8165.0 - Counts of Australian Businesses, including Entries and Exits, Jun 2011 to Jun 2015 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/02/2016   
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TECHNICAL NOTE 1 MEASURES OF BUSINESS GROWTH


INTRODUCTION

1 In CABEE, the stock of businesses is updated each year according to a standard equation:

  • Operating at start of financial year + Entries - Exits = Operating at end of financial year.

2 In previous releases of CABEE, all data was presented in accordance with this equation at both a national level, and for selected classifications: industry, main state, institutional sector, type of legal organisation, employment size, and annual turnover size.

3 To ensure additivity, the classification values (e.g. industry code, main state, employment size range, etc.) attributed to each business were held constant over the lifetime of the business in previous editions. Specifically, for each business, the latest available data were used to overwrite any periods of conflicting or missing data.

4 The main issue with this approach is that it is possible for businesses to change their characteristics over time, particularly for employment size and annual turnover size. In fact, this change can be of interest in itself as business growth can be considered in terms of whether a business is increasing with respect to that characteristic, remaining stable, or decreasing in size over time. To address this, recent releases of CABEE have extended the standard equation for employment size and annual turnover size to:
  • Operating at start of financial year + Entries - Exits + Inflow - Outflow = Operating at end of financial year, where
  • Inflow = the number of surviving businesses that have changed their classification to the classification of interest, and
  • Outflow = the number of surviving businesses that have changed their classification from the classification of interest.


EXAMPLE

5 Consider the following example involving a small business which is active during the 2011-12 and 2012-13 financial years. During this two year period, the business:
  • Did not employ any staff at the start of the 2011-12 financial year
  • Took on 2 employees during 2011-12
  • Grew to 6 employees over 2012-13.

6 Under releases where classifications were held constant for each business at their latest available value, this business would have been included in the 5-19 employees category for June 2011, June 2012 and June 2013. This can result in some misunderstanding regarding the size of businesses in earlier time periods.

7 Now, under the new approach, the business would be classified according to its size for the respective year.

Operating
at start of
financial
year
Plus
Entries
Minus
Exits
Plus
Inflows
Minus
Outflows
Operating
at end of
financial
year

2011-12

Non-employing business
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-4 employees
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-19 employees
0
0
0
0
0
0

2012-13

Non-employing business
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4 employees
1
0
0
0
1
0
5-19 employees
0
0
0
1
0
1



8 Using this approach, it is possible to present the change in business numbers (of surviving businesses) for different classifications (of employment size and annual turnover). For example, consider the following partial extract from Table 14 in the first data cube listed on the Downloads tab.

CHANGE IN BUSINESS SIZE OVER TIME FOR SURVIVING BUSINESSES(a): June 2013-June 2015

CHANGED BUSINESS SIZE CATEGORY (EMPLOYMENT SIZE RANGES)
Inflow at
end of
financial
year
Outflow
at end of
financial
year
Net
movement
of surviving
businesses(c)

Non-employing
1-4(b)
5-19
20-199
200+
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.

CHANGED BUSINESS SIZE CATEGORY AT JUNE 2014

BUSINESS SIZE CATEGORY AT JUNE 2013
(Employment Size Ranges)(d)
Non-employing
1 025 044
41 198
1 882
252
7
58 956
43 339
15 617
1-4(b)
51 390
423 598
32 334
1 320
25
65 587
85 069
-19 482
5-19
6 076
23 510
149 537
7 555
14
39 882
37 155
2 727
20-199
1 471
845
5 660
40 566
329
9 367
8 305
1 062
200+
19
34
6
240
3 097
375
299
76
Total
1 084 000
489 185
189 419
49 933
3 472
174 167
174 167
0

CHANGED BUSINESS SIZE CATEGORY AT JUNE 2015

BUSINESS SIZE CATEGORY AT JUNE 2014
(Employment Size Ranges)(d)
Non-employing
1 033 290
42 816
1 908
260
6
59 822
44 990
14 832
1-4(b)
51 757
436 699
29 473
1 201
38
68 063
82 469
-14 406
5-19
6 494
24 480
150 731
7 414
19
37 675
38 407
-732
20-199
1 550
735
6 285
40 655
425
9 122
8 995
127
200+
21
32
9
247
3 137
488
309
179
Total
1 093 112
504 762
188 406
49 777
3 625
175 170
175 170
0

(a) Please refer to paragraphs 53-58 in the Explanatory Notes for more information regarding employment size ranges.
(b) A small number of businesses which have ITW roles for purposes other than withholding amounts from wages and salaries (and as such have zero employment) are included in this category.
(c) The net movement of surviving businesses is calculated by subtracting the total outflow at the end of the financial year from the total inflow at the end of the financial year. See Glossary and Measures of Business Growth (Technical Note) for more information.
(d) The methodology used to derive employment size changed in the Jun 2009 to Jun 2013 release. Please refer to Improved Employment Range (Technical Note) in the Jun 2009 to Jun 2013 and Jun 2010 to Jun 2014 releases for more information regarding change in methodology.


