8146.0 - Household Use of Information Technology, Australia, 2005-06  
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 15/12/2006   
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TECHNICAL NOTE RELIABILITY OF ESTIMATES


RELIABILITY OF THE ESTIMATES

1 As the estimates in this publication are based on information obtained from a sample of households and persons, they are subject to sampling variability. That is, they may differ from the figures that would have been produced if all households and persons in Australia had been included in the survey. One measure of the likely difference is given by the standard error (SE), which indicates the extent to which an estimate might have varied by chance because only a sample of households and persons was included. There are about 2 chances in 3 that a sample estimate will differ by less than one SE from the figure that would have been obtained if all households and persons had been included in the survey, and about 19 chances in 20 that the difference will be less than two SEs.


2 Another measure of the likely difference is the relative standard error (RSE), which is obtained by expressing the SE as a percentage of the estimate.


3 In the tables in this publication, only estimates (numbers and percentages) with RSEs less than 25% are considered sufficiently reliable for most purposes. However, estimates with larger RSEs have been included and are annotated to indicate they are subject to higher SEs and should be used with caution. Estimates with RSEs of 10% to less than 25% are preceded by a ^, and estimates with RSEs of 25% to 50% are preceded by an asterix (*) to indicate that they should be used with caution. Estimates with RSEs greater than 50% are preceded by a double asterisk (**) to indicate that they are considered too unreliable for general use.


4 To assist readers of this publication to ascertain the approximate levels of reliability of estimates throughout this publication, tables of SEs and RSEs for certain estimates of population counts for the data appear at the end of this Technical Note. These values do not give a precise measure of the SEs or RSEs for a particular estimate but will provide an indication of their magnitude.



USING STANDARD ERRORS FOR POPULATION ESTIMATES

5 An example of the use of SEs in relation to estimates is as follows.


6 From table 4.1, it is estimated that 4,730,000 households accessed the Internet using a home computer in 2005-06. This estimate has a SE around 39,000. This means there are about two chances in three that the value that would have been obtained from a complete census is within the range 4,691,000 to 4,769,000 households and about 19 chances in 20 that the true value is in the range 4,652,000 to 4,808,000 households.


7 Particular care should be taken when comparing figures over time. It is not correct to assume that an apparent difference between figures is actually significant. Such an estimate is subject to sampling error. An approximate SE of the difference between two estimates (x-y) may be calculated by the following formula:


Equation: Formula for calculating standard errors


8 The estimated increase in the number of households with home internet access from the previous year was 337,000 (from 4,393,000 in 2004-05 to 4,730,000 in 2005-06). The SE on the movement is around 55,000. There are 2 chances in 3 that the true value is within the range 282,000 to 392,000 households and 19 chances in 20 that the true value is in the range 227,000 to 447,000 households.


9 Improved modelling techniques have resulted in some differences between SEs for states and territories in 2005-06 with those from 2004-05. The ABS considers 2005-06 estimates for SEs to be more accurate.



TABLES OF STANDARD ERRORS AND RELATIVE STANDARD ERRORS

Standard errors of household estimates-2005-06

STANDARD ERROR
AUSTRALIA
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Standard error
Relative standard error
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%

Size of estimate
100
140
180
160
110
140
120
130
120
180
180
200
250
280
260
200
240
190
210
190
280
140
300
330
370
340
270
310
240
280
240
360
120
500
480
510
460
380
440
320
380
320
490
98
700
610
620
570
480
550
390
460
390
600
86
1,000
780
770
710
610
690
470
560
480
740
74
1,500
1 020
980
900
780
870
580
680
580
930
62
2,000
1 220
1 150
1 070
920
1 020
670
780
670
1 100
55
2,500
1 400
1 300
1 200
1 050
1 150
750
850
750
1 250
50
3,000
1 550
1 450
1 350
1 150
1 300
800
950
800
1 400
47
3,500
1 700
1 550
1 450
1 250
1 400
900
1 000
850
1 500
43
4,000
1 850
1 700
1 550
1 350
1 500
950
1 050
900
1 600
40
5,000
2 100
1 900
1 750
1 500
1 650
1 050
1 150
1 000
1 850
37
7,000
2 550
2 250
2 100
1 750
1 950
1 200
1 300
1 150
2 200
31
10,000
3 050
2 700
2 500
2 050
2 300
1 350
1 450
1 300
2 650
27
15,000
3 750
3 300
3 050
2 450
2 700
1 600
1 600
1 450
3 250
22
20,000
4 350
3 750
3 500
2 750
3 050
1 750
1 700
1 600
3 800
19
30,000
5 250
4 500
4 250
3 150
3 550
2 000
1 900
1 800
4 650
16
40,000
5 950
5 100
4 800
3 500
3 950
2 200
1 950
1 900
5 350
13
50,000
6 550
5 650
5 300
3 700
4 250
2 350
2 050
2 000
5 950
12
100,000
8 600
7 450
7 050
4 500
5 250
2 800
2 200
2 300
8 200
8
150,000
10 000
8 750
8 250
4 900
5 850
3 050
2 230
2 450
9 850
7
200,000
11 000
9 700
9 150
5 200
6 250
3 250
2 240
2 500
11 200
6
300,000
12 550
11 200
10 600
5 550
6 850
3 500
-
2 600
13 350
5
500,000
14 550
13 300
12 600
5 900
7 500
3 750
-
-
16 550
3
1,000,000
17 300
16 450
15 600
6 200
8 250
-
-
-
21 900
2
2,000,000
20 000
19 950
18 950
6 300
8 800
-
-
-
28 550
1
5,000,000
23 050
24 950
23 750
-
-
-
-
-
39 750
1
10,000,000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
50 300
1

