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5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Jun 2010 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 26/08/2010   
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WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES


EFFECT OF NEW SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES ON TREND ESTIMATES


TREND REVISIONS

Recent seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are likely to be revised when original estimates for subsequent quarters become available. The approximate effects of possible scenarios on trend estimates for capital expenditure in chain volume terms are presented below by illustrating the impact if next quarter's seasonally adjusted estimate rises or falls by a specified percentage (based on the historical average of movements in seasonally adjusted estimates). For further information, see paragraphs 41 and 42 in the Explanatory Notes.

Buildings and Structures

Graph: What if Buildings and structures

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 6.8%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 6.8%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2009
September
13 074
-3.9
13 074
-3.9
13 074
-3.9
December
12 951
-0.9
12 887
-1.4
12 991
-0.6
2010
March
13 010
0.5
13 032
1.1
12 992
-
June
13 163
1.2
13 332
2.3
12 832
-1.2

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)


Equipment, Plant and Machinery

Graph: What if Equipment, Plant and Machinery

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.1%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.1%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2009
September
13 847
2.3
13 847
2.3
13 847
2.3
December
14 068
1.6
14 068
1.6
14 132
2.1
2010
March
13 945
-0.9
13 946
-0.9
13 924
-1.5
June
13 597
-2.5
13 670
-2.0
13 363
-4.0



Total Capital Expenditure

Graph: What if Total asset

WHAT IF NEXT QUARTER'S
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATE:
Trend as published
(1) rises by 4.0%
on this quarter
(2) falls by 4.0%
on this quarter
$m
%
$m
%
$m
%

2009
September
26 777
-0.6
26 777
-0.6
26 777
-0.6
December
26 988
0.8
26 948
0.6
27 071
1.1
2010
March
26 979
-
26 990
0.2
26 947
-0.5
June
26 768
-0.8
26 894
-0.4
26 302
-2.4

- nil or rounded to zero (including null cells)



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