3218.0 - Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2016 Quality Declaration 
Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 28/07/2017   
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ABOUT THIS ISSUE

This issue contains estimates of the resident population for areas of Australia in each year from 2001 to 2016. Estimates are provided for Statistical Areas Level 2 to 4 (SA2s - SA4s), Greater Capital City Statistical Areas (GCCSAs), Local Government Areas (LGAs), Commonwealth and State Electoral Divisions (CEDs and SEDs), and states and territories of Australia, according to the 2016 edition of the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS).

Estimates for SA2s - SA4s, GCCSAs, Remoteness Areas (RAs) and Significant Urban Areas (SUAs) according to the 2011 edition of the ASGS are also included.

The summary commentary in this issue focuses on population changes at the SA2 level (based on the 2016 ASGS) and above between 30 June 2006 and 30 June 2016. All estimates are available from the Downloads tab.

The total population of the Other Territories, namely Christmas Island, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, and Jervis Bay is included in all references to the total population of Australia. Under the 2016 ASGS, Norfolk Island is also included from 2016. However, the Other Territories are excluded from commentary about the states and territories of Australia.


ERP STATUS AND FUTURE RELEASES

The estimates in this issue are final for 2001 to 2011 and preliminary rebased for 2012 to 2016 (denoted 2012pr - 2016pr), based on results of the 2016 Census of Population and Housing. Age and sex breakdowns of these estimates will be released on 28 August 2017 in Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia, 2016 (cat. no. 3235.0). For more information on the rebasing process and the quality of rebased ERP see Quality Assurance of Rebased Population Estimates (cat. no. 3250.0.55.001).

The final 2016 Census-based estimates for 2012 to 2016 are scheduled for release in August 2018. Totals will be added to the Downloads tab in this product, and age and sex breakdowns will be added to Population by Age and Sex, Regions of Australia, 2016 (cat. no. 3235.0).


ACCURACY OF POPULATION ESTIMATES

It is important to recognise that sub-state/territory population estimates in this product are produced using Census data, mathematical modelling and population-weighted geographical correspondences and are subject to some error. A degree of caution should be exercised when using the estimates, especially for areas with very small populations. For more information see paragraphs 12 to 15 of the Explanatory Notes.

All statistics included in the commentary for this publication are rounded. While unrounded figures are provided in spreadsheets, accuracy to the last digit should not be assumed.


CHANGES IN THIS ISSUE

This issue includes the first release of official population estimates based on the 2016 edition of the ASGS. It is also the last issue that will include total population estimates based on the 2011 edition of the ASGS. The 2016 edition of the ASGS reflects growth and changes in Australia's population, economy and infrastructure since the ASGS was introduced in 2011.

Following the introduction of the Norfolk Island Legislation Amendment Act 2015, the population of Norfolk Island is included in the population of Australia under the 2016 edition of the ASGS.


FUTURE CHANGES IN THIS PRODUCT

A new method will be introduced to prepare sub-state population estimates for 30 June 2017 onwards. Sub-state ERP will be estimated out from the 2016 Census-based ERP using the components of population change - births, deaths, internal and overseas migration. This method is consistent with that used to prepare national, state and territory ERP and provides an accounts-base for breaking down population change, enabling users to see how much change is due to natural increase and migration. This component-based method will replace the regression-based method currently used.

The annual release of sub-state ERP prepared using this new method will follow the current schedule, with totals released nine months after the reference date and age-sex breakdowns around 13 months after the reference date. The first set of estimates prepared using this new method (for 30 June 2017) will be released in March 2018. For more information see: Upcoming Change to Methodology for Sub-State Population Estimates.


INQUIRIES

For further information about these and related statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070. The ABS Privacy Policy outlines how the ABS will handle any personal information that you provide to us.