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9314.0 - Sales of New Motor Vehicles, Australia, Feb 2007  
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 21/03/2007   
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The Publication

This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

FEBRUARY 2007 KEY POINTS

Trend

The February 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (85 677) increased 1.3% when compared with the January 2007 estimate. This was the ninth consecutive positive trend estimate. From February 2006, the trend estimate increased by 6.7%.

All of the vehicle types recorded increases for at least six consecutive months of trend estimates. Passenger vehicles and other vehicle types both increased 1.3% from January 2007 to February 2007 and sports utility vehicles increased by 1.2%.

Increases have also been recorded in all vehicle types when compared with February 2006. Sports utility vehicles showed the largest increase (8.9%), followed by passenger vehicles (7.9%) and other vehicles (1.1%).

In February 2007, all states and territories recorded increases in the trend estimate of total sales of new motor vehicles from the previous month. The Australian Capital Territory (2.0%) and Victoria (1.7%) recorded the largest increases.

When compared with February 2006, all States and Territories also recorded increases in trend estimates. The largest increases were recorded in Western Australia (14.8%), Australian Capital Territory (12.2%) and Queensland (9.0%).

Seasonally adjusted

The February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 486) was the same as the January 2007 estimate.

Over the same period, other vehicles (1.7%) and sports utility vehicles (0.6%) recorded increases, while passenger vehicles recorded a decrease (0.7%).

All states and territories except New South Wales, South Australia and Northern Territory recorded an increase in seasonally adjusted estimates compared with the previous month, with Tasmania recording the largest increase (7.9%), followed by Australian Capital Territory (4.7%). New South Wales and South Australia recorded the largest decreases (2.7% and 2.6%, respectively).


New motor vehicles sales February 2007
NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.

Vehicle sales
Seasonally adjusted
25 932
22 273
19 036
5 235
10 114
1 679
827
1 390
86 486
Trend
26 070
21 592
19 049
5 189
10 019
1 590
823
1 345
85 677


Percentage change from previous month
Seasonally adjusted
-2.7
2.4
0.1
-2.6
1.3
7.9
-1.2
4.7
0.0
Trend
1.1
1.7
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.3
0.9
2.0
1.3

Percentage change from previous year
Seasonally adjusted
3.9
7.4
10.7
0.9
18.1
6.3
5.1
17.2
7.9
Trend
5.6
4.1
9.0
0.1
14.8
1.7
6.9
12.2
6.7

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.


NOTES

FORTHCOMING ISSUES

ISSUERELEASE DATE
March 200720 April 2007
April 200722 May 2007
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007
20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007
August 200721 September 2007


WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES

The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.


The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.

1The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.
2The March 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%.

The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.

Graph: Trend revisions


SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Graph: New Motor Vehicle Sales(a), Total Vehicles-LongTerm

Graph: New Motor vehicle Sales, Total Vehicles-Short Term



Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle

Passenger vehicles (No.)
Sports utility
vehicles (No.)
Other
vehicles
(No.)
Total
vehicles (No.)
Change
passenger vehicles (%)
Change sports utility vehicles (%)
Change other vehicles (%)
Change total vehicles (%)

Original

2005December
47 945
15 046
16 286
79 277
-9.1
5.6
-1.5
-5.1
2006January
43 761
13 251
12 991
70 003
-8.7
-11.9
-20.2
-11.7
February
48 483
13 506
15 457
77 446
10.8
1.9
19.0
10.6
March
53 188
15 896
18 072
87 156
9.7
17.7
16.9
12.5
April
42 307
11 901
14 442
68 650
-20.5
-25.1
-20.1
-21.2
May
50 683
14 816
17 958
83 457
19.8
24.5
24.3
21.6
June
57 026
18 079
21 343
96 448
12.5
22.0
18.8
15.6
July
48 798
13 279
15 485
77 562
-14.4
-26.6
-27.4
-19.6
August
52 030
13 539
16 092
81 661
6.6
2.0
3.9
5.3
September
51 388
13 208
15 397
79 993
-1.2
-2.4
-4.3
-2.0
October
50 532
13 921
15 477
79 930
-1.7
5.4
0.5
-0.1
November
51 850
15 193
16 254
83 297
2.6
9.1
5.0
4.2
December
48 348
14 258
14 457
77 063
-6.8
-6.2
-11.1
-7.5
2007January
49 189
14 303
13 444
76 936
1.7
0.3
-7.0
-0.2
February
52 628
14 912
16 200
83 740
7.0
4.3
20.5
8.8

Seasonally adjusted

2005December
49 915
14 990
16 995
81 900
-0.9
5.3
1.8
0.7
2006January
50 555
14 484
16 784
81 823
1.3
-3.4
-1.2
-0.1
February
49 706
14 006
16 474
80 186
-1.7
-3.3
-1.8
-2.0
March
48 565
13 937
16 591
79 093
-2.3
-0.5
0.7
-1.4
April
49 363
13 904
16 326
79 593
1.6
-0.2
-1.6
0.6
May
49 465
13 946
16 281
79 692
0.2
0.3
-0.3
0.1
June
48 855
14 343
15 583
78 781
-1.2
2.8
-4.3
-1.1
July
50 693
14 187
16 131
81 011
3.8
-1.1
3.5
2.8
August
50 303
13 097
15 905
79 305
-0.8
-7.7
-1.4
-2.1
September
51 071
14 574
15 997
81 642
1.5
11.3
0.6
2.9
October
50 364
15 054
16 293
81 711
-1.4
3.3
1.9
0.1
November
50 209
14 858
16 015
81 082
-0.3
-1.3
-1.7
-0.8
December
51 580
14 875
15 737
82 192
2.7
0.1
-1.7
1.4
2007January
54 248
15 315
16 923
86 486
5.2
3.0
7.5
5.2
February
53 863
15 413
17 210
86 486
-0.7
0.6
1.7
0.0

