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Latest ISSUE Released at 11:30 AM (CANBERRA TIME) 29/08/2014   

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Catalogue Number

Friday 29 August 2014
No scheduled releases today.

Monday 1 September 2014
    Business Indicators, Australia, June 2014
    Contains quarterly estimates of profits, income from the sale of goods and services, wages and salaries, and the book value of inventories. These data are classified by broad industry, and original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimates are included for Australia, in current price terms. Volume measures are published for sales and inventories. State/territory data will also be included for sales, and wages and salaries, in current price terms.
    Mineral and Petroleum Exploration, Australia, June 2014
    Actual and expected expenditure by private organisations exploring for minerals and petroleum. Mineral exploration expenditure is classified by state and commodity, and data are provided on metres drilled. Petroleum exploration expenditure is classified by onshore/offshore, and from the September quarter 1994, by region.

Tuesday 2 September 2014
    Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, Australia, June 2014
    Provides detailed quarterly balance of payments tables on current, capital and financial transactions for the latest six quarters, including seasonally adjusted, trend and chain volume measures of the current account. It also provides a complete international investment position statement with details of the level of investment, investment flows and associated income. Detailed information is also provided on Australia's foreign debt. It includes longer term historical series, exchange rates, analytical ratios, analytical comment, graphs of principal aggregates as well as articles of interest and a list of such articles published in recent related publications.
    Government Finance Statistics, Australia, June Quarter 2014
    This release presents Government Finance Statistics (GFS) on an accrual accounting basis for the general government sector and the non-financial public sector. The key statement presented is the operating statement.
    Building Approvals, Australia, July 2014
    Provides the number and value of dwelling units approved by sector (public/private) and by state, number and value of new houses and other residential dwelling units approved by type of building, and the number and value of non-residential building jobs approved by type of building (i.e. by function such as 'retail and wholesale trade', 'offices') and value ranges. State data includes the number of private sector houses approved; number and value of new other residential dwellings by type of building such as flats, units or apartments in a building of one or two storeys; number and value of non-residential building jobs by type of building and sector; and for Greater Capital City Statistical Areas, the total number of dwelling units approved broken down by Houses, Dwellings Excluding Houses and Total Dwelling Units. Seasonally adjusted and trend estimates by state are included for the number of dwelling units and value of building approved. The quarterly value of building approved is shown in chain volume measure terms. Small geographic area data cubes are presented for Statistical Areas Level 2 and Local Government Areas.

Wednesday 3 September 2014
    Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product, June 2014
    Detailed presentation of quarterly national accounts showing both current price estimates and chain volume measures in original, seasonally adjusted and trend terms. State details for components of state final demand are also included.
    Tourism Region Maps and Allocation File, Australia, 2014
    The ABS and other organisations publish tourism data by Tourism Regions. This product provides maps and an allocation file (previously known as correspondence file) for Tourism Regions for each state and the Northern Territory. Tourism Regions represent groups of Statistical Areas Level Two (SA2). SA2s are a small spatial unit of the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS). The allocation file provides Tourism Region names and their corresponding SA2 names and codes. Changes to Tourism Regions are applied to products issued in the following year.

Thursday 4 September 2014
    Overseas Arrivals and Departures, Australia, July 2014
    The monthly Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) publication contains statistics on the travel movements of persons arriving in, and departing from, Australia. The focus of this publication is to provide information and analysis of short-term movements (i.e. less than one year), in particular short-term visitor arrivals (STVA) and short-term resident departures (STRD). Statistics on permanent and long-term movements (i.e. one year or more) are also available, however, permanent and long-term movements in this publication are not an appropriate source for migration statistics. For information on Net Overseas Migration (NOM) refer to Migration, Australia (cat. no. 3412.0) and for quarterly data Australian Demographic Statistics (cat. no. 3101.0).
    International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia, July 2014
    Provides estimates for 15 months of the major aggregates for, and the balance on, international trade in goods and services (balance of payments basis) in both seasonally adjusted and trend estimates terms. Longer term graphs are provided, in seasonally adjusted and trend estimates terms, for the goods and services aggregates, and the balance on goods and services. In addition it provides more detailed commodity statistics for both goods and services in original terms, with goods provided on balance of payments and international trade basis, together with year-to-date information. More detailed services statistics, in seasonally adjusted and trend terms on a monthly basis as well as original terms on a quarterly basis are also provided. Merchandise imports and exports are provided at one and two digit SITC level with selected commodities at three digit level. Merchandise trade data are provided by country and by state. Data on exchange rates and analytical comments are included.
    Industrial Disputes, Australia, June 2014
    The Industrial Disputes collection produces quarterly statistics on the number of industrial disputes, employees involved in industrial disputes, working days lost and working days lost per thousand employees in industrial disputes involving stoppages of work of 10 working days or more, classified by state, industry, cause of dispute, working days lost per employee involved and reason work resumed.
    Retail Trade, Australia, July 2014
    Contains monthly estimates of turnover for retail establishments. Trend, seasonally adjusted and original estimates are included for industry groups and states and Australia in current price terms. More detailed current price data classified by state and industry sub group are available from the downloads tab on the ABS website

