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3222.0 - Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 Quality Declaration 
Previous ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 04/09/2008   
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3222.0 Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 — Data cubes

These files contain population projections, by age and sex, for all projection series for the period 30 June 2008 to 2101 for Australia, and 30 June 2008 to 2056 for the states and territories and capital cities/balance of state. For more information on the relevant data cube see the corresponding section below.

These files are in SuperTABLE format. To use them, you need SuperTABLE on your PC. You can download it free from Space-Time Research at http://www.str.com.au/download/supertable_download.htm (then run the file to install it), or contact your organisation's Information Technology support area. For more information, please see SuperTABLE Help.

Each file contains 72 alternative projection series (with the main Series A, B and C included), based on different combinations of assumptions on fertility, mortality, net overseas migration and net interstate migration. The assumptions used are detailed below:


PROJECTION SERIES, Assumptions used

HIGH LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH
MEDIUM LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH


Net
interstate
migration(a)
(large flows)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows)
Net
interstate
migration(a)
(small flows)
Net
interstate
migration(a)
(large flows)
Net
interstate
migration
(medium flows)
Net
interstate
migration(a)
(small flows)

HIGH FERTILITY (TFR = 2.0)

Net overseas migration (per year)
220 000
1(A)
2
3
4
5
6
180 000
19
20
21
22
23
24
140 000
37
38
39
40
41
42
0
55
56
57
58
59
60

MEDIUM FERTILITY (TFR = 1.8)

Net overseas migration (per year)
220 000
7
8
9
10
11
12
180 000
25
26
27
28
29(B)
30
140 000
43
44
45
46
47
48
0
61
62
63
64
65
66

LOW FERTILITY (TFR = 1.6)

Net overseas migration (per year)
220 000
13
14
15
16
17
18
180 000
31
32
33
34
35
36
140 000
49
50
51
52
53
54(C)
0
67
68
69
70
71
72

(a) The large interstate flows assumption corresponds to large net interstate losses for New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. For these states, the small interstate flows assumption yields greater population growth.


Projected population, Australia, 2006–2101

ABOUT THIS DATASET

This dataset contains population projections for Australia by single year of age (up to 100 years and over) and sex, for the period 2008–2101. Figures for 30 June 2006 are final estimated resident population based on results of the 2006 Census of Population and Housing while figures for 30 June 2007 are preliminary estimates.


USING THIS DATASET WITH SUPERTABLE

When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:

  • At 30 June; and
  • Projection series.

Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.

CLASSIFICATIONS
At 30 June2006 to 2101
Sex Male, Female
AgeSingle year of age (0 to 100 years and over)
Projection seriesSeries 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C. Note that as interstate migration is not applicable for Australia, Series 1 to 3 are identical, Series 4 to 6 are identical, and so on.


TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES


PROJECTED POPULATION FOR AUSTRALIA, Series B

30 June 2006(a)
30 June 2007(b)
30 June 2101

Australia
20,697,880
21,015,042
44,744,809


(a) Final estimated resident population.
(b) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population.

Projected population, state/territory, capital city/balance of state, 2006–2056

ABOUT THESE DATASETS

These datasets contain population projections for each state/territory, by capital city/balance of state, single year of age (up to 85 years and over) and sex, for the period 2008 to 2056. Figures for 30 June 2006 are final estimated resident population based on results of the 2006 Census of Population and Housing while figures for 30 June 2007 are preliminary estimates.


USING THIS DATASET WITH SUPERTABLE

When creating your own table from this SuperTABLE you must select at least one value from each of the following fields:

    • At 30 June;
    • Part of state; and
    • Projection series.

Failure to do so will result in incorrect data in your table.

CLASSIFICATIONS

At 30 June2006 to 2056
SexMale, Female
Part of StateCapital city/balance of state
Projection seriesSeries 1 to 72, where Series 1 is also known as Series A, Series 29 as Series B, and Series 54 as Series C
AgeSingle year of age (0,1,2....,84,85 years and over)


TABLE FOR VALIDATION PURPOSES

PROJECTED POPULATION, CAPITAL CITY/BALANCE OF STATE, Series B

30 June 2006(a)
30 June 2007(b)
30 June 2056

Sydney
4,281,988
4,334,020
6,976,827
Balance of New South Wales
2,534,099
2,553,994
3,233,387
Melbourne
3,743,015
3,805,755
6,789,215
Balance of Victoria
1,383,525
1,399,071
1,749,062
Brisbane
1,819,762
1,856,966
3,979,293
Balance of Queensland
2,271,146
2,324,465
4,759,597
Adelaide
1,145,812
1,157,961
1,651,836
Balance of South Australia
422,076
426,236
552,700
Perth
1,518,748
1,554,125
3,358,367
Balance of Western Australia
540,633
551,994
935,014
Hobart
205,481
207,399
279,747
Balance of Tasmania
284,470
285,972
291,215
Darwin
114,362
117,399
242,963
Balance of Northern Territory
96,265
97,530
158,600
ACT(c)
334,119
339,761
509,272

(a) Final estimated resident population.
(b) Preliminary estimated resident population, base population.
(c) Capital city/balance of state projections not generated for the Australian Capital Territory.

For further information on these statistics, contact the National Information and Referral Service on 1300 135 070.



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