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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jun 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 20/07/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

JUNE 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The June 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (86 887) increased 0.1% when compared with the May 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 13 consecutive months. When compared to June 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.1%.

Sports utility vehicles increased 0.5% and other vehicles increased 0.1% when comparing June 2007 to May 2007. The increases in trend estimates for the two vehicle types have continued for periods of 12 months and 9 months, respectively. Passenger vehicles, however, have decreased by 0.1% when comparing June 2007 to May 2007. This is the first monthly decrease for passenger vehicle trend estimates since April 2006.

When compared to the same period 12 months ago, all vehicle types have recorded increases. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 15.1%, 8.9% and 7.5% respectively.


Seasonally adjusted

The June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (87 440) increased by 2.2% compared with May 2007. Passenger vehicles increased by 3.3% and sports utility vehicles increased 1.5%. Other vehicles decreased 0.5%.

Total sales increased in all states and territories when comparing June 2007 to May 2007, with Tasmania recording the largest increase of 4.7%. New South Wales and Victoria showed the next highest increases, 3.5% and 2.7% respectively.


New motor vehicles sales June 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
26 846
22 198
19 409
5 079
10 076
1 610
829
1 393
87 440
Trend
26 563
21 920
19 477
5 096
10 004
1 590
830
1 407
86 887

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
3.5
2.7
0.1
2.0
1.5
4.7
1.3
0.9
2.2
Trend
0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.7
0.1
0.3
-0.4
0.4
0.1

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
12.1
15.1
10.7
1.0
10.9
-4.2
9.1
12.7
11.3
Trend
10.5
9.2
10.5
-0.3
8.1
1.1
9.9
18.2
9.1

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
July 200721 August 2007
August 200721 September 2007
September 200719 October 2007
October 200721 November 2007
November 200721 December 2007
December 200722 January 2008


WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the June 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.

Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term


Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility vehicles (No.)
Other vehicles (No.)
Total vehicles (No.)
Change passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2006April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9
May
52 727
16 912
18 958
88 597
16.9
18.5
16.8
17.2
June
63 768
18 966
22 363
105 097
20.9
12.1
18.0
18.6

Seasonally adjusted

2006April
49 760
13 829
16 185
79 774
2.8
-0.5
-1.2
1.4
May
49 776
14 024
16 407
80 207
0.0
1.4
1.4
0.5
June
48 455
14 437
15 670
78 562
-2.7
2.9
-4.5
-2.1
July
50 793
14 120
16 111
81 024
4.8
-2.2
2.8
3.1
August
50 322
13 116
15 945
79 383
-0.9
-7.1
-1.0
-2.0
September
50 821
14 538
16 009
81 368
1.0
10.8
0.4
2.5
October
50 434
15 017
16 326
81 777
-0.8
3.3
2.0
0.5
November
50 540
14 868
16 077
81 485
0.2
-1.0
-1.5
-0.4
December
51 596
14 840
15 692
82 128
2.1
-0.2
-2.4
0.8
2007January
54 298
15 324
16 976
86 598
5.2
3.3
8.2
5.4
February
53 719
15 457
17 255
86 431
-1.1
0.9
1.6
-0.2
March
53 880
15 587
17 535
87 002
0.3
0.8
1.6
0.7
April
52 156
16 341
17 449
85 946
-3.2
4.8
-0.5
-1.2
May
52 611
15 692
17 270
85 573
0.9
-4.0
-1.0
-0.4
June
54 332
15 929
17 179
87 440
3.3
1.5
-0.5
2.2

