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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Jul 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/08/2007   
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JULY 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The July 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (87 238) increased 0.1% when compared with the June 2007 estimate. The trend estimate has now been increasing for 14 consecutive months. When compared to July 2006, the trend estimate increased by 9.1%

Passenger vehicles increased 0.2% and sports utility vehicles increased 0.1% when comparing July 2007 to June 2007. The increase in trend estimates for passenger vehicles has continued for a period of 15 months, with sports utility vehicles showing increases for the last 14 months. Other vehicles, however, have decreased by 0.1% when comparing July 2007 to June 2007. This is the first monthly decrease for other vehicle trend estimates since September 2006.

All vehicle types have recorded increases when compared to the same period 12 months ago. Sports utility vehicles, other vehicles and passenger vehicles rose 14.0%, 9.6% and 7.6%, respectively.

Seasonally adjusted

The July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (88 063) increased by 0.6% compared with June 2007. Other vehicles increased by 2.8% and sports utility vehicles increased by 1.2%. Passenger vehicles decreased by 0.3%.

Total sales increased in six states and territories when comparing July 2007 to June 2007, with Tasmania recording the largest increase of 5.4%. Western Australia and South Australia followed with increases of 2.4% and 1.4% respectively. The Northern Territory and Victoria both recorded decreases of 3.0% and 0.3% respectively.

New motor vehicles sales July 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
26 940
22 133
19 591
5 154
10 345
1 712
798
1 390
88 063
Trend
26 687
21 957
19 520
5 069
10 170
1 632
810
1 393
87 238

Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
0.2
-0.3
0.9
1.4
2.4
5.4
-3.0
0.3
0.6
Trend
0.2
0.1
0.2
-0.8
0.6
0.4
-0.9
-0.4
0.1

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
11.3
8.0
6.7
0.8
9.4
15.0
6.4
19.3
8.7
Trend
10.7
8.9
10.5
-0.1
8.2
3.9
6.2
17.0
9.1

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
August 200721 September 2007
September 200719 October 2007
October 200721 November 2007
November 200721 December 2007
December 200722 January 2008
January 200821 February 2008


WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The August 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the July 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.


Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term



Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles
(No.)
Sports
utility
vehicles
(No.)
Other
vehicles
(No.)
Total
vehicles
(No.)
Change passenger vehicles
(%)
Change sports
utility vehicles
(%)
Change other vehicles
(%)
Change
total
vehicles
(%)

Original

2006May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8
March
57 757
17 589
19 046
94 392
9.7
18.0
17.6
12.7
April
45 109
14 274
16 231
75 614
-21.9
-18.8
-14.8
-19.9
May
52 727
16 912
18 958
88 597
16.9
18.5
16.8
17.2
June
63 768
18 966
22 363
105 097
20.9
12.1
18.0
18.6
July
53 589
15 396
17 306
86 291
-16.0
-18.8
-22.6
-17.9

Seasonally adjusted

2006May
49 821
14 024
16 412
80 257
0.2
1.4
1.2
0.6
June
48 438
14 323
15 726
78 487
-2.8
2.1
-4.2
-2.2
July
50 840
14 182
16 014
81 036
5.0
-1.0
1.8
3.2
August
50 354
13 125
15 944
79 423
-1.0
-7.5
-0.4
-2.0
September
50 908
14 527
16 008
81 443
1.1
10.7
0.4
2.5
October
50 380
15 043
16 317
81 740
-1.0
3.6
1.9
0.4
November
50 596
14 892
16 070
81 558
0.4
-1.0
-1.5
-0.2
December
51 563
14 838
15 697
82 098
1.9
-0.4
-2.3
0.7
2007January
54 269
15 353
16 945
86 567
5.2
3.5
8.0
5.4
February
53 684
15 462
17 249
86 395
-1.1
0.7
1.8
-0.2
March
53 920
15 587
17 562
87 069
0.4
0.8
1.8
0.8
April
51 993
16 369
17 437
85 799
-3.6
5.0
-0.7
-1.5
May
52 639
15 657
17 342
85 638
1.2
-4.3
-0.5
-0.2
June
54 492
15 797
17 250
87 539
3.5
0.9
-0.5
2.2
July
54 345
15 986
17 732
88 063
-0.3
1.2
2.8
0.6

