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3401.0.55.001 - Short-term Visitor Arrival Estimates, Australia, Feb 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 18/03/2004   
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This electronic release contains modelled estimates of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia based on passport transactions for the current month and passenger card disaggregations from earlier months. There is no printed publication available for this release, however, it is closely related to the monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0).

NOTES


DATA NOTES

The estimates presented in this publication provide an early indication of short-term visitor arrival movements prior to final data becoming available for the reference month. Monthly data prior to the reference month are final estimates. The ABS encourages users of these data to refer to the ABS monthly publication, Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia (cat. no. 3401.0) for final ABS estimates of short-term visitor arrivals for the reference period. Final estimates for February 2004 will be released on 13 April 2004.

This publication contains movement data. Care should be taken when interpreting this movement data as 'people'. See paragraph 6 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

Calculations of percentage and numeric change as shown in the Main Features of this publication are based on unrounded data. See paragraph 10 of Explanatory Notes for more detail.


INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070 or Chrissy Beruldsen at c.beruldsen@abs.gov.au or telephone (02) 6252 5640.


MAIN FEATURES


TREND ESTIMATES

Trend estimates have been revised to take into account the impact of recent world events. See paragraph 18 of the Explanatory Notes for more detail.

The trend estimate of short-term visitor arrivals to Australia for February 2004 (428,100 movements) decreased by 0.4% compared with January 2004 (429,800 movements). This decline follows the steady growth in visitor arrival numbers recorded between April and November 2003, and revised trend decreases of 0.1% and 0.4% for December 2003 and January 2004 respectively.

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

According to seasonally adjusted estimates, there were 419,400 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during February 2004, representing a decrease of 1.6% compared with the previous month (426,100 movements) and follows a revised decrease of 2.7% between December 2003 and January 2004.

ORIGINAL ESTIMATES

There were an estimated 454,400 short-term visitor arrivals to Australia during February 2004. This represents an increase of 6.3% compared with February 2003 (427,500 movements).

In February 2004, large numbers of short-term visitor arrivals came from the United Kingdom (73,800 movements), Japan (61,200 movements), New Zealand (56,800 movements), and the United States of America (41,900 movements). Compared with February 2003 the largest increase in short-term visitor arrivals was from New Zealand (up 25% or 11,300 movements).


TABLE 1: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS - FEBRUARY 2004

Change
between
Jan 2004 and
Feb 2004
Feb 2004


'000
%

Short-term Visitor Arrivals -
    Trend(a)
428.1
-0.4
    Seasonally Adjusted(a)
419.4
-1.6
    Original
454.4
..

(a) Trend and seasonally adjusted estimates may be revised each month. See paragraphs 14 and 17 of Explanatory Notes.

TABLE 2: SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT: VISITOR ARRIVALS(a) - COUNTRY OF RESIDENCE

Calendar year

Financial year

Quarter ended Dec

February

2002
2003
2001-02
2002-03
2002
2003
2003
2004(a)
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000
'000

OCEANIA & ANTARCTICA -
New Zealand
790.1
839.1
787.7
793.1
213.0
243.2
45.5
56.8
Total
905.0
956.5
907.5
904.7
243.8
277.7
54.0
66.3
EUROPE & THE FORMER USSR -
Germany
134.8
137.9
136.8
134.0
43.3
42.8
13.8
15.8
Italy
43.3
41.3
41.1
42.5
14.7
13.8
3.5
3.4
Netherlands
53.0
51.0
54.6
52.1
18.9
16.8
5.5
5.6
Sweden
30.9
31.8
30.2
31.8
12.1
11.9
3.9
4.1
Switzerland
41.5
40.9
43.4
41.2
15.0
14.3
4.1
3.6
United Kingdom
642.7
672.8
627.1
644.2
224.5
243.9
70.9
73.8
Total
1180.5
1212.0
1172.2
1170.4
401.5
425.2
125.0
130.8
MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA -
Total
51.5
52.7
56.3
50.2
12.2
13.9
4.2
5.1
SOUTHEAST ASIA -
Indonesia
89.4
90.3
94.7
86.9
25.6
29.2
7.8
8.0
Malaysia
159.0
155.6
154.3
142.4
44.7
50.9
15.1
15.0
Philippines
28.5
27.0
29.9
25.4
6.4
8.0
1.8
2.4
Singapore
286.9
253.4
295.8
261.6
92.1
84.9
22.0
18.9
Thailand
82.7
73.2
80.0
75.5
19.6
18.2
5.8
6.7
Total
673.8
625.3
682.7
617.7
195.5
198.6
54.9
54.0
NORTHEAST ASIA -
China
190.0
176.1
172.3
177.1
50.7
58.5
27.0
25.7
Japan
715.5
627.7
659.2
658.6
196.0
192.6
58.9
61.2
Korea
189.7
207.3
181.1
195.8
57.4
60.0
17.9
19.4
Taiwan
97.4
87.7
99.1
80.8
19.1
21.9
9.6
9.0
Total
1345.5
1230.0
1262.4
1254.8
361.4
366.9
126.1
129.9
THE AMERICAS -
Canada
90.9
87.9
93.0
86.5
27.5
28.2
10.2
11.1
USA
434.5
422.1
424.4
423.5
114.1
112.0
40.3
41.9
Total
556.2
537.5
551.1
537.1
149.4
148.9
53.0
55.9
AFRICA (excluding North Africa) -
South Africa
51.0
52.7
55.7
47.5
15.0
20.5
3.5
3.5
Total
67.3
69.2
72.7
62.7
19.8
26.0
5.0
5.2
Total(b)
4841.2
4745.9
4768.3
4655.8
1399.8
1475.2
427.5
454.4

(a) February 2004 data are statistically modelled on passport movements and past arrival trends from passenger cards. Monthly data prior to February 2004 are final estimates based on passenger card data.
(b) Includes Southern Asia and not stated/inadequately described.

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