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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, May 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 20/06/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

MAY 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The May 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 633) increased 0.2% when compared with the April 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 12 consecutive months. When compared to May 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.0%.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, sports utility vehicles and other vehicles both increased 0.9%, while passenger vehicles decreased by 0.3%. Sports utility vehicles and other vehicles have been increasing for 11 months and 8 months respectively.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, all states and territories except South Australia and Tasmania showed increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles. The Australian Capital Territory, Queensland and the Northern Territory had the largest increases with 0.7%, 0.4% and 0.4% respectively. South Australia decreased by 0.5% and Tasmania by 0.2%.


Seasonally adjusted

The May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (85 410) decreased by 0.5% compared with April 2007. Sports utility vehicles decreased 3.4% and other vehicles 0.9%. Passenger vehicles increased by 0.6%.

When comparing May 2007 to April 2007, total sales decreased in all but two states or territories, with South Australia showing the largest decrease of 3.9%. Only Victoria and Queensland showed increases. Victoria by 1.4% and Queensland by 0.5%.


New motor vehicles sales May 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
25 820
21 535
19 410
4 979
9 932
1 535
819
1 380
85 410
Trend
26 359
21 811
19 509
5 159
9 970
1 579
837
1 409
86 633

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-1.8
1.4
0.5
-3.9
-0.6
-1.4
-3.0
-1.8
-0.5
Trend
0.1
0.2
0.4
-0.5
0.1
-0.2
0.4
0.7
0.2

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
7.5
6.8
9.1
-6.3
7.0
-5.0
10.2
19.7
6.6
Trend
9.3
8.8
10.9
0.5
9.9
-0.1
11.0
18.5
9.0

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
June 2007
July 2007
August 2007
20 July 2007
21 August 2007
21 September 2007
September 200719 October 2007
October 200721 November 2007
November 200721 December 2007



WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the May 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.


Graph: Trend revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
.

Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-LongTerm


Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term



Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles
(%)
Change
total
vehicles
(%)

Original

2006March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9
May
52 727
16 912
18 958
88 597
16.9
18.5
16.8
17.2

Seasonally adjusted

2006March
48 320
13 898
16 414
78 632
-2.4
-0.9
-0.7
-1.8
April
49 675
13 819
16 210
79 704
2.8
-0.6
-1.2
1.4
May
49 646
13 992
16 447
80 085
-0.1
1.3
1.5
0.5
June
48 831
14 410
15 567
78 808
-1.6
3.0
-5.4
-1.6
July
50 857
14 110
16 108
81 075
4.1
-2.1
3.5
2.9
August
50 297
13 160
15 973
79 430
-1.1
-6.7
-0.8
-2.0
September
50 940
14 535
15 965
81 440
1.3
10.4
-0.1
2.5
October
50 403
15 047
16 348
81 798
-1.1
3.5
2.4
0.4
November
50 415
14 889
16 120
81 424
0.0
-1.1
-1.4
-0.5
December
51 576
14 833
15 661
82 070
2.3
-0.4
-2.8
0.8
2007January
54 212
15 321
16 987
86 520
5.1
3.3
8.5
5.4
February
53 607
15 450
17 278
86 335
-1.1
0.8
1.7
-0.2
March
53 875
15 608
17 551
87 034
0.5
1.0
1.6
0.8
April
52 007
16 279
17 531
85 817
-3.5
4.3
-0.1
-1.4
May
52 307
15 722
17 381
85 410
0.6
-3.4
-0.9
-0.5

Trend

2006March
49 324
14 096
16 447
79 867
-0.3
-0.6
-0.8
-0.4
April
49 299
13 998
16 278
79 575
-0.1
-0.7
-1.0
-0.4
May
49 439
13 917
16 116
79 472
0.3
-0.6
-1.0
-0.1
June
49 722
13 922
16 030
79 674
0.6
0.0
-0.5
0.3
July
49 988
14 010
15 985
79 983
0.5
0.6
-0.3
0.4
August
50 218
14 147
15 960
80 325
0.5
1.0
-0.2
0.4
September
50 457
14 337
15 963
80 757
0.5
1.3
0.0
0.5
October
50 865
14 565
16 029
81 459
0.8
1.6
0.4
0.9
November
51 478
14 822
16 187
82 487
1.2
1.8
1.0
1.3
December
52 139
15 081
16 429
83 649
1.3
1.7
1.5
1.4
2007January
52 716
15 304
16 726
84 746
1.1
1.5
1.8
1.3
February
53 084
15 485
17 035
85 604
0.7
1.2
1.8
1.0
March
53 202
15 670
17 301
86 173
0.2
1.2
1.6
0.7
April
53 150
15 835
17 508
86 493
-0.1
1.1
1.2
0.4
May
52 979
15 981
17 673
86 633
-0.3
0.9
0.9
0.2



Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614
May
26 649
22 151
20 428
5 237
10 172
1 587
973
1 400
88 597

Seasonally adjusted

2006March
24 312
19 744
17 400
4 843
8 780
1 582
773
1 198
78 632
April
24 166
20 614
17 344
5 287
8 846
1 509
744
1 194
79 704
May
24 022
20 155
17 796
5 316
9 284
1 616
743
1 153
80 085
June
24 075
19 413
17 515
5 026
9 084
1 702
758
1 235
78 808
July
24 209
20 486
18 352
5 107
9 492
1 518
740
1 171
81 075
August
23 980
20 336
17 220
4 946
9 534
1 417
800
1 197
79 430
September
24 745
20 783
17 536
5 037
9 652
1 677
765
1 245
81 440
October
25 149
20 490
17 888
4 910
9 648
1 671
835
1 207
81 798
November
24 808
19 948
18 445
4 953
9 598
1 634
767
1 271
81 424
December
25 040
20 371
18 570
4 840
9 791
1 405
802
1 251
82 070
2007January
26 663
21 736
19 034
5 409
9 943
1 562
839
1 334
86 520
February
25 910
22 157
19 090
5 206
10 034
1 714
829
1 395
86 335
March
26 686
21 922
19 569
5 247
9 792
1 602
829
1 387
87 034
April
26 297
21 230
19 311
5 182
9 991
1 557
844
1 405
85 817
May
25 820
21 535
19 410
4 979
9 932
1 535
819
1 380
85 410

Trend

2006March
24 502
20 382
17 481
5 158
8 794
1 586
768
1 196
79 867
April
24 291
20 140
17 544
5 143
8 916
1 589
760
1 192
79 575
May
24 108
20 046
17 588
5 131
9 076
1 580
754
1 189
79 472
June
24 066
20 102
17 622
5 114
9 250
1 576
754
1 190
79 674
July
24 131
20 194
17 652
5 071
9 398
1 581
761
1 195
79 983
August
24 297
20 250
17 698
5 012
9 508
1 584
772
1 204
80 325
September
24 528
20 305
17 790
4 962
9 592
1 581
784
1 215
80 757
October
24 824
20 431
17 979
4 953
9 666
1 579
794
1 233
81 459
November
25 188
20 655
18 263
4 999
9 737
1 583
803
1 259
82 487
December
25 559
20 933
18 598
5 068
9 800
1 587
812
1 292
83 649
2007January
25 876
21 237
18 909
5 135
9 855
1 588
820
1 326
84 746
February
26 106
21 506
19 143
5 178
9 903
1 585
826
1 357
85 604
March
26 255
21 682
19 310
5 193
9 936
1 585
831
1 381
86 173
April
26 329
21 772
19 436
5 184
9 957
1 582
834
1 399
86 493
May
26 359
21 811
19 509
5 159
9 970
1 579
837
1 409
86 633

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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