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)

Household estimates with relative standard errors of 25% to 50%-2005-06

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Aust.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.

Size of estimate
Estimate with RSEs of 25%
15 158
11 595
10 104
7 068
8 495
3 515
4 332
3 392
11 312
Estimate with RSEs of 30%
10 472
8 088
6 990
4 981
6 041
2 505
3 205
2 451
7 704
Estimate with RSEs of 35%
7 549
5 912
5 069
3 643
4 470
1 860
2 454
1 840
5 528
Estimate with RSEs of 40%
5 615
4 473
3 807
2 738
3 408
1 424
1 926
1 420
4 124
Estimate with RSEs of 45%
4 278
3 477
2 938
2 100
2 657
1 117
1 541
1 120
3 170
Estimate with RSEs of 50%
3 322
2 761
2 317
1 636
2 110
892
1 252
899
2 496

STANDARD ERRORS OF PERSON ESTIMATES-2005-06

STANDARD ERROR
AUSTRALIA
NSW
VIC
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Standard error
Relative standard error
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%

Size of estimate
100
210
210
230
120
150
120
130
140
170
170
200
360
350
380
230
270
210
230
240
290
145
300
490
460
500
310
370
290
320
320
390
130
500
700
650
690
470
540
420
470
450
560
112
700
880
820
860
600
690
530
600
550
710
101
1,000
1 120
1 030
1 080
780
890
670
760
690
910
91
1,500
1 470
1 340
1 380
1 030
1 170
870
980
870
1 190
79
2,000
1 770
1 600
1 640
1 250
1 400
1 030
1 150
1 020
1 440
72
2,500
2 050
1 850
1 850
1 450
1 600
1 200
1 300
1 150
1 650
66
3,000
2 300
2 050
2 100
1 600
1 800
1 300
1 450
1 250
1 850
62
3,500
2 500
2 250
2 250
1 800
2 000
1 450
1 550
1 350
2 050
59
4,000
2 700
2 400
2 450
1 900
2 150
1 550
1 650
1 450
2 250
56
5,000
3 100
2 750
2 800
2 200
2 450
1 750
1 850
1 600
2 550
51
7,000
3 800
3 350
3 350
2 650
2 900
2 050
2 150
1 900
3 150
45
10,000
4 650
4 050
4 050
3 200
3 500
2 450
2 500
2 200
3 900
39
15,000
5 800
5 050
5 000
3 950
4 300
3 000
2 900
2 600
4 900
33
20,000
6 750
5 850
5 800
4 550
4 950
3 400
3 150
2 850
5 750
29
30,000
8 350
7 200
7 150
5 500
5 900
4 050
3 550
3 300
7 200
24
40,000
9 650
8 300
8 200
6 200
6 650
4 500
3 850
3 600
8 400
21
50,000
10 750
9 200
9 150
6 800
7 300
4 900
4 000
3 850
9 400
19
100,000
14 900
12 650
12 550
8 800
9 400
6 250
4 550
4 600
13 300
13
150,000
17 900
15 100
15 050
10 100
10 700
7 050
4 750
5 000
16 150
11
200,000
20 250
17 050
17 000
11 000
11 650
7 650
4 850
5 300
18 450
9
300,000
23 950
20 050
20 150
12 300
13 050
8 500
-
5 650
22 100
7
500,000
29 300
24 400
24 650
13 900
14 700
9 550
-
-
27 500
6
1,000,000
37 750
31 250
32 050
15 900
16 850
-
-
-
36 350
4
2,000,000
47 550
39 200
40 850
17 550
18 550
-
-
-
47 100
2
5,000,000
62 400
51 200
54 850
-
-
-
-
-
64 250
1
10,000,000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
79 400
1
15,000,000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
89 000
1
20,000,000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
96 150
1

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)

Person estimates with relative standard errors of 25% to 50%-2005-06

NSW no.
Vic no.
Qld no.
SA no.
WA no.
Tas. no.
NT no.
ACT no.
Aust. no.

