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5625.0 - Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure, Australia, Sep 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/11/2007   
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EXPERIMENTAL PROJECTED CAPITAL EXPENDITURE


IN CURRENT PRICE TERMS


PROJECTED CAPITAL EXPENDITURE SERIES

The projected series below apply historical realisation ratios to contemporary expectations to convert these to quarterly figures. Trend estimates of resultant quarterly time series of actual and expected expenditure are produced.


The following graphs, with accompanying commentary, show the projected capital expenditure series based on September quarter 2007 data, which includes expected expenditure up to and including the June quarter 2008. Please see paragraphs 29 to 33 of the Explanatory Notes for further details about the methodology and cautionary notes for these series.



TOTAL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

Total capital expenditure continues to show strong signs that the recent growth will continue to develop for the remainder of the financial year. The expectations for the remainder of the 2007-08 financial year suggest that the series will move above the recent high levels.

Graph: Projected Total Expenditure



BUILDINGS AND STRUCTURES

The buildings and structures current price trend series has grown substantially in the past five years. The expectations are that the momentum will continue and the series will surge past the $12,000m level per quarter during the second half of the 2007-08 financial year.

Graph: Projected Building Expenditure



EQUIPMENT, PLANT AND MACHINERY

The equipment, plant and machinery current price trend series has displayed significant growth from June 2004. The projections for this series suggest that the current levels will be maintained with the possibility of a renewed rise towards the end of the 2007-08 financial year.

Graph: Projected Equipment Expenditure



MINING

The Mining series has grown from the $2,000m per quarter level in 2002 to $6,000m in recent quarters. The projections for this series see increased momentum for the remainder of the financial year with the series driving towards $8,000m capital expenditure per quarter.

Graph: Projected Mining Expenditure



MANUFACTURING

The Manufacturing trend series has been in a state of continual decline since its high in the 2005-06 financial year. While September quarter estimates showed further decline in the series, the expectations for the remainder of the financial year suggest that the series will plateau.

Graph: Projected Manufacturing Expenditure



OTHER SELECTED INDUSTRIES

This series was affected by the trend break applied between December quarter 2006 and March quarter 2007. The new trend has shown a large shift in level and the series projections look to be extremely strong for the remainder of 2007-08.

Graph: Projected Other Selected Industries Expenditure

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