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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jul 2003  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 20/08/2003   
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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


JULY 2003 KEY POINTS


Trend

The trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles rose for the ninth consecutive month to 77,678 in July 2003. This is 11.7% higher than the July 2002 estimate of 69,544.

The trend increase in total new motor vehicle sales was 295 or 0.4% in July 2003 compared with June 2003. New passenger vehicle sales and new other vehicle sales contributed 0.1% and 0.3% respectively to this increase.

Increases in total new motor vehicle sales were recorded in Western Australia, Tasmania, Queensland and Victoria while decreases were recorded in the other states and territories. Western Australia (1.5%), Tasmania (1.5%) and Queensland (0.9%) recorded trend growth above the national average.


Seasonally adjusted

Seasonally adjusted estimates of total new motor vehicle sales rose to 78,316 in July 2003 compared with 77,330 in June 2003, an increase of 1.3%.


NOTES

DATA QUALITY

Due to a processing problem with the data supplier for heavy truck sales, other vehicles were understated by 367 units in July 2002. These missing units have been included in the August 2002 sales data for other vehicles. The impact on the original series is as follows: New South Wales (119 units), Victoria (63 units), Queensland (84 units), South Australia (18 units), Western Australia (65 units), Tasmania (14 units) and the Northern Territory (4 units).


TREND REVISIONS

The most recent trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the July 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.
2The August 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the July 2003 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.2%.

The percentage change of 4.2% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 8 years has been 4.2%.

Graph - Trend revisions


The next annual re-estimation of the seasonal factors will be undertaken after data for reference month October 2003 have been released.


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total vehicles - long term


Graph - New motor vehicle sales, total vehicles - short term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (a) (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2002May
46,448
26,675
73,123
10.5
22.2
14.5
June
49,101
29,680
78,781
5.7
11.3
7.7
July
45,923
23,859
69,782
-6.5
-19.6
-11.4
August
45,122
24,525
69,647
-1.7
2.8
-0.2
September
43,396
22,638
66,034
-3.8
-7.7
-5.2
October
48,269
24,063
72,332
11.2
6.3
9.5
November
47,229
24,346
71,575
-2.2
1.2
-1.0
December
45,317
22,656
67,973
-4.0
-6.9
-5.0
2003January
40,015
21,155
61,170
-11.7
-6.6
-10.0
February
43,677
23,058
66,735
9.2
9.0
9.1
March
49,921
26,192
76,113
14.3
13.6
14.1
April
44,602
24,263
68,865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49,646
28,616
78,262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57,086
34,972
92,058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51,450
28,071
79,521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6

Seasonally Adjusted

2002May
45,401
24,316
69,717
-0.5
2.8
0.6
June
44,705
23,749
68,454
-1.5
-2.3
-1.8
July
44,390
24,048
68,438
-0.7
1.3
0.0
August
45,301
25,217
70,518
2.1
4.9
3.0
September
45,947
25,194
71,141
1.4
-0.1
0.9
October
45,791
24,955
70,746
-0.3
-0.9
-0.6
November
45,464
23,406
68,870
-0.7
-6.2
-2.7
December
41,865
20,783
62,648
-7.9
-11.2
-9.0
2003January
49,584
28,103
77,687
18.4
35.2
24.0
February
46,685
24,775
71,460
-5.8
-11.8
-8.0
March
47,875
25,032
72,907
2.5
1.0
2.0
April
48,507
26,090
74,597
1.3
4.2
2.3
May
50,185
27,164
77,349
3.5
4.1
3.7
June
50,132
27,198
77,330
-0.1
0.1
0.0
July
49,687
28,629
78,316
-0.9
5.3
1.3

Trend

2002May
44,990
23,834
68,824
-0.7
1.2
-0.1
June
44,971
24,216
69,187
0.0
1.6
0.5
July
45,060
24,484
69,544
0.2
1.1
0.5
August
45,126
24,581
69,707
0.1
0.4
0.2
September
45,113
24,454
69,567
0.0
-0.5
-0.2
October
45,163
24,265
69,428
0.1
-0.8
-0.2
November
45,355
24,165
69,520
0.4
-0.4
0.1
December
45,724
24,235
69,959
0.8
0.3
0.6
2003January
46,332
24,512
70,844
1.3
1.1
1.3
February
47,160
25,033
72,193
1.8
2.1
1.9
March
48,062
25,694
73,756
1.9
2.6
2.2
April
48,840
26,329
75,169
1.6
2.5
1.9
May
49,435
26,897
76,332
1.2
2.2
1.5
June
49,926
27,457
77,383
1.0
2.1
1.4
July
49,987
27,691
77,678
0.1
0.9
0.4
(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.



Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration (a)

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2002May
25,763
19,540
13,507
4,648
6,344
1,343
763
1,215
73,123
June
27,496
20,296
15,035
5,143
7,348
1,294
813
1,356
78,781
July
24,643
18,721
13,462
4,457
5,562
1,174
579
1,184
69,782
August
23,456
18,942
13,516
4,537
6,102
1,311
597
1,186
69,647
September
22,236
18,765
12,497
4,187
5,493
1,239
507
1,110
66,034
October
24,618
20,185
13,456
4,499
6,627
1,203
580
1,164
72,332
November
24,349
19,829
13,224
4,641
6,320
1,398
628
1,186
71,575
December
21,741
19,706
12,672
4,531
5,989
1,584
585
1,165
67,973
2003January
20,648
16,490
11,632
3,988
5,762
1,025
534
1,091
61,170
February
21,965
18,152
12,956
4,754
6,164
1,069
582
1,093
66,735
March
25,541
20,408
14,843
5,147
6,917
1,218
769
1,270
76,113
April
23,588
18,368
13,386
4,507
5,948
1,177
728
1,163
68,865
May
26,259
21,053
14,967
5,273
7,127
1,454
789
1,340
78,262
June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521

Seasonally Adjusted

2002May
24,448
18,804
12,968
4,370
6,041
1,315
659
1,112
69,717
June
23,768
18,491
12,265
4,448
6,334
1,299
634
1,215
68,454
July
23,332
18,419
13,518
4,360
5,904
1,210
586
1,109
68,438
August
24,094
18,986
13,768
4,427
6,190
1,256
617
1,180
70,518
September
23,778
19,665
13,771
4,581
6,154
1,292
596
1,304
71,141
October
24,025
19,026
13,887
4,434
6,434
1,225
588
1,127
70,746
November
23,130
19,251
12,847
4,426
6,192
1,289
617
1,118
68,870
December
20,809
17,721
11,628
4,138
5,564
1,080
611
1,097
62,648
2003January
26,458
21,064
14,557
5,236
6,981
1,359
673
1,359
77,687
February
23,770
19,372
13,648
5,110
6,444
1,271
674
1,171
71,460
March
24,007
20,083
14,169
4,952
6,459
1,308
718
1,211
72,907
April
25,777
19,695
14,567
5,044
6,203
1,333
706
1,272
74,597
May
25,698
21,106
15,000
5,058
7,089
1,435
697
1,266
77,349
June
25,969
21,134
14,169
5,062
7,468
1,520
660
1,348
77,330
July
25,724
20,866
16,064
5,178
7,201
1,467
636
1,180
78,316

Trend

2002May
23,989
18,500
12,805
4,366
6,114
1,259
624
1,167
68,824
June
23,956
18,618
13,039
4,401
6,111
1,265
619
1,178
69,187
July
23,878
18,779
13,283
4,419
6,126
1,267
611
1,181
69,544
August
23,737
18,919
13,443
4,418
6,144
1,261
604
1,181
69,707
September
23,535
18,998
13,439
4,417
6,155
1,248
599
1,176
69,567
October
23,379
19,081
13,335
4,444
6,180
1,237
601
1,171
69,428
November
23,348
19,176
13,233
4,524
6,217
1,233
613
1,176
69,520
December
23,468
19,289
13,246
4,649
6,254
1,236
634
1,183
69,959
2003January
23,770
19,461
13,405
4,793
6,307
1,251
659
1,198
70,844
February
24,238
19,722
13,726
4,925
6,400
1,281
680
1,221
72,193
March
24,765
20,045
14,115
5,022
6,547
1,325
692
1,245
73,756
April
25,218
20,349
14,481
5,072
6,725
1,372
693
1,259
75,169
May
25,559
20,614
14,786
5,095
6,910
1,417
687
1,264
76,332
June
25,839
20,862
15,071
5,114
7,095
1,459
677
1,266
77,383
July
25,835
20,938
15,212
5,088
7,204
1,481
664
1,256
77,678
(a) Other vehicle figures for July 2002 and August 2002 have been affected by reporting problems. See Notes.

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