Size of estimate
Estimate with RSEs of 25%
37 183
27 628
27 148
16 728
19 497
9 741
9 923
7 974
27 433
Estimate with RSEs of 30%
25 635
19 081
18 803
11 610
13 780
6 767
7 300
5 747
18 321
Estimate with RSEs of 35%
18 521
13 816
13 672
8 376
10 130
4 894
5 547
4 302
12 861
Estimate with RSEs of 40%
13 855
10 361
10 307
6 216
7 666
3 647
4 316
3 312
9 369
Estimate with RSEs of 45%
10 648
7 984
7 991
4 712
5 932
2 780
3 418
2 605
7 023
Estimate with RSEs of 50%
8 361
6 288
6 335
3 631
4 670
2 157
2 745
2 084
5 386

Standard errors of number of children aged 5-14 years estimate, 2006

STANDARD ERROR
AUSTRALIA
NSW
Vic.
Qld.
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Standard error
Relative standard error
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%

Size of estimate
300
430.0
360.0
370.0
270.0
300.0
210.0
210.0
220.0
300.0
100.0
500
550.0
470.0
460.0
340.0
400.0
270.0
270.0
280.0
400.0
80.0
700
640.0
560.0
540.0
400.0
470.0
320.0
330.0
330.0
480.0
68.6
1000
760.0
670.0
640.0
470.0
560.0
370.0
390.0
390.0
580.0
58.0
1500
920.0
810.0
760.0
560.0
690.0
450.0
470.0
460.0
720.0
48.0
2000
1 050.0
940.0
870.0
640.0
790.0
510.0
540.0
520.0
840.0
42.0
2500
1 150.0
1 050.0
950.0
700.0
900.0
550.0
600.0
580.0
950.0
38.0
3000
1 250.0
1 150.0
1 050.0
750.0
950.0
600.0
650.0
620.0
1 050.0
35.0
3500
1 350.0
1 200.0
1 100.0
800.0
1 050.0
650.0
700.0
650.0
1 100.0
31.4
4000
1 450.0
1 300.0
1 200.0
850.0
1 100.0
700.0
750.0
700.0
1 200.0
30.0
5000
1 600.0
1 450.0
1 300.0
950.0
1 200.0
750.0
800.0
750.0
1 350.0
27.0
7000
1 900.0
1 700.0
1 550.0
1 100.0
1 400.0
850.0
900.0
900.0
1 600.0
22.9
10000
2 250.0
2 000.0
1 800.0
1 300.0
1 650.0
950.0
1 050.0
1 000.0
1 900.0
19.0
15000
2 700.0
2 350.0
2 200.0
1 550.0
1 950.0
1 100.0
1 200.0
1 200.0
2 350.0
15.7
20000
3 050.0
2 700.0
2 500.0
1 750.0
2 200.0
1 200.0
1 300.0
1 350.0
2 700.0
13.5
30000
3 700.0
3 200.0
3 000.0
2 050.0
2 650.0
1 350.0
1 500.0
1 550.0
3 250.0
10.8
40000
4 200.0
3 600.0
3 450.0
2 300.0
2 950.0
1 450.0
1 650.0
1 750.0
3 750.0
9.4
50000
4 650.0
3 950.0
3 800.0
2 550.0
3 250.0
1 550.0
-
1 900.0
4 150.0
8.3
100000
6 350.0
5 200.0
5 250.0
3 400.0
4 200.0
1 850.0
-
-
5 750.0
5.8
150000
7 600.0
6 100.0
6 300.0
4 000.0
4 900.0
-
-
-
6 950.0
4.6
200000
8 650.0
6 800.0
7 200.0
4 500.0
5 450.0
-
-
-
7 900.0
4.0
300000
10 350.0
7 900.0
8 700.0
-
6 300.0
-
-
-
9 450.0
3.2
500000
13 000.0
9 500.0
11 050.0
-
-
-
-
-
11 850.0
2.4
1000000
17 600.0
12 150.0
15 250.0
-
-
-
-
-
15 950.0
1.6
2000000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
21 350.0
1.1
5000000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
31 000.0
0.6
10000000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
. .

. . not applicable
- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)

Estimates with relative standard errors of 25% to 50%, number of children aged 5-14 years, 2006

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Aust.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.

Size of Estimates
Estimate with RSEs of 25%
8 077
6 522
5 545
3 102
4 729
2 078
2 302
2 173
5 819
Estimate with RSEs of 30%
5 752
4 655
3 964
2 236
3 372
1 502
1 650
1 572
4 015
Estimate with RSEs of 35%
4 313
3 487
2 986
1 693
2 522
1 133
1 233
1 191
2 924
Estimate with RSEs of 40%
3 359
2 707
2 336
1 329
1 955
881
951
935
2 216
Estimate with RSEs of 45%
2 692
2 160
1 882
1 073
1 557
702
752
753
1 731
Estimate with RSEs of 50%
2 208
1 762
1 551
885
1 267
571
606
620
1 386