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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Oct 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/11/2006   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

OCTOBER 2006 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles continues to increase. The October 2006 trend estimate (81,145) increased 0.4% compared with the September 2006 estimate.

All vehicles recorded an increase from September 2006 to October 2006. Passenger vehicles have now shown six consecutive months of trend increases.

All states and territories except for Queensland and South Australia showed a positive monthly percentage change in their trend estimates from September 2006 to October 2006.

Seasonally adjusted

The October 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (81,520) is stable compared to the September 2006 estimate (81,556).

The Northern Territory had the largest increase (9.4%) with New South Wales, Queensland and Tasmania showing slight increases. All remaining states and territories showed decreases in seasonally adjusted estimates.

Over this period, 'passenger' vehicles were the only vehicle type to decrease (down 1.8%). Other vehicles rose 2.1% and sports utility vehicles rose 3.8%.

New motor vehicles sales October 2006
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
24 981
20 492
17 738
4 902
9 684
1 701
835
1 187
81 520
Trend
24 678
20 562
17 624
4 927
9 714
1 629
801
1 210
81 145


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
0.7
-1.9
1.6
-2.4
-0.1
1.9
9.4
-4.4
-0.0
Trend
0.9
0.5
-0.1
-1.2
0.8
1.6
1.6
0.6
0.4

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
5.2
-1.2
1.7
-6.2
13.4
6.6
14.5
0.8
2.9
Trend
-1.0
-3.9
-0.8
-6.5
11.2
-0.4
3.5
-2.5
-0.7

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
November 200621 December 2006
December 200622 January 2006
January 2006
February 2007
21 February 2007
21 March 2007
March 200720 April 2007
April 200722 May 2007


TREND REVISIONS


Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The November 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the October 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.
2The November 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the October 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.

The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term

Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2005August
53 648
15 173
17 356
86 177
9.4
9.8
9.8
9.6
September
52 118
15 080
17 242
84 440
-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
-2.0
October
48 434
12 503
15 181
76 118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9
November
52 751
14 252
16 535
83 538
8.9
14.0
8.9
9.7
December
47 945
15 046
16 286
79 277
-9.1
5.6
-1.5
-5.1
2006January
43 761
13 251
12 991
70 003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7
February
48 483
13 506
15 457
77 446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1

Seasonally adjusted

2005August
51 254
15 005
17 263
83 522
0.9
1.7
4.1
1.7
September
51 232
15 735
17 249
84 216
0.0
4.9
-0.1
0.8
October
49 036
13 961
16 189
79 186
-4.3
-11.3
-6.1
-6.0
November
49 991
14 099
16 519
80 609
1.9
1.0
2.0
1.8
December
49 534
14 936
16 756
81 226
-0.9
5.9
1.4
0.8
2006January
51 541
14 626
16 927
83 094
4.1
-2.1
1.0
2.3
February
50 083
14 186
16 639
80 908
-2.8
-3.0
-1.7
-2.6
March
48 541
14 025
16 562
79 128
-3.1
-1.1
-0.5
-2.2
April
49 320
13 896
16 313
79 529
1.6
-0.9
-1.5
0.5
May
49 518
13 947
16 349
79 814
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.4
June
48 859
14 301
15 613
78 773
-1.3
2.5
-4.5
-1.3
July
50 634
14 174
16 182
80 990
3.6
-0.9
3.6
2.8
August
50 229
12 951
15 984
79 164
-0.8
-8.6
-1.2
-2.3
September
51 088
14 514
15 954
81 556
1.7
12.1
-0.2
3.0
October
50 161
15 062
16 297
81 520
-1.8
3.8
2.1
-0.0

