-0.1
-0.2
0.7
0.0
August
50,952
14,724
16,832
82,508
-0.3
0.2
0.3
-0.1
September
50,716
14,759
16,851
82,326
-0.5
0.2
0.1
-0.2
October
50,353
14,806
16,796
81,955
-0.7
0.3
-0.3
-0.5

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2004August
24,795
20,850
17,269
5,414
7,513
1,585
677
1,141
79,244
September
25,241
20,821
17,188
5,289
8,177
1,855
739
1,142
80,452
October
25,621
22,747
16,079
5,413
7,875
1,981
709
1,242
81,667
November
26,619
23,052
17,117
5,450
8,157
1,944
694
1,302
84,335
December
24,315
21,700
16,537
4,998
7,341
2,245
647
1,197
78,980
2005January
22,467
18,015
14,530
4,466
6,931
1,478
560
1,118
69,565
February
25,754
20,580
17,837
5,489
7,880
1,431
776
1,262
81,009
March
27,474
21,963
19,114
5,452
8,623
1,571
888
1,341
86,426
April
24,329
19,497
16,789
5,034
7,329
1,371
858
1,123
76,330
May
26,204
21,882
18,221
5,534
8,066
1,639
912
1,272
83,730
June
30,695
25,402
24,613
6,561
9,986
2,052
1,183
1,415
101,907
July
24,905
19,923
17,559
4,794
7,684
1,435
764
1,235
78,299
August
26,292
22,552
19,330
5,458
8,714
1,689
751
1,393
86,179
September
25,457
22,044
18,344
5,243
9,125
2,151
793
1,283
84,440
October
22,949
20,289
16,026
5,030
8,349
1,655
659
1,161
76,118

Seasonally adjusted

2004August
25,009
20,538
17,078
5,331
7,628
1,550
743
1,109
78,986
September
25,341
20,717
17,184
5,375
8,188
1,724
788
1,211
80,528
October
26,229
23,157
17,598
5,663
7,974
1,961
788
1,269
84,639
November
25,665
21,417
17,039
5,254
8,044
1,689
709
1,240
81,057
December
25,212
21,047
16,717
4,743
7,124
1,669
691
1,154
78,357
2005January
27,374
22,373
18,105
5,597
8,378
1,847
754
1,328
85,756
February
27,006
21,704
18,407
5,642
8,132
1,724
862
1,339
84,816
March
26,150
21,124
17,485
5,351
7,691
1,753
777
1,358
81,689
April
25,986
21,233
18,516
5,433
8,275
1,652
782
1,142
83,019
May
25,299
21,432
18,227
5,425
8,126
1,658
789
1,226
82,182
June
24,922
21,352
18,699
5,231
7,952
1,767
860
1,202
81,985
July
25,311
21,221
18,242
5,161
8,443
1,643
818
1,299
82,138
August
25,863
21,726
18,275
5,238
8,727
1,615
813
1,323
83,580
September
25,971
21,709
18,458
5,299
9,028
2,001
847
1,323
84,636
October
23,644
20,374
17,546
5,225
8,624
1,620
739
1,201
78,973

Trend

2004August
25,295
20,759
17,106
5,309
7,755
1,693
752
1,193
79,862
September
25,418
21,143
17,169
5,339
7,867
1,725
748
1,197
80,606
October
25,644
21,513
17,223
5,361
7,938
1,749
745
1,212
81,385
November
25,945
21,763
17,306
5,377
7,971
1,765
747
1,238
82,112
December
26,255
21,833
17,447
5,396
7,984
1,770
752
1,265
82,702
2005January
26,451
21,750
17,646
5,418
7,985
1,759
761
1,281
83,051
February
26,442
21,584
17,877
5,438
7,990
1,739
777
1,280
83,127
March
26,237
21,434
18,096
5,442
8,004
1,714
792
1,266
82,985
April
25,964
21,375
18,278
5,416
8,051
1,699
807
1,254
82,844
May
25,690
21,379
18,377
5,362
8,138
1,692
817
1,248
82,703
June
25,469
21,377
18,383
5,296
8,264
1,695
818
1,249
82,551
July
25,348
21,388
18,351
5,256
8,430
1,709
819
1,261
82,562
August
25,234
21,351
18,278
5,236
8,593
1,726
816
1,274
82,508
September
25,086
21,270
18,178
5,227
8,735
1,739
810
1,281
82,326
October
24,911
21,148
18,015
5,216
8,823
1,753
799
1,290
81,955

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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