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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Aug 2006  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/09/2006   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

AUGUST 2006 KEY POINTS

Trend

The August 2006 trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (79,449) increased 0.1% compared with the July estimate. The slight increase in the August 2006 trend estimate follows sixteen consecutive months of decline.

Passenger vehicles recorded an increase (0.5%) from July 2006 to August 2006. Over the same period, both sports utility vehicles and other vehicles trend decreased, 0.7% and 0.4% respectively.

The recent upward trend of passenger vehicles continues, with the last three months recording increases. For sports utility vehicles, the trend estimate has been declining since October 2005, while trend estimate for other vehicles has been declining since September 2005.

Western Australia (1.4%) and Northern Territory (0.8%), recorded the largest increases in their trend estimate from July 2006 to Aug 2006, while Tasmania (1.4%) and South Australia (0.6) recorded the largest decreases.

Seasonally adjusted

The August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (78,974) decreased 2.3% compared to the July 2006 estimate.

From July 2006 to Aug 2006, all vehicle types decreased, sports utility vehicles 7.2%, other vehicles 1.8% and passenger vehicles 1.1%.

All states and territories excluding Northern Territory recorded decreases during this period. Queensland (5.8%), South Australia (4.4%) and Tasmania (4.3%) recorded the largest seasonally adjusted decreases, while the Northern Territory increased 7.6%.

New motor vehicles sales, August 2006
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
23,736
20,196
17,295
4,923
9,432
1,437
796
1,159
78,974
Trend
23,692
20,016
17,784
5,052
9,458
1,516
764
1,167
79,449


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-1.3
-0.7
-5.8
-4.4
-0.8
-4.3
7.6
-0.9
-2.3
Trend
-0.2
0.1
0.3
-0.6
1.4
-1.4
0.8
-0.3
0.1

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
-7.9
-7.7
-5.6
-6.6
9.0
-13.5
-0.5
-11.0
-5.6
Trend
-6.1
-7.0
-2.1
-3.8
10.1
-10.1
-5.3
-7.2
-3.7

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES


FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
September 200620 October 2006
October 200621 November 2006
November 200621 December 2006
December 2006
January 2007
February 2007
22 January 2007
21 February 2007
21 March 2007


TREND REVISIONS


Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.
2The September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%.

The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.

Graph: Trend revisions



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES

Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm


Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term

Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2005June
60,781
18,317
23,047
102,145
20.4
18.7
27.6
21.7
July
49,016
13,822
15,803
78,641
-19.4
-24.5
-31.4
-23.0
August
53,648
15,173
17,356
86,177
9.4
9.8
9.8
9.6
September
52,118
15,080
17,242
84,440
-2.9
-0.6
-0.7
-2.0
October
48,434
12,503
15,181
76,118
-7.1
-17.1
-12.0
-9.9
November
52,751
14,252
16,535
83,538
8.9
14.0
8.9
9.7
December
47,945
15,046
16,286
79,277
-9.1
5.6
-1.5
-5.1
2006January
43,761
13,251
12,991
70,003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7
February
48,483
13,506
15,457
77,446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53,188
15,896
18,072
87,156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42,307
11,901
14,442
68,650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50,683
14,816
17,958
83,457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57,026
18,079
21,343
96,448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48,798
13,279
15,485
77,562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52,030
13,539
16,092
81,661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3

Seasonally adjusted

2005June
51,396
14,337
16,931
82,664
0.8
-2.7
1.5
0.3
July
50,903
14,700
16,567
82,170
-1.0
2.5
-2.1
-0.6
August
51,291
15,086
17,287
83,664
0.8
2.6
4.3
1.8
September
51,720
15,855
17,192
84,767
0.8
5.1
-0.5
1.3
October
48,676
14,004
16,270
78,950
-5.9
-11.7
-5.4
-6.9
November
50,041
14,078
16,502
80,621
2.8
0.5
1.4
2.1
December
49,605
14,927
16,737
81,269
-0.9
6.0
1.4
0.8
2006January
51,352
14,709
16,943
83,004
3.5
-1.5
1.2
2.1
February
50,083
14,170
16,635
80,888
-2.5
-3.7
-1.8
-2.5
March
48,656
13,984
16,589
79,229
-2.8
-1.3
-0.3
-2.1
April
49,219
13,875
16,304
79,398
1.2
-0.8
-1.7
0.2
May
49,558
13,892
16,359
79,809
0.7
0.1
0.3
0.5
June
48,790
14,230
15,593
78,613
-1.5
2.4
-4.7
-1.5
July
50,540
14,052
16,218
80,810
3.6
-1.3
4.0
2.8
August
50,004
13,040
15,930
78,974
-1.1
-7.2
-1.8
-2.3