EXPLANATION OF CONTENTS

Business Size Range Matrix

9 The primary purpose of the table is to quantify the businesses which grow or contract between financial years. The first five columns provide a cross-classified matrix which shows how many businesses were classified to one business size at the start of the financial year, and a different business size at the end of the financial year.

10 Note that the majority of businesses do not change their size category between years, and the counts of these businesses are represented along the main diagonal of the table. For example, 1,033,290 non-employing businesses at the end of June 2014 remained non-employing at the end of June 2015. Equally, 3,137 businesses in the largest size category at the end of June 2014 remained in the largest size category at the end of June 2015. In the above table, it can be seen that:
  • 51,757 businesses had 1-4 employees at the start of the financial year and contracted to be non-employing by the end of the financial year (negative growth)
  • 436,699 businesses had 1-4 employees at the start of the financial year and continued to have 1-4 employees at the end of the financial year (stability)
  • 29,473 businesses had 1-4 employees at the start of the financial year and expanded to have 5-19 employees at the end of the financial year (growth).


Inflow at End of Financial Year

11 The total number of business that moved into a size range from another range. Note that these businesses may have come from larger or smaller size ranges (depending on the range being analysed).


Outflow at End of Financial Year

12 This column accounts for the total number of business that moved out of a size range into another range. Note that these businesses may have come from larger or smaller size ranges (depending on the range being analysed).


Net Movement of Surviving Businesses

13 The net movement of surviving businesses for each range, i.e. accounting for all businesses that moved into (inflow) and out of (outflow) a particular size range.

14 The net movement of surviving businesses is calculated by taking total inflow at the end of the financial year minus total outflow at the end of the financial year.

15 The above information (particularly the last column) can then be included in the traditional business counts tables. A partial extract from Table 13 in the first data cube listed on the Downloads tab is included below.

BUSINESSES BY EMPLOYMENT SIZE RANGES(a): June 2013-June 2015

Operating
at start of
financial
year
Entries
Exits
Net movement
of surviving
businesses(b)
Operating
at end of
financial
year
Change
Percentage
change
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%

2013-14

Non-employing
1 264 298
189 769
195 915
15 617
1 273 769
9 471
0.7
Employing(c)
1-4(d)
563 412
82 021
54 745
-19 482
571 206
7 794
1.4
5-19
197 412
10 546
10 720
2 727
199 965
2 553
1.3
20-199
50 946
1 686
2 075
1 062
51 619
673
1.3
200+
3 598
131
202
76
3 603
5
0.1
Total employing
815 368
94 384
67 742
-15 617
826 393
11 025
1.4
Total
2 079 666
284 153
263 657
0
2 100 162
20 496
1.0

2014-15

Non-employing
1 273 769
191 503
195 489
14 832
1 284 615
10 846
0.9
Employing(c)
1-4(d)
571 206
79 982
52 038
-14 406
584 744
13 538
2.4
5-19
199 965
8 758
10 827
-732
197 164
-2 801
-1.4
20-199
51 619
1 218
1 969
127
50 995
-624
-1.2
200+
3 603
92
157
179
3 717
114
3.2
Total employing
826 393
90 050
64 991
-14 832
836 620
10 227
1.2
Total
2 100 162
281 553
260 480
0
2 121 235
21 073
1.0

(a) Please refer to paragraphs 53-58 in the Explanatory Notes for more information regarding employment size ranges.
(b) The net movement of surviving businesses is calculated by subtracting the total outflow at the end of the financial year from the total inflow at the end of the financial year. See Glossary and Measures of Business Growth (Technical Note) for more information.
(c) The methodology used to derive employment size changed in the Jun 2009 to Jun 2013 release. Please refer to Improved Employment Range (Technical Note) in the Jun 2009 to Jun 2013 and Jun 2010 to Jun 2014 releases for more information regarding change in methodology.
(d) A small number of businesses which have ITW roles for purposes other than withholding amounts from wages and salaries (and as such have zero employment) are included in this category.


16 Including the net movement of surviving businesses column in the employment size ranges table provides more detailed (point in time) information about the movement of businesses within specific business size ranges while maintaining additivity within each business size table. For example, the table above demonstrates that during 2014-15, the 114 change recorded for businesses employing 200 employees or more was partly driven by the 179 net movement of surviving businesses in this employment size range. That is, during 2014-15, there was a positive net movement of 179 existing small or medium businesses which grew to become large businesses.


Application within Other Tables

17 While it is possible to develop similar tables and data cubes for the other classifications (industry, main state of operation, institutional sector and type of legal organisation) used in CABEE, ABS investigations have determined that relatively few businesses tend to change these classification values from year to year. Thus, allowing for the classifications to change over time appears to offer limited additional information while increasing the complexity of the tables (including introducing a need to confidentialise data for those rare changes in classification). For these reasons, additional tables for the non-business size range topics have not been created in this release of CABEE.