Friday 5 September 2014
First Issue
    Research Paper: Response Modelling for the 2016 Census Enumeration Model (Methodology Advisory Committee), September 2014
    The 2016 Australian Census of Population and Housing is introducing several major changes to the data collection operation which aim to significantly reduce collection costs and improve data quality. The new enumeration model adds complexity to the management of field operations, and the data collection operation needs to be guided by predictions of the field resource requirements across different geographic regions. Fundamental to predicting the field resource requirements are predictions of the response rate within fine geographic regions at the different stages of enumeration. This paper proposes a modelling framework to predict Census response rates for fine geographic regions during different phases of the data collection operation. The modelling task is challenging because the changes to the enumeration model are expected to cause significant changes to the respondent behaviour observed in the 2011 Census. This paper presents strategies for estimating model parameters by combining 2011 Census data with other data and assumptions.
First Issue
    Research Paper: Exploring Methods to Estimate the Intercensal Population of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians (Methodology Advisory Committee), September 2014
    Since the 1981 Census, the ABS has been producing estimates of estimated resident population (ERP) on Census year, and updates these with vital statistics for the intercensal periods. Estimates of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander ERP on each Census year have also been produced since the 1991 Census. However, the lack of sufficiently reliable births, deaths and migration data for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, and the intercensal volatility in the Census counts of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, do not make it possible to use the so-called standard approach to make intercensal estimates. Instead, ABS has produced population projections which have been widely used as a proxy for population estimates for various purposes. For some important users, however, this proxy is not sufficient or appropriate and therefore there has been significant demand from both government agencies and the community for intercensal population estimates. This paper investigates methods for producing intercensal population estimates. Due to the complexity of this task, the paper focuses on methods for estimates at the Australian level only. After highlighting key issues in data quality, and making an assessment of a series of historical ABS projections, the paper examines three key factors driving the growth of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population and which should form part of any estimation method: (1) fertility levels and trends; (2) mixed parentage and births to non-Indigenous mothers; and (3) the extent of changing identification for Indigenous status on Census form. The paper concludes that the identification change plays a very important role and finds promise in using births registered in the last intercensal period to project identification change in the next Census. Building from these analytical results, the paper proposes an enhanced demographic balancing equation method for estimating intercensal population, and an iterative approach for estimating the intercensal population. The limitations of the proposed method and future directions are also discussed.
First Issue
    Research Paper: Modelling the Short-Term Dynamics of Unemployment Using the ABS Longitudinal Labour Force Survey File (Methodology Advisory Committee), September 2014
    What affects the probability that an individual who has just entered unemployment finds employment within a given timeframe? Does the probability of exiting unemployment depend on the length of the individual’s unemployment spell?

    This paper reflects on these questions and analyses the transitions from unemployment of those aged 20–65 years, over the 2008–2010 period. The analysis makes use of the ABS Longitudinal Labour Force Survey (LLFS) file – a dataset that includes households that were followed for eight consecutive months during the said period. This paper is the first longitudinal analysis conducted on the file.

    Building on the job-search theoretical framework, the paper builds a model aimed at analysing the factors that influence transitions from unemployment. A range of methodological techniques are implemented, including the creation of time intervals and the subsequent discrete duration analysis; the adoption of the competing-risks framework, to account for the different forms of exits from unemployment; and the inclusion of random effects in modelling the unobserved heterogeneity.

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Commonwealth of Australia 2014

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