Trend

2006April
49 327
14 014
16 264
79 605
-0.1
-0.6
-1.0
-0.4
May
49 412
13 935
16 116
79 463
0.2
-0.6
-0.9
-0.2
June
49 649
13 935
16 040
79 624
0.5
0.0
-0.5
0.2
July
49 900
14 012
15 998
79 910
0.5
0.6
-0.3
0.4
August
50 140
14 138
15 971
80 249
0.5
0.9
-0.2
0.4
September
50 416
14 321
15 969
80 706
0.6
1.3
-0.0
0.6
October
50 873
14 545
16 028
81 446
0.9
1.6
0.4
0.9
November
51 520
14 808
16 182
82 510
1.3
1.8
1.0
1.3
December
52 192
15 080
16 431
83 703
1.3
1.8
1.5
1.4
2007January
52 765
15 314
16 726
84 805
1.1
1.6
1.8
1.3
February
53 166
15 496
17 015
85 677
0.8
1.2
1.7
1.0
March
53 345
15 668
17 238
86 251
0.3
1.1
1.3
0.7
April
53 392
15 829
17 375
86 596
0.1
1.0
0.8
0.4
May
53 417
15 953
17 446
86 816
0.0
0.8
0.4
0.3
June
53 384
16 034
17 469
86 887
-0.1
0.5
0.1
0.1

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614
May
26 649
22 151
20 428
5 237
10 172
1 587
973
1 400
88 597
June
31 965
25 491
24 997
6 152
11 995
1 750
1 107
1 640
105 097

Seasonally adjusted

2006April
24 221
20 581
17 355
5 285
8 873
1 520
744
1 195
79 774
May
24 108
20 213
17 787
5 305
9 281
1 615
744
1 154
80 207
June
23 946
19 289
17 536
5 030
9 085
1 680
760
1 236
78 562
July
24 181
20 487
18 330
5 112
9 491
1 513
740
1 170
81 024
August
23 939
20 329
17 217
4 944
9 536
1 421
800
1 197
79 383
September
24 672
20 754
17 564
5 028
9 661
1 678
766
1 245
81 368
October
25 144
20 503
17 891
4 902
9 641
1 657
834
1 205
81 777
November
24 858
19 988
18 386
4 962
9 597
1 658
767
1 269
81 485
December
25 063
20 373
18 602
4 841
9 785
1 410
803
1 251
82 128
2007January
26 723
21 761
19 039
5 402
9 938
1 562
839
1 334
86 598
February
25 967
22 197
19 093
5 209
10 025
1 715
829
1 396
86 431
March
26 625
21 957
19 567
5 263
9 777
1 596
829
1 388
87 002
April
26 473
21 224
19 258
5 183
10 009
1 551
844
1 404
85 946
May
25 927
21 616
19 393
4 978
9 924
1 537
818
1 380
85 573
June
26 846
22 198
19 409
5 079
10 076
1 610
829
1 393
87 440

Trend

2006April
24 317
20 145
17 543
5 145
8 917
1 586
760
1 192
79 605
May
24 108
20 035
17 588
5 132
9 080
1 577
754
1 189
79 463
June
24 040
20 078
17 623
5 113
9 253
1 572
755
1 190
79 624
July
24 089
20 166
17 651
5 069
9 401
1 577
762
1 195
79 910
August
24 250
20 229
17 698
5 009
9 510
1 579
772
1 202
80 249
September
24 495
20 295
17 787
4 960
9 592
1 579
784
1 214
80 706
October
24 812
20 435
17 977
4 952
9 664
1 582
793
1 231
81 446
November
25 198
20 671
18 263
4 998
9 732
1 587
803
1 258
82 510
December
25 585
20 952
18 603
5 071
9 795
1 591
813
1 293
83 703
2007January
25 913
21 251
18 918
5 140
9 848
1 588
819
1 328
84 805
February
26 155
21 530
19 143
5 184
9 897
1 584
826
1 358
85 677
March
26 326
21 724
19 282
5 190
9 934
1 586
829
1 380
86 251
April
26 443
21 832
19 378
5 168
9 962
1 587
831
1 395
86 596
May
26 527
21 903
19 442
5 133
9 990
1 586
833
1 402
86 816
June
26 563
21 920
19 477
5 096
10 004
1 590
830
1 407
86 887

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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