Trend

2005December
50 013
14 450
16 737
81 200
-0.4
-1.1
-0.2
-0.5
2006January
49 779
14 285
16 689
80 753
-0.5
-1.1
-0.3
-0.6
February
49 538
14 181
16 608
80 327
-0.5
-0.7
-0.5
-0.5
March
49 342
14 100
16 482
79 924
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
-0.5
April
49 259
14 006
16 306
79 571
-0.2
-0.7
-1.1
-0.4
May
49 361
13 921
16 131
79 413
0.2
-0.6
-1.1
-0.2
June
49 637
13 924
16 024
79 585
0.6
0.0
-0.7
0.2
July
49 918
14 005
15 964
79 887
0.6
0.6
-0.4
0.4
August
50 166
14 143
15 930
80 239
0.5
1.0
-0.2
0.4
September
50 435
14 344
15 955
80 734
0.5
1.4
0.2
0.6
October
50 824
14 590
16 046
81 460
0.8
1.7
0.6
0.9
November
51 371
14 845
16 186
82 402
1.1
1.7
0.9
1.2
December
52 042
15 073
16 365
83 480
1.3
1.5
1.1
1.3
2007January
52 747
15 263
16 566
84 576
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.3
February
53 452
15 439
16 786
85 677
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.3

Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration

NSW
Vic.
Qld
SA
WA
Tas.(a)
NT(a)
ACT(a)
Aust.
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)
(No.)

Original

2005December
23 054
22 110
16 208
5 335
8 664
2 080
690
1 136
79 277
2006January
21 995
17 876
15 107
4 380
7 604
1 295
616
1 130
70 003
February
24 495
19 979
16 452
5 085
8 165
1 373
731
1 166
77 446
March
27 165
21 461
19 833
5 195
9 750
1 540
913
1 299
87 156
April
21 171
17 636
14 820
4 619
7 507
1 129
764
1 004
68 650
May
25 124
20 776
18 774
5 601
9 472
1 623
863
1 224
83 457
June
28 560
23 015
23 091
6 164
11 170
1 936
1 058
1 454
96 448
July
23 688
19 322
17 910
4 794
8 720
1 334
679
1 115
77 562
August
24 223
21 043
18 124
5 107
9 736
1 436
768
1 224
81 661
September
24 267
20 449
17 061
4 903
9 716
1 688
682
1 227
79 993
October
24 379
20 785
16 625
4 781
9 591
1 797
762
1 210
79 930
November
25 418
20 739
18 076
5 116
9 972
1 973
733
1 270
83 297
December
22 927
19 790
16 551
4 700
9 471
1 748
688
1 188
77 063
2007January
24 429
19 000
16 769
4 620
8 929
1 285
651
1 253
76 936
February
25 636
21 510
18 221
5 138
9 625
1 463
771
1 376
83 740

Seasonally adjusted

2005December
24 868
21 973
17 495
5 301
8 714
1 592
771
1 186
81 900
2006January
25 204
20 972
17 920
5 280
8 799
1 594
799
1 255
81 823
February
24 949
20 734
17 196
5 188
8 566
1 580
787
1 186
80 186
March
24 465
19 900
17 577
4 856
8 729
1 589
773
1 204
79 093
April
24 123
20 480
17 383
5 310
8 859
1 494
750
1 194
79 593
May
23 898
20 068
17 776
5 242
9 229
1 594
738
1 147
79 692
June
23 996
19 444
17 519
5 040
9 071
1 717
761
1 233
78 781
July
24 262
20 427
18 261
5 131
9 494
1 523
745
1 168
81 011
August
23 928
20 271
17 273
4 925
9 492
1 422
798
1 196
79 305
September
24 833
20 827
17 553
5 050
9 681
1 682
768
1 248
81 642
October
25 105
20 491
17 846
4 911
9 642
1 668
833
1 215
81 711
November
24 732
19 826
18 323
4 927
9 596
1 655
761
1 262
81 082
December
25 092
20 423
18 507
4 854
9 852
1 406
799
1 259
82 192
2007January
26 639
21 756
19 015
5 372
9 984
1 556
837
1 327
86 486
February
25 932
22 273
19 036
5 235
10 114
1 679
827
1 390
86 486

Trend

2005December
24 854
21 266
17 544
5 255
8 732
1 571
766
1 212
81 200
2006January
24 778
21 038
17 477
5 219
8 711
1 558
770
1 202
80 753
February
24 679
20 734
17 470
5 185
8 727
1 563
770
1 199
80 327
March
24 511
20 407
17 518
5 160
8 791
1 574
768
1 195
79 924
April
24 279
20 136
17 577
5 142
8 904
1 580
762
1 191
79 571
May
24 083
20 019
17 611
5 128
9 056
1 575
755
1 186
79 413
June
24 034
20 063
17 630
5 109
9 229
1 576
756
1 188
79 585
July
24 104
20 152
17 645
5 067
9 379
1 584
762
1 194
79 887
August
24 279
20 212
17 678
5 009
9 496
1 590
772
1 203
80 239
September
24 536
20 288
17 773
4 965
9 583
1 589
783
1 217
80 734
October
24 840
20 420
17 961
4 960
9 663
1 586
793
1 237
81 460
November
25 166
20 627
18 222
4 995
9 749
1 583
800
1 260
82 402
December
25 491
20 908
18 510
5 050
9 841
1 583
808
1 289
83 480
2007January
25 797
21 237
18 776
5 115
9 931
1 585
816
1 319
84 576
February
26 070
21 592
19 049
5 189
10 019
1 590
823
1 345
85 677

(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.

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