6265.0 - Underemployed Workers, Australia, Sep 2007 Quality Declaration 
ARCHIVED ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 25/02/2008   
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TECHNICAL NOTE DATA QUALITY


INTRODUCTION

1 Since the estimates in this publication are based on information obtained from occupants of a sample of dwellings, they are subject to sampling variability. That is, they may differ from those estimates that would have been produced if all dwellings had been included in the survey. One measure of the likely difference is given by the standard error (SE), which indicates the extent to which an estimate might have varied by chance because only a sample of dwellings was included. There are about two chances in three (67%) that a sample estimate will differ by less than one SE from the number that would have been obtained if all dwellings had been included, and about 19 chances in 20 (95%) that the difference will be less than two SEs. Another measure of the likely difference is the relative standard error (RSE), which is obtained by expressing the SE as a percentage of the estimate.


2 Due to space limitations, it is impractical to print the SE of each estimate in the publication. Instead, a table of SEs is provided to enable readers to determine the SE for an estimate from the size of that estimate (see table T1). The SE table is derived from a mathematical model, referred to as the 'SE model', which is created using data from a number of past Labour Force Surveys. It should be noted that the SE model only gives an approximate value for the SE for any particular estimate, since there is some minor variation between SEs for different estimates of the same size.



CALCULATION OF STANDARD ERROR

3 An example of the calculation and the use of SEs in relation to estimates of persons is as follows. Table 5 shows the estimated number of female underemployed part-time workers was 300,300. Since this estimate is between 300,000 and 500,000, table T1 shows that the SE for Australia will lie between 5,950 and 7,500 and can be approximated by interpolation using the following general formula:


Equation: Calculation of standard errors


4 Therefore, there are about two chances in three that the value that would have been produced if all dwellings had been included in the survey will fall within the range 294,300 to 306,300 and about 19 chances in 20 that the value will fall within the range 288,300 to 312,300. This example is illustrated in the following diagram.

Diagram: Confidence intervals of estimates


5 In general, the size of the SE increases as the size of the estimate increases. Conversely, the RSE decreases as the size of the estimate increases. Very small estimates are thus subject to such high RSEs that their value for most practical purposes is unreliable. In the tables in this publication, only estimates with RSEs of 25% or less are considered reliable for most purposes. Estimates with RSEs greater than 25% but less than or equal to 50% are preceded by an asterisk (e.g.*3.2) to indicate they are subject to high SEs and should be used with caution. Estimates with RSEs of greater than 50%, preceded by a double asterisk (e.g.**0.3), are considered too unreliable for general use and should only be used to aggregate with other estimates to provide derived estimates with RSEs of less than 25%.



MEANS AND MEDIANS

6 The RSEs of estimates of mean duration of insufficient work, median duration of insufficient work and mean preferred number of extra hours are obtained by first finding the RSE of the estimate of the total number of persons contributing to the mean or median (see table T1) and then multiplying the resulting number by the following factors:

  • mean duration of insufficient work: 1.6
  • median duration of insufficient work: 2.5
  • mean preferred number of extra hours: 0.7

7 The following is an example of the calculation of SEs where the use of a factor is required. Table 5 shows that the estimated number of male underemployed part-time workers was 171,800 with a median duration of insufficient work of 25 weeks. The SE of 171,800 can be calculated from table T1 (by interpolation) as 4,700. To convert this to an RSE we express the SE as a percentage of the estimate or 4,700/171,800 =2.7%.


8 The RSE of the estimate of median duration of insufficient work is calculated by multiplying this number (2.7%) by the appropriate factor shown in paragraph 6 (in this case 2.5): 2.7 x 2.5 = 6.8%. The SE of this estimate of median duration of insufficient work is therefore 6.8% of 25, i.e. about 2 (rounded to the nearest whole week). Therefore, there are two chances in three that the median duration of insufficient work for males that would have been obtained if all dwellings had been included in the survey would have been within the range 23-27 weeks, and about 19 chances in 20 that it would have been within the range 21-29 weeks.



PROPORTIONS AND PERCENTAGES

9 Proportions and percentages formed from the ratio of two estimates are also subject to sampling errors. The size of the error depends on the accuracy of both the numerator and the denominator. A formula to approximate the RSE of a proportion is given below. This formula is only valid when x is a subset of y.