Trend

2005June
51,222
14,872
16,801
82,895
-0.1
-1.3
0.9
-0.1
July
51,066
14,764
16,902
82,732
-0.3
-0.7
0.6
-0.2
August
50,857
14,754
16,911
82,522
-0.4
-0.1
0.1
-0.3
September
50,595
14,762
16,842
82,199
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
-0.4
October
50,339
14,727
16,767
81,833
-0.5
-0.2
-0.4
-0.4
November
50,155
14,636
16,722
81,513
-0.4
-0.6
-0.3
-0.4
December
50,029
14,499
16,702
81,230
-0.3
-0.9
-0.1
-0.3
2006January
49,898
14,356
16,680
80,934
-0.3
-1.0
-0.1
-0.4
February
49,735
14,254
16,629
80,618
-0.3
-0.7
-0.3
-0.4
March
49,570
14,175
16,530
80,275
-0.3
-0.6
-0.6
-0.4
April
49,422
14,067
16,370
79,859
-0.3
-0.8
-1.0
-0.5
May
49,388
13,951
16,200
79,539
-0.1
-0.8
-1.0
-0.4
June
49,494
13,850
16,068
79,412
0.2
-0.7
-0.8
-0.2
July
49,648
13,739
15,964
79,351
0.3
-0.8
-0.6
-0.1
August
49,906
13,640
15,903
79,449
0.5
-0.7
-0.4
0.1


Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2005June
30,745
25,493
24,656
6,586
10,013
2,052
1,185
1,415
102,145
July
24,998
20,025
17,631
4,813
7,727
1,438
767
1,242
78,641
August
26,292
22,550
19,330
5,458
8,714
1,689
751
1,393
86,177
September
25,457
22,044
18,344
5,243
9,125
2,151
793
1,283
84,440
October
22,949
20,289
16,026
5,030
8,349
1,655
659
1,161
76,118
November
25,716
22,428
17,181
5,500
9,107
1,667
690
1,249
83,538
December
23,054
22,110
16,208
5,335
8,664
2,080
690
1,136
79,277
2006January
21,995
17,876
15,107
4,380
7,604
1,295
616
1,130
70,003
February
24,495
19,979
16,452
5,085
8,165
1,373
731
1,166
77,446
March
27,165
21,461
19,833
5,195
9,750
1,540
913
1,299
87,156
April
21,171
17,636
14,820
4,619
7,507
1,129
764
1,004
68,650
May
25,124
20,776
18,774
5,601
9,472
1,623
863
1,224
83,457
June
28,560
23,015
23,091
6,164
11,170
1,936
1,058
1,454
96,448
July
23,688
19,322
17,910
4,794
8,720
1,334
679
1,115
77,562
August
24,223
21,043
18,124
5,107
9,736
1,436
768
1,224
81,661

Seasonally adjusted

2005June
25,069
21,592
18,754
5,323
8,082
1,783
854
1,207
82,664
July
25,421
21,356
18,103
5,163
8,386
1,628
826
1,287
82,170
August
25,775
21,879
18,318
5,273
8,655
1,662
800
1,302
83,664
September
26,117
21,760
18,320
5,320
9,102
2,001
842
1,305
84,767
October
23,636
20,630
17,429
5,201
8,524
1,605
738
1,187
78,950
November
24,539
21,304
17,267
5,291
8,822
1,475
715
1,208
80,621
December
24,682
21,640
17,453
5,245
8,709
1,578
768
1,194
81,269
2006January
25,884
21,215
18,109
5,309
8,821
1,600
817
1,249
83,004
February
25,318
20,934
17,238
5,258
8,501
1,628
793
1,218
80,888
March
24,605
19,955
17,587
4,835
8,671
1,597
769
1,210
79,229
April
24,045
20,372
17,400
5,317
8,845
1,486
746
1,187
79,398
May
23,886
20,158
17,798
5,275
9,213
1,581
740
1,158
79,809
June
23,837
19,471
17,550
5,040
9,031
1,706
767
1,211
78,613
July
24,037
20,344
18,361
5,147
9,510
1,501
740
1,170
80,810
August
23,736
20,196
17,295
4,923
9,432
1,437
796
1,159
78,974

Trend

2005June
25,616
21,521
18,396
5,310
8,285
1,695
822
1,250
82,895
July
25,416
21,535
18,313
5,266
8,433
1,696
818
1,255
82,732
August
25,234
21,526
18,165
5,253
8,593
1,686
807
1,258
82,522
September
25,067
21,482
17,966
5,261
8,715
1,662
790
1,256
82,199
October
24,958
21,419
17,763
5,266
8,775
1,633
776
1,243
81,833
November
24,931
21,333
17,616
5,262
8,770
1,604
768
1,229
81,513
December
24,949
21,213
17,530
5,246
8,724
1,582
769
1,217
81,230
2006January
24,956
21,024
17,495
5,220
8,682
1,573
773
1,211
80,934
February
24,897
20,769
17,510
5,196
8,689
1,574
774
1,209
80,618
March
24,715
20,492
17,566
5,177
8,762
1,586
771
1,206
80,275
April
24,409
20,238
17,618
5,159
8,885
1,588
765
1,197
79,859
May
24,106
20,077
17,661
5,140
9,035
1,576
757
1,187
79,539
June
23,898
20,008
17,708
5,115
9,189
1,559
756
1,179
79,412
July
23,749
19,989
17,736
5,082
9,328
1,538
758
1,171
79,351
August
23,692
20,016
17,784
5,052
9,458
1,516
764
1,167
79,449

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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