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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Aug 2004  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/09/2004   
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PUBLICATION

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.


CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE

From the August 2004 reference month, SUVs are separately identified in the original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates. Data on SUVs have been included as a separate category back to January 1994 and are available in Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Electronic Delivery (cat. no. 9314.0.55.001). Previous to this, SUVs were included in the other vehicles category.

AUGUST 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles fell slightly to 78,510 in August 2004 compared with July 2004 (78,548). When compared with August 2003 (78,683) the trend estimate has shown a decrease of 0.2%.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded a trend decrease for the fourth consecutive month, declining 0.4% for August 2004. Sports utility vehicle sales increased 1.8%, continuing the increasing trend since September 2003. Sales of other new vehicles decreased 0.6% in August 2004.

Queensland, South Australia, Western Australia, and Tasmania recorded increases in the trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles in August 2004. All other states and territories recorded decreases.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles rose 0.8% to 78,469 in August 2004. Passenger vehicle sales increased 1.3% to 47,872 and sales of sports utility vehicles increased 2.2% to 15,016. Sales of other new vehicles decreased 2.2% to 15,581 in August 2004.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
September 200421 October 2004
October 200419 November 2004
November 200421 December 2004
December 200420 January 2005
January 2005
February 2005
21 February 2005
22 March 2005

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

1The September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.
2The September 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2004 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%.

The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 9 years has been 4.0%.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales - Sensitivity Graph



SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS


Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales - Long Term

Graph - New Motor Vehicle Sales - Short term




Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2003June
57,086
15,601
19,371
92,058
15.0
15.2
28.5
17.6
July
51,450
13,102
14,969
79,521
-9.9
-16.0
-22.7
-13.6
August
49,869
12,181
14,123
76,173
-3.1
-7.0
-5.7
-4.2
September
51,749
11,590
14,452
77,791
3.8
-4.9
2.3
2.1
October
52,180
12,318
14,727
79,225
0.8
6.3
1.9
1.8
November
48,482
12,892
14,738
76,112
-7.1
4.7
0.1
-3.9
December
49,834
13,296
14,656
77,786
2.8
3.1
-0.6
2.2
2004January
40,715
12,291
11,791
64,797
-18.3
-7.6
-19.5
-16.7
February
47,876
12,865
15,136
75,877
17.6
4.7
28.4
17.1
March
53,728
15,005
17,313
86,046
12.2
16.6
14.4
13.4
April
44,079
12,351
14,875
71,305
-18.0
-17.7
-14.1
-17.1
May
46,168
15,052
17,059
78,279
4.7
21.9
14.7
9.8
June
58,284
17,981
20,947
97,212
26.2
19.5
22.8
24.2
July
46,724
14,442
15,869
77,035
-19.8
-19.7
-24.2
-20.8
August
48,649
14,910
15,685
79,244
4.1
3.2
-1.2
2.9

Seasonally Adjusted

2003June
50,082
13,139
14,162
77,383
-0.1
3.0
3.1
1.0
July
50,010
12,582
14,894
77,486
-0.1
-4.2
5.2
0.1
August
50,995
12,739
14,542
78,276
2.0
1.2
-2.4
1.0
September
53,191
12,679
14,994
80,864
4.3
-0.5
3.1
3.3
October
49,311
12,680
15,150
77,141
-7.3
0.0
1.0
-4.6
November
48,372
13,126
14,906
76,404
-1.9
3.5
-1.6
-1.0
December
46,157
13,118
14,884
74,159
-4.6
-0.1
-0.1
-2.9
2004January
49,609
13,941
15,665
79,215
7.5
6.3
5.2
6.8
February
50,055
13,299
16,027
79,381
0.9
-4.6
2.3
0.2
March
49,198
13,468
16,348
79,014
-1.7
1.3
2.0
-0.5
April
48,133
13,266
15,939
77,338
-2.2
-1.5
-2.5
-2.1
May
48,031
14,550
16,190
78,771
-0.2
9.7
1.6
1.9
June
49,904
14,579
15,389
79,872
3.9
0.2
-4.9
1.4
July
47,252
14,692
15,932
77,876
-5.3
0.8
3.5
-2.5
August
47,872
15,016
15,581
78,469
1.3
2.2
-2.2
0.8

Trend

2003June
50,408
12,761
14,262
77,431
1.6
1.0
2.0
1.6
July
51,026
12,775
14,516
78,317
1.2
0.1
1.8
1.1
August
51,209
12,757
14,717
78,683
0.4
-0.1
1.4
0.5
September
50,934
12,764
14,845
78,543
-0.5
0.1
0.9
-0.2
October
50,373
12,865
14,968
78,206
-1.1
0.8
0.8
-0.4
November
49,718
13,019
15,118
77,855
-1.3
1.2
1.0
-0.4
December
49,115
13,183
15,335
77,633
-1.2
1.3
1.4
-0.3
2004January
48,755
13,331
15,598
77,684
-0.7
1.1
1.7
0.1
February
48,689
13,468
15,843
78,000
-0.1
1.0
1.6
0.4
March
48,815
13,635
15,996
78,446
0.3
1.2
1.0
0.6
April
48,860
13,851
16,030
78,741
0.1
1.6
0.2
0.4
May
48,664
14,128
15,965
78,757
-0.4
2.0
-0.4
0.0
June
48,382
14,425
15,859
78,666
-0.6
2.1
-0.7
-0.1
July
48,101
14,699
15,748
78,548
-0.6
1.9
-0.7
-0.2
August
47,894
14,966
15,650
78,510
-0.4
1.8
-0.6
-0.0

Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration

NSW (No.)
Vic. (No.)
Qld (No.)
SA (No.)
WA (No.)
Tas. (No.)
NT (No.)
ACT (No.)
Aust. (No.)

Original

2003June
31,168
24,132
18,084
6,089
8,662
1,549
866
1,508
92,058
July
26,983
21,248
15,716
5,298
6,973
1,407
635
1,261
79,521
August
25,391
19,799
15,248
5,263
7,048
1,589
555
1,280
76,173
September
25,738
21,200
15,293
5,222
6,894
1,639
593
1,212
77,791
October
25,533
21,337
15,521
5,430
7,487
2,008
607
1,302
79,225
November
25,099
20,254
15,058
5,214
6,925
1,717
630
1,215
76,112
December
25,113
21,071
15,265
5,404
7,161
1,860
593
1,319
77,786
2004January
21,216
16,857
13,403
4,334
6,249
1,193
498
1,047
64,797
February
24,955
19,727
15,901
5,059
7,113
1,297
686
1,139
75,877
March
28,118
22,137
18,611
5,561
8,086
1,343
912
1,278
86,046
April
23,033
19,083
14,831
4,670
6,529
1,229
812
1,118
71,305
May
25,649
20,106
16,373
5,215
7,296
1,513
918
1,209
78,279
June
31,438
23,929
22,026
6,436
8,969
1,982
958
1,474
97,212
July
25,031
19,410
17,141
4,949
7,228
1,449
646
1,181
77,035
August
24,795
20,850
17,269
5,414
7,513
1,585
677
1,141
79,244

Seasonally Adjusted

2003June
25,958
20,788
14,904
5,085
7,220
1,482
662
1,284
77,383
July
25,771
20,754
15,171
5,245
7,167
1,498
642
1,238
77,486
August
26,272
20,462
15,560
5,305
7,198
1,564
599
1,316
78,276
September
27,370
21,323
15,890
5,410
7,298
1,595
688
1,290
80,864
October
24,736
20,324
15,667
5,332
7,213
1,986
623
1,260
77,141
November
24,636
20,356
15,528
5,278
7,105
1,633
645
1,223
76,404
December
24,352
20,010
14,612
5,114
6,942
1,251
636
1,242
74,159
2004January
26,126
20,822
16,272
5,368
7,234
1,529
643
1,221
79,215
February
26,315
20,710
16,437
5,215
7,208
1,537
752
1,207
79,381
March
25,759
20,508
16,795
5,170
7,366
1,405
807
1,204
79,014
April
25,155
20,386
16,193
5,107
7,061
1,474
758
1,204
77,338
May
25,360
20,364
16,751
5,204
7,572
1,537
779
1,204
78,771
June
25,543
20,364
17,629
5,335
7,200
1,851
737
1,213
79,872
July
25,188
19,595
17,092
4,997
7,580
1,556
662
1,206
77,876
August
24,739
20,477
17,003
5,268
7,589
1,544
726
1,123
78,469

Trend

2003June
26,017
20,659
15,081
5,182
7,067
1,484
659
1,282
77,431
July
26,286
20,818
15,320
5,236
7,173
1,547
649
1,288
78,317
August
26,322
20,869
15,457
5,285
7,225
1,597
639
1,289
78,683
September
26,155
20,824
15,497
5,313
7,216
1,623
632
1,283
78,543
October
25,918
20,741
15,522
5,318
7,182
1,620
632
1,273
78,206
November
25,698
20,652
15,574
5,300
7,146
1,585
642
1,258
77,855
December
25,547
20,580
15,677
5,263
7,136
1,528
663
1,239
77,633
2004January
25,503
20,543
15,862
5,231
7,151
1,478
694
1,222
77,684
February
25,556
20,517
16,138
5,208
7,184
1,459
727
1,211
78,000
March
25,635
20,487
16,448
5,196
7,236
1,483
752
1,209
78,446
April
25,613
20,430
16,716
5,189
7,296
1,531
760
1,206
78,741
May
25,455
20,326
16,903
5,184
7,355
1,577
755
1,202
78,757
June
25,271
20,223
17,039
5,181
7,413
1,605
740
1,194
78,666
July
25,098
20,140
17,132
5,179
7,472
1,619
725
1,183
78,548
August
24,969
20,099
17,211
5,189
7,531
1,630
707
1,174
78,510


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