Trend

2006May
49 420
13 921
16 124
79 465
0.2
-0.6
-0.9
-0.2
June
49 674
13 922
16 039
79 635
0.5
0.0
-0.5
0.2
July
49 933
14 004
15 990
79 927
0.5
0.6
-0.3
0.4
August
50 175
14 138
15 958
80 271
0.5
1.0
-0.2
0.4
September
50 447
14 332
15 953
80 732
0.5
1.4
-0.0
0.6
October
50 893
14 561
16 016
81 470
0.9
1.6
0.4
0.9
November
51 528
14 826
16 173
82 527
1.2
1.8
1.0
1.3
December
52 179
15 098
16 422
83 699
1.3
1.8
1.5
1.4
2007January
52 734
15 338
16 719
84 791
1.1
1.6
1.8
1.3
February
53 132
15 520
17 013
85 665
0.8
1.2
1.8
1.0
March
53 318
15 671
17 249
86 238
0.4
1.0
1.4
0.7
April
53 388
15 808
17 404
86 600
0.1
0.9
0.9
0.4
May
53 478
15 897
17 487
86 862
0.2
0.6
0.5
0.3
June
53 632
15 953
17 544
87 129
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.3
July
53 740
15 968
17 530
87 238
0.2
0.1
-0.1
0.1

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2006May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740
March
29 107
23 408
21 772
5 588
10 530
1 533
978
1 476
94 392
April
23 245
18 833
16 907
4 616
8 701
1 214
883
1 215
75 614
May
26 649
22 151
20 428
5 237
10 172
1 587
973
1 400
88 597
June
31 965
25 491
24 997
6 152
11 995
1 750
1 107
1 640
105 097
July
26 851
21 655
19 600
4 871
9 645
1 561
739
1 369
86 291

Seasonally adjusted

2006May
24 140
20 199
17 793
5 318
9 285
1 627
740
1 155
80 257
June
23 871
19 308
17 516
5 030
9 100
1 679
756
1 227
78 487
July
24 210
20 485
18 365
5 115
9 457
1 489
750
1 165
81 036
August
23 973
20 342
17 223
4 940
9 534
1 415
801
1 195
79 423
September
24 721
20 744
17 588
5 028
9 665
1 684
765
1 248
81 443
October
25 138
20 524
17 889
4 890
9 625
1 634
838
1 202
81 740
November
24 902
19 989
18 392
4 970
9 596
1 672
765
1 272
81 558
December
25 037
20 370
18 596
4 824
9 795
1 411
804
1 261
82 098
2007January
26 714
21 744
19 030
5 404
9 933
1 568
839
1 335
86 567
February
25 964
22 187
19 074
5 207
10 020
1 719
827
1 397
86 395
March
26 670
21 954
19 558
5 263
9 807
1 599
827
1 391
87 069
April
26 347
21 202
19 240
5 214
9 991
1 553
842
1 410
85 799
May
25 948
21 636
19 390
4 979
9 948
1 543
814
1 380
85 638
June
26 898
22 205
19 417
5 083
10 103
1 624
823
1 386
87 539
July
26 940
22 133
19 591
5 154
10 345
1 712
798
1 390
88 063

Trend

2006May
24 103
20 032
17 587
5 140
9 082
1 578
754
1 189
79 465
June
24 044
2 0079
17 628
5 120
9 253
1 570
754
1 187
79 635
July
24 101
20 170
17 663
5 072
9 397
1 570
763
1 191
79 927
August
24 268
20 235
17 710
5 009
9 503
1 573
774
1 199
80 271
September
24 517
20 302
17 799
4 956
9 586
1 574
785
1 213
80 732
October
24 834
20 439
17 985
4 947
9 660
1 578
795
1 232
81 470
November
25 214
20 671
18 265
4 993
9 731
1 588
804
1 261
82 527
December
25 590
20 948
18 598
5 066
9 796
1 594
812
1 295
83 699
2007January
25 908
21 244
18 911
5 139
9 845
1 592
820
1 332
84 791
February
26 146
21 523
19 143
5 186
9 892
1 586
827
1 362
85 665
March
26 312
21 718
19 275
5 196
9 937
1 589
829
1 382
86 238
April
26 435
21 822
19 363
5 175
9 985
1 599
828
1 393
86 600
May
26 535
21 881
19 432
5 142
10 042
1 609
824
1 397
86 862
June
26 639
21 943
19 488
5 112
10 107
1 625
817
1 398
87 129
July
26 687
21 957
19 520
5 069
10 170
1 632
810
1 393
87 238

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


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