Trend

2005August
50 783
14 732
16 916
82 431
-0.5
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
September
50 528
14 723
16 843
82 094
-0.5
-0.1
-0.4
-0.4
October
50 298
14 682
16 763
81 743
-0.5
-0.3
-0.5
-0.4
November
50 152
14 595
16 717
81 464
-0.3
-0.6
-0.3
-0.3
December
50 056
14 473
16 694
81 223
-0.2
-0.8
-0.1
-0.3
2006January
49 934
14 345
16 674
80 953
-0.2
-0.9
-0.1
-0.3
February
49 757
14 263
16 622
80 642
-0.4
-0.6
-0.3
-0.4
March
49 548
14 178
16 524
80 250
-0.4
-0.6
-0.6
-0.5
April
49 393
14 057
16 357
79 807
-0.3
-0.9
-1.0
-0.6
May
49 397
13 942
16 181
79 520
0.0
-0.8
-1.1
-0.4
June
49 620
13 924
16 068
79 612
0.5
-0.1
-0.7
0.1
July
49 969
13 983
16 018
79 970
0.7
0.4
-0.3
0.4
August
50 278
14 090
16 012
80 380
0.6
0.8
0.0
0.5
September
50 526
14 237
16 032
80 795
0.5
1.0
0.1
0.5
October
50 660
14 411
16 074
81 145
0.3
1.2
0.3
0.4

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2005August
26 292
22 550
19 330
5 458
8 714
1 689
751
1 393
86 177
September
25 457
22 044
18 344
5 243
9 125
2 151
793
1 283
84 440
October
22 949
20 289
16 026
5 030
8 349
1 655
659
1 161
76 118
November
25 716
22 428
17 181
5 500
9 107
1 667
690
1 249
83 538
December
23 054
22 110
16 208
5 335
8 664
2 080
690
1 136
79 277
2006January
21 995
17 876
15 107
4 380
7 604
1 295
616
1 130
70 003
February
24 495
19 979
16 452
5 085
8 165
1 373
731
1 166
77 446
March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930

Seasonally adjusted

2005August
25 678
21 829
18 283
5 286
8 656
1 663
807
1 320
83 522
September
25 967
21 542
18 353
5 307
8 860
2 050
841
1 296
84 216
October
23 736
20 744
17 442
5 225
8 536
1 596
729
1 178
79 186
November
24 515
21 300
17 282
5 290
8 840
1 455
715
1 212
80 609
December
24 622
21 637
17 486
5 244
8 733
1 573
765
1 166
81 226
2006January
25 951
21 240
18 061
5 315
8 854
1 591
813
1 269
83 094
February
25 291
20 941
17 264
5 251
8 524
1 625
793
1 219
80 908
March
24 506
19 928
17 596
4 833
8 685
1 595
772
1 213
79 128
April
24 110
20 442
17 399
5 310
8 853
1 477
748
1 190
79 529
May
23 859
20 174
17 795
5 261
9 250
1 582
743
1 150
79 814
June
23 934
19 480
17 528
5 044
9 084
1 717
768
1 218
78 773
July
24 163
20 427
18 296
5 153
9 522
1 515
740
1 174
80 990
August
23 845
20 196
17 285
4 936
9 482
1 431
795
1 194
79 164
September
24 810
20 885
17 466
5 023
9 698
1 669
763
1 242
81 556
October
24 981
20 492
17 738
4 902
9 684
1 701
835
1 187
81 520

Trend

2005August
25 218
21 488
18 154
5 256
8 551
1 697
807
1 260
82 431
September
25 037
21 444
17 965
5 265
8 667
1 670
791
1 255
82 094
October
24 927
21 390
17 770
5 271
8 734
1 636
774
1 241
81 743
November
24 906
21 320
17 628
5 267
8 749
1 602
767
1 225
81 464
December
24 933
21 218
17 540
5 249
8 727
1 576
766
1 214
81 223
2006January
24 943
21 039
17 504
5 220
8 704
1 563
770
1 210
80 953
February
24 880
20 785
17 516
5 193
8 719
1 567
773
1 209
80 642
March
24 682
20 488
17 570
5 173
8 783
1 577
772
1 205
80 250
April
24 373
20 215
17 622
5 158
8 898
1 581
764
1 196
79 807
May
24 090
20 067
17 651
5 140
9 054
1 571
757
1 190
79 520
June
23 996
20 084
17 675
5 116
9 230
1 567
756
1 188
79 612
July
24 089
20 192
17 689
5 080
9 392
1 572
764
1 192
79 970
August
24 265
20 324
17 673
5 033
9 526
1 585
775
1 199
80 380
September
24 468
20 465
17 643
4 989
9 635
1 604
788
1 203
80 795
October
24 678
20 562
17 624
4 927
9 714
1 629
801
1 210
81 145

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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