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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Feb 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 19/03/2004   
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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

FEBRUARY 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles rose by 0.1% to 77,590 in February 2004 compared with January 2004. This increase follows a five month period of decline in the trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales.

The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles has declined over the last six months, while the trend estimate for the sales of other vehicles has increased over the same period.

Sales of total new motor vehicles recorded growth in the trend estimate of 6.5% for February 2004 compared with February 2003. The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles increased by 1.9% and for other vehicles increased by 14.9% over the same period.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles for February 2004 increased by 1.0% compared with January 2004 and by 11.3% compared with February 2003.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of passenger vehicles increased by 2.1% in February 2004 compared with January 2004. The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of other vehicles decreased by 0.8% over the same period.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The March 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the February 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The March 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the February 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.

Graph - Trend Revisions




SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS

Graph - TOTAL NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES - Long Term


Graph - TOTAL NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES - Short Term


Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change Passenger vehicles (%)
Change Other vehicles (%)
Change Total vehicles (%)

Original

2002December
45,317
22,656
67,973
-4.0
-6.9
-5.0
2003January
40,015
21,155
61,170
-11.7
-6.6
-10.0
February
43,677
23,058
66,735
9.2
9.0
9.1
March
49,921
26,192
76,113
14.3
13.6
14.1
April
44,602
24,263
68,865
-10.7
-7.4
-9.5
May
49,646
28,616
78,262
11.3
17.9
13.6
June
57,086
34,972
92,058
15.0
22.2
17.6
July
51,450
28,071
79,521
-9.9
-19.7
-13.6
August
49,869
26,304
76,173
-3.1
-6.3
-4.2
September
51,749
26,042
77,791
3.8
-1.0
2.1
October
52,180
27,045
79,225
0.8
3.9
1.8
November
48,482
27,630
76,112
-7.1
2.2
-3.9
December
49,834
27,952
77,786
2.8
1.2
2.2
2004January
40,715
24,082
64,797
-18.3
-13.8
-16.7
February
47,876
28,001
75,877
17.6
16.3
17.1

Seasonally Adjusted

2002December
42,610
22,110
64,720
-7.4
-8.9
-7.9
2003January
47,008
25,656
72,664
10.3
16.0
12.3
February
46,847
24,889
71,736
-0.3
-3.0
-1.3
March
48,285
25,671
73,956
3.1
3.1
3.1
April
48,969
26,225
75,194
1.4
2.2
1.7
May
50,033
26,822
76,855
2.2
2.3
2.2
June
50,331
27,260
77,591
0.6
1.6
1.0
July
49,888
27,749
77,637
-0.9
1.8
0.1
August
51,283
27,272
78,555
2.8
-1.7
1.2
September
53,212
27,612
80,824
3.8
1.2
2.9
October
49,218
27,688
76,906
-7.5
0.3
-4.8
November
48,390
28,274
76,664
-1.7
2.1
-0.3
December
46,099
27,046
73,145
-4.7
-4.3
-4.6
2004January
49,199
29,829
79,028
6.7
10.3
8.0
February
50,255
29,582
79,837
2.1
-0.8
1.0

Trend

2002December
46,332
24,876
71,208
0.8
0.6
0.8
2003January
46,847
25,082
71,929
1.1
0.8
1.0
February
47,481
25,401
72,882
1.4
1.3
1.3
March
48,151
25,818
73,969
1.4
1.6
1.5
April
48,852
26,259
75,111
1.5
1.7
1.5
May
49,631
26,690
76,321
1.6
1.6
1.6
June
50,471
27,120
77,591
1.7
1.6
1.7
July
51,105
27,456
78,561
1.3
1.2
1.3
August
51,282
27,662
78,944
0.3
0.8
0.5
September
50,963
27,794
78,757
-0.6
0.5
-0.2
October
50,338
27,961
78,299
-1.2
0.6
-0.6
November
49,629
28,207
77,836
-1.4
0.9
-0.6
December
49,034
28,520
77,554
-1.2
1.1
-0.4
2004January
48,656
28,852
77,508
-0.8
1.2
-0.1
February
48,394
29,196
77,590
-0.5
1.2
0.1

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2002December
21,741
19,706
12,672
4,531
5,989
1,584
585
1,165
67,973
2003January
20,648
16,490
11,632
3,988
5,762
1,025
534
1,091
61,170
February
21,965
18,152
12,956
4,754
6,164
1,069
582
1,093
66,735
March
25,541
20,408
14,843
5,147
6,917
1,218
769
1,270
76,113
April
23,588
18,368
13,386
4,507
5,948
1,177
728
1,163
68,865
May
26,259
21,053
14,967
5,273
7,127
1,454
789
1,340
78,262
June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877

Seasonally Adjusted

2002December
20,980
18,635
12,198
4,326
5,722
1,096
630
1,133
64,720
2003January
24,546
19,730
13,756
4,848
6,583
1,302
661
1,238
72,664
February
24,079
19,487
13,658
4,973
6,440
1,272
658
1,169
71,736
March
24,555
20,081
14,512
4,973
6,589
1,320
696
1,230
73,956
April
25,639
20,206
14,522
5,080
6,413
1,381
695
1,258
75,194
May
25,696
20,772
14,840
5,113
7,041
1,426
678
1,289
76,855
June
26,009
21,064
14,639
5,117
7,295
1,493
665
1,309
77,591
July
25,757
20,782
15,391
5,203
7,135
1,474
647
1,248
77,637
August
26,395
20,485
15,686
5,342
7,184
1,581
604
1,278
78,555
September
27,331
21,208
15,958
5,404
7,324
1,618
679
1,302
80,824
October
24,651
20,102
15,646
5,337
7,277
1,993
632
1,268
76,906
November
24,807
20,339
15,620
5,266
7,108
1,647
640
1,237
76,664
December
23,933
19,740
14,359
5,106
6,880
1,271
626
1,230
73,145
2004January
26,153
20,643
16,221
5,328
7,283
1,546
623
1,231
79,028
February
26,519
20,822
16,602
5,216
7,177
1,534
762
1,205
79,837

Trend

2002December
24,079
19,469
13,558
4,637
6,386
1,262
636
1,181
71,208
2003January
24,279
19,619
13,709
4,760
6,438
1,276
655
1,193
71,929
February
24,556
19,829
13,936
4,879
6,502
1,299
671
1,210
72,882
March
24,866
20,078
14,198
4,980
6,602
1,332
681
1,232
73,969
April
25,200
20,329
14,481
5,060
6,739
1,366
682
1,254
75,111
May
25,594
20,566
14,771
5,125
6,903
1,410
678
1,274
76,321
June
26,028
20,785
15,082
5,188
7,067
1,478
669
1,294
77,591
July
26,341
20,915
15,347
5,245
7,190
1,556
660
1,307
78,561
August
26,403
20,917
15,500
5,292
7,248
1,624
650
1,310
78,944
September
26,239
20,817
15,553
5,312
7,237
1,657
642
1,300
78,757
October
25,978
20,684
15,561
5,306
7,192
1,653
640
1,285
78,299
November
25,727
20,569
15,572
5,283
7,157
1,621
643
1,264
77,836
December
25,561
20,491
15,638
5,257
7,137
1,574
652
1,244
77,554
2004January
25,513
20,453
15,759
5,235
7,130
1,528
665
1,225
77,508
February
25,521
20,450
15,913
5,213
7,125
1,484
679
1,205
77,590


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