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5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, June 2012 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 30/08/2012   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.2%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.2%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2011
September
20 819
12.5
20 819
12.5
20 819
12.5
December
22 868
9.8
22 951
10.2
23 020
10.6
2012
March
24 633
7.7
24 624
7.3
24 598
6.9
June
26 058
5.8
25 996
5.6
25 664
4.3



Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2011
September
15 576
2.3
15 576
2.3
15 576
2.3
December
15 689
0.7
15 689
0.7
15 726
1.0
2012
March
15 670
-0.1
15 673
-0.1
15 660
-0.4
June
15 586
-0.5
15 734
0.4
15 556
-0.7



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset


WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 2.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 2.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2011
September
36 394
7.9
36 394
7.9
36 394
7.9
December
38 543
5.9
38 640
6.2
38 746
6.5
2012
March
40 296
4.5
40 271
4.2
40 234
3.8
June
41 744
3.6
41 721
3.6
41 212
2.4




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