Equation: Calculation of relative standard errors of proportions and percentages


10 Considering the example from paragraph 3, of the 300,300 female underemployed part-time workers, 104,200 or 34.7% had insufficient work for 52 weeks and over. The SE of 104,200 may be calculated by interpolation as 3,900. To convert this to an RSE we express the SE as a percentage of the estimate, or 3,900/104,200 = 3.7%. The SE for 300,300 was calculated previously as 6,000, which converted to an RSE is 6,000/300,300 = 2.0%. Applying the above formula, the RSE of the proportion is:


Equation: Example calculation of relative standard errors of proportions


11 Therefore, the SE for the proportion of females who have a current period of insufficient work of 52 weeks or more is 1.1 percentage points (=(34.7/100)x3.1). Therefore, there are about two chances in three that the proportion of females who have a current period of insufficient work of 52 weeks or more was between 33.6% and 35.8% and 19 chances in 20 that the proportion is within the range 32.5% to 36.9%.



DIFFERENCES

12 Published estimates may also be used to calculate the difference between two survey estimates (of numbers or percentages). Such an estimate is subject to sampling error. The sampling error of the difference between two estimates depends on their SEs and the relationship (correlation) between them. An approximate SE of the difference between two estimates (x-y) may be calculated by the following formula:


Equation: Calculation of differences between estimates


13 While this formula will only be exact for differences between separate and uncorrelated characteristics or subpopulations, it is expected to provide a good approximation for all differences likely to be of interest in this publication.



STANDARD ERRORS

T1 STANDARD ERRORS OF ESTIMATES

NSW
Vic.
Qld.
SA
WA
Tas.
NT
ACT
Australia
Size of estimate (persons)
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
no.
%

100
270
260
190
160
180
100
110
90
100
100.0
200
360
340
280
210
240
150
160
140
170
85.0
300
430
400
340
250
280
180
210
180
240
80.0
500
530
490
440
310
340
220
270
230
340
68.0
700
610
550
510
350
390
250
310
260
430
61.4
1,000
700
640
590
400
450
290
360
290
550
55.0
1,500
830
740
700
470
520
340
420
310
700
46.7
2,000
930
830
790
530
580
370
470
330
830
41.5
2,500
1 000
900
850
550
650
400
500
350
950
38.0
3,000
1 100
950
900
600
700
400
550
350
1 050
35.0
3,500
1 150
1 050
1 000
650
700
450
550
400
1 100
31.4
4,000
1 200
1 100
1 050
700
750
450
600
400
1 200
30.0
5,000
1 300
1 150
1 100
750
800
500
650
450
1 350
27.0
7,000
1 500
1 350
1 250
850
950
550
800
500
1 550
22.1
10,000
1 700
1 500
1 400
950
1 050
650
1 000
600
1 800
18.0
15,000
2 000
1 750
1 550
1 100
1 200
800
1 350
700
2 100
14.0
20,000
2 200
1 950
1 700
1 200
1 350
900
1 750
850
2 300
11.5
30,000
2 550
2 250
1 950
1 400
1 550
1 150
2 400
1 050
2 600
8.7
40,000
2 850
2 500
2 200
1 600
1 700
1 400
3 050
1 250
2 850
7.1
50,000
3 100
2 750
2 400
1 800
1 900
1 600
3 650
1 450
3 050
6.1
100,000
3 950
3 550
3 250
2 700
2 750
2 250
6 350
1 900
3 850
3.9
150,000
4 600
4 350
4 000
3 450
3 650
2 700
. .
2 150
4 500
3.0
200,000
5 300
5 050
4 700
4 050
4 400
3 000
. .
2 300
5 050
2.5
300,000
6 700
6 500
5 950
5 000
5 500
3 450
. .
. .
5 950
2.0
500,000
9 350
9 000
8 050
6 250
7 000
. .
. .
. .
7 500
1.5
1,000,000
13 900
13 700
11 500
8 000
8 950
. .
. .
. .
10 550
1.1
2,000,000
18 750
20 250
15 450
. .
10 350
. .
. .
. .
15 300
0.8
5,000,000
23 900
32 400
20 850
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
25 550
0.5
10,000,000
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
34 100
0.3
15,000,000
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
38 500
0.